Guimaraes vs Estrela Prediction 14 February 2026

    🔊 The upcoming clash between Vitória Guimarães and Estrela promises to be an intriguing encounter. Both teams are eager to climb the standings, currently sitting at 9th and 11th respectively. Vitória have recently shown inconsistent form, alternating wins with losses, making their performance unpredictable. Estrela also struggle with consistency, having lost their last head-to-head 0-2. It's expected that both sides will look for attacking opportunities, while also focusing on defense due to their high number of conceded goals.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official encounter between the teams took place on 14 September 2025 and ended with a 0-2 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of the statistics from that match (Estrela were the home side):

    • possession: 59% vs 41%;
    • corners: 3 vs 2;
    • fouls: 10 vs 11;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 0;
    • shots on target: 1 vs 5.

    📊 Statistical Preview of Official Matches between Vitória Guimarães and Estrela:

    • 5 matches played;
    • home wins - 4, away wins - 0, draws - 1;
    • goals scored - 10 for Vitória, 2 for Estrela;
    • average total goals in the first half - 1.2, in the second half - 1.2;
    • average total goals per match - 2.4.

    Head-to-head statistics Guimaraes - Estrela

    83%
    5 Wins
    17%
    1 Draw
    0%
    0 Wins
    Total games
    6
    Total Goals Avg
    2.5
    Both teams scored
    33%
    2
    Total average
    0.5
    6.83
    Corner
    3
    2
    Yellow cards
    2
    14
    Fouls
    13.5
    Last matches
    14.02.26
    Primeira Liga
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    Estrela
    Estrela
    1.77
    0.69
    9
    2
    13
    17
    3
    2
    2
    1
    0
    1
    2
    0
    1.77
    0.69
    9
    2
    13
    17
    3
    2
    14.09.25
    Primeira Liga
    Estrela
    Estrela
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    0.53
    1.55
    3
    2
    10
    11
    2
    0
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0.53
    1.55
    3
    2
    10
    11
    2
    0
    26.07.25
    Club Friendly Games
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    Estrela
    Estrela
    -
    -
    0
    0
    -
    -
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    0
    0
    -
    -
    0
    0
    16.03.25
    Primeira Liga
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    Estrela
    Estrela
    0.99
    0.24
    8
    2
    15
    17
    1
    2
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0.99
    0.24
    8
    2
    15
    17
    1
    2
    27.10.24
    Примейра-лига
    Estrela
    Estrela
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    -
    -
    3
    4
    15
    15
    2
    3
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    -
    -
    3
    4
    15
    15
    2
    3
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Vitoria SC Guimaraes Team Overview

    The team's last official match took place on in the Primeira Liga, with Arouca hosting Vitória Guimarães. The game concluded with a scoreline of 3-2.

    Here are the match statistics (Vitória Guimarães vs Arouca):

    • possession percentage: 49% vs 51%;
    • corner kicks: 6 vs 1;
    • fouls: 15 vs 18;
    • yellow cards: 4 vs 1;
    • shots on target: 6 vs 6.

    Vitória Guimarães have been showing inconsistent form lately. Their last five matches resulted in two wins and three losses, highlighting the unpredictability of their game. In their most recent head-to-head, the club secured a 2-0 victory over Estrela. On average, Vitória scores 1.1 goals per match while conceding about 1.43 goals per game. The team emphasizes an attacking style with swift counterattacks, yet defensive issues remain a significant challenge.

    Match Results: Vitoria SC Guimaraes

    Last matches
    23.08.26
    liga portugal
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    Nacional de Madeir
    Nacional de Madeir
    2.81
    0.63
    4
    3
    18
    8
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    2.81
    0.63
    4
    3
    18
    8
    2
    1
    W
    14.08.26
    liga portugal
    Sporting Lisbon
    Sporting Lisbon
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    1.13
    1.01
    5
    1
    12
    21
    4
    4
    3
    2
    3
    0
    0
    2
    1.13
    1.01
    5
    1
    12
    21
    4
    4
    L
    08.08.26
    liga portugal
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    Arouca
    Arouca
    1
    2.38
    0.31
    5
    2
    9
    7
    2
    3
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    2.38
    0.31
    5
    2
    9
    7
    2
    3
    L
    02.08.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Varzim
    Varzim
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    D
    01.08.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    Chaves
    Chaves
    -
    -
    4
    2
    -
    -
    1
    1
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    -
    -
    4
    2
    -
    -
    1
    1
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Estrela Team Overview

    The last official match for the current visitors took place on in the Primeira Liga, with Estrela hosting Santa Clara. The match ended with a 1-0 scoreline.

    Here are the match statistics (Estrela vs Santa Clara):

    • Ball possession: 45% vs 55%;
    • Corners: 3 vs 6;
    • Fouls: 14 vs 10;
    • Yellow cards: 4 vs 1;
    • Shots on target: 4 vs 5.

    Estrela continue their battle in the mid-table. The team have shown inconsistent form, securing one win, two draws, and suffering two losses in their last five matches. Estrela's average goal tally stands at 1.19 per match, but their defense remains vulnerable, conceding an average of 1.76 goals. The "Stars" focus on an attacking strategy, aiming to control possession and create chances down the flanks, yet their defensive issues demand attention.

    Match Results: Estrela

    Last matches
    15.08.26
    liga portugal
    Alverca
    Alverca
    1
    Estrela
    Estrela
    1.4
    1.29
    2
    0
    10
    12
    2
    4
    2
    2
    0
    0
    2
    2
    1.4
    1.29
    2
    0
    10
    12
    2
    4
    D
    08.08.26
    liga portugal
    Estrela
    Estrela
    Sporting Lisbon
    Sporting Lisbon
    1.01
    2.52
    5
    4
    13
    14
    2
    2
    2
    2
    0
    0
    2
    2
    1.01
    2.52
    5
    4
    13
    14
    2
    2
    D
    01.08.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Estrela
    Estrela
    Al Nasr Riyadh
    Al Nasr Riyadh
    1
    -
    -
    7
    8
    3
    3
    2
    2
    4
    2
    1
    0
    3
    2
    -
    -
    7
    8
    3
    3
    2
    2
    W
    29.07.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Estrela
    Estrela
    Lusitano GC
    Lusitano GC
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    0
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    0
    0
    W
    29.07.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Estrela
    Estrela
    Portimonense
    Portimonense
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    D
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Prediction for the 1st half

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Total encounters - 5;
    • First-half wins at home for hosts - 2; for visitors away - 0; number of draws - 0;
    • Average first-half total: 1.2;
    • Today's home team scores on average 1, while the visitors net 0.2.

    First-Half Stats: Vitoria SC Guimaraes (home) vs Estrela (away)

    • matches played in the tournament: 11 vs 10;
    • wins: 1 (9.09%) vs 1 (10%);
    • losses: 2 (18.18%) vs 5 (50%);
    • draws: 8 (72.73%) vs 4 (40%);
    • Average goals scored: 1.09 vs 1.5;
    • Average goals conceded: 0.55 vs 1.1.

    Last 10 Matches (Overall):

    • wins: 2 vs 1;
    • losses: 4 vs 4;
    • draws: 4 vs 5;
    • Average first-half total: 1.1 (scored - 0.4, conceded - 0.7) vs 1.4 (scored - 0.5, conceded - 0.9).
    Trends
    • Vitoria SC Guimaraes scored in the 1st half in last 5 games against Estrela (Primeira Liga).
    • Estrela conceded in the 1st half in 7 of last 8 away games.
    • Estrela conceded in the 1st half in 6 of last 7 away games (Primeira Liga).
    👉Prediction: 1st half, Vitoria SC Guimaraes to score goal(odds: 1.85)

    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 5;
    • home team wins - 4, away team wins - 0, draws - 1.

    Statistics: Vitoria SC Guimaraes vs Estrela

    • matches played in the tournament: 21 vs 21;
    • wins: 8 vs 5;
    • win percentage: 38% vs 24%;
    • losses: 9 vs 8;
    • draws: 4 vs 8.

    Last 10 matches:

    • wins: 4 vs 3;
    • losses: 5 vs 4;
    • draws: 1 vs 3.
    👉Prediction: Vitoria SC Guimaraes Win(odds: 1.68)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • today's home team scores on average - 2, the guests - 0.4;
    • average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.4;
    • both teams scored: overall - 1; at the home team's field - 0.

    Statistics: Vitoria SC Guimaraes vs Estrela

    • average total in the tournament: 2.52 vs 2.95;
    • average total goals scored: 1.1 vs 1.19;
    • average total in the 1st half: 0.57 vs 0.57;
    • average total in the 2nd half: 0.52 vs 0.62;
    • Vitoria SC Guimaraes: average total at home in the tournament -  1.36;
    • Estrela: average total away in the tournament - 1.1;
    • last 10 matches (average total): 1.2 (home - 1) vs 1.2 (away - 1).
    Trends
    • Over 1.5 goals scored in 14 of last 16 Estrela games.
    • Over 1.5 goals scored in 13 of last 15 Estrela games (Primeira Liga).
    • Over 1.5 goals scored in last 8 Estrela away games.
    • Over 1.5 goals scored in last 7 Estrela away games (Primeira Liga).
    👉Prediction: Total goals Over (1,5)(odds: 1.4)

    Prediction on corners

    H2H

    • average Over/Under corners in H2H matches - 9.6 (6.4 - for home team and 3.2 - for away team);
    • average Over/Under corners at home team's field - 11.5 (8 - for home team and 3.5 - for away team).

    Vitoria SC Guimaraes: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.48; at home field - 4.64;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.3; at home field - 4.5.

    Estrela: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.14, away - 2.3;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.5; away - 1.6.
    Trends
    • Vitoria SC Guimaraes have taken under 7.5 corners in 6 of last 7 home games (Primeira Liga).
    👉Prediction: Corners - Total Under (9,5)(odds: 1.47)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 5;
    • both teams scored all-time - 1 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 0 times.

    Statistics: Vitoria SC Guimaraes vs Estrela

    • number of matches played in the tournament: 21 vs 21;
    • number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 8 vs 10;
    • number of BTTS matches for Vitoria SC Guimaraes at home - 6 (55%);
    • number of BTTS matches for Estrela away - 5 (50%).

    Last 10 matches:

    • number of BTTS matches: 6 vs 5;
    • BTTS matches for Vitoria SC Guimaraes at home - 3 (50%);
    • BTTS matches for Estrela away - 3 (60%).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (Yes)(odds: 2.08)

    Correct score prediction

    Statistics of frequent results (current season):

    • most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (19/189, 10.1%);
    • Vitoria SC Guimaraes at home most often finish matches: 1:1 , 2:1 (2/11, 18.2%);
    • Estrela away most often play: 0:0 , 1:1 , 4:0 (2/10, 20%).

    Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:

    1:0 - 11.84% (odds 5.5)
    1:1 - 10.94% (odds 7)
    2:1 - 10.15% (odds 7.5)

    👉Prediction: Correct Score (1:0)(odds: 5.5)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Both teams have been delivering inconsistent performances, making the upcoming match particularly intriguing. Vitória Guimarães are eager to solidify their position at the top of the table and could capitalize on their home advantage. However, their defense remains a weak spot, which increases the likelihood of open play from both sides. Estrela, despite their erratic form, possess attacking potential. Given these factors, a high-scoring game with goals from both teams seems the most likely scenario. Therefore, betting on both teams to score appears to be a reasonable choice, considering each side's motivation to improve their standings.

    Both Teams To Score (Yes)
    Published: 12/02/2026, 10:50

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    Betting Tips: Vitoria SC Guimaraes - Estrela

    Over 1.5 goals scored:
    cf-estrelain 14 of last 16 Estrela games.
    cf-estrelain 13 of last 15 Estrela games (Primeira Liga).
    cf-estrelain last 8 Estrela away games.
    cf-estrelain last 7 Estrela away games (Primeira Liga).
    in 11 of last 12 Carlos Andre Fernandes Macedo games.
    in 9 of last 10 Carlos Andre Fernandes Macedo games (in the Primeira Liga).
    Total goals Over (1,5)
    Everygame
    -278
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes scored in the 1st half:
    vitoria-guimaraes-1cf-estrelain last 5 games against Estrela (Primeira Liga).
    Estrela conceded in the 1st half:
    cf-estrelain 7 of last 8 away games.
    cf-estrelain 6 of last 7 away games (Primeira Liga).
    1st half, Vitoria SC Guimaraes to score goal
    -128
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes have scored under 2.5 goals:
    vitoria-guimaraes-1in 18 of last 19 games (Primeira Liga).
    vitoria-guimaraes-1in last 12 games.
    vitoria-guimaraes-1in 9 of last 10 home games (Primeira Liga).
    vitoria-guimaraes-1in last 6 home games.
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes Total goals Under (2,5)
    Everygame
    -400
    Estrela have conceded:
    cf-estrelain last 8 away games.
    cf-estrelain last 7 away games (Primeira Liga).
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes will score goal
    Everygame
    -625
    View more facts

    Guimaraes - Estrela Table position

    Liga Portugal 25/26
    gWDLGDPForm
    8.
    Arouca
    Arouca
    341261647-6442
    9.
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    341261639-5142
    10.
    Estoril Praia
    Estoril Praia
    341091554-5739
    14.
    Nacional de Madeir
    Nacional de Madeir
    34971837-4534
    15.
    Estrela
    Estrela
    346121638-5630
    16.
    Casa Pia
    Casa Pia
    346121631-5730

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    4 - Wins
    1 - Draw
    5 - Loses
    Win - 1
    Draws - 4
    Loses - 5
    10 matches
    Scored - 13
    Conceded - 13
    0
    -2
    13 - Scored
    15 - Conceded
    4
    Wins
    1
    1
    Draws
    4
    5
    Loses
    5
    Goal difference
    13
    Scored
    13
    13
    Conceded
    15
    2.6
    Match goals average
    2.8
    1.3
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.3
    1.3
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.5
    3
    Both teams scored
    5
    69'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    69'
    View all stats