Guimaraes vs Estrela Prediction 14 February 2026
🔊 The upcoming clash between Vitória Guimarães and Estrela promises to be an intriguing encounter. Both teams are eager to climb the standings, currently sitting at 9th and 11th respectively. Vitória have recently shown inconsistent form, alternating wins with losses, making their performance unpredictable. Estrela also struggle with consistency, having lost their last head-to-head 0-2. It's expected that both sides will look for attacking opportunities, while also focusing on defense due to their high number of conceded goals.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 14 September 2025 and ended with a 0-2 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of the statistics from that match (Estrela were the home side):
- possession: 59% vs 41%;
- corners: 3 vs 2;
- fouls: 10 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 0;
- shots on target: 1 vs 5.
📊 Statistical Preview of Official Matches between Vitória Guimarães and Estrela:
- 5 matches played;
- home wins - 4, away wins - 0, draws - 1;
- goals scored - 10 for Vitória, 2 for Estrela;
- average total goals in the first half - 1.2, in the second half - 1.2;
- average total goals per match - 2.4.
Head-to-head statistics Guimaraes - Estrela

Vitoria SC Guimaraes Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on in the Primeira Liga, with Arouca hosting Vitória Guimarães. The game concluded with a scoreline of 3-2.
Here are the match statistics (Vitória Guimarães vs Arouca):
- possession percentage: 49% vs 51%;
- corner kicks: 6 vs 1;
- fouls: 15 vs 18;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 1;
- shots on target: 6 vs 6.
Vitória Guimarães have been showing inconsistent form lately. Their last five matches resulted in two wins and three losses, highlighting the unpredictability of their game. In their most recent head-to-head, the club secured a 2-0 victory over Estrela. On average, Vitória scores 1.1 goals per match while conceding about 1.43 goals per game. The team emphasizes an attacking style with swift counterattacks, yet defensive issues remain a significant challenge.
Match Results: Vitoria SC Guimaraes

Estrela Team Overview
The last official match for the current visitors took place on in the Primeira Liga, with Estrela hosting Santa Clara. The match ended with a 1-0 scoreline.
Here are the match statistics (Estrela vs Santa Clara):
- Ball possession: 45% vs 55%;
- Corners: 3 vs 6;
- Fouls: 14 vs 10;
- Yellow cards: 4 vs 1;
- Shots on target: 4 vs 5.
Estrela continue their battle in the mid-table. The team have shown inconsistent form, securing one win, two draws, and suffering two losses in their last five matches. Estrela's average goal tally stands at 1.19 per match, but their defense remains vulnerable, conceding an average of 1.76 goals. The "Stars" focus on an attacking strategy, aiming to control possession and create chances down the flanks, yet their defensive issues demand attention.
Match Results: Estrela
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 5;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 2; for visitors away - 0; number of draws - 0;
- Average first-half total: 1.2;
- Today's home team scores on average 1, while the visitors net 0.2.
First-Half Stats: Vitoria SC Guimaraes (home) vs Estrela (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 11 vs 10;
- wins: 1 (9.09%) vs 1 (10%);
- losses: 2 (18.18%) vs 5 (50%);
- draws: 8 (72.73%) vs 4 (40%);
- Average goals scored: 1.09 vs 1.5;
- Average goals conceded: 0.55 vs 1.1.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 2 vs 1;
- losses: 4 vs 4;
- draws: 4 vs 5;
- Average first-half total: 1.1 (scored - 0.4, conceded - 0.7) vs 1.4 (scored - 0.5, conceded - 0.9).
- Vitoria SC Guimaraes scored in the 1st half in last 5 games against Estrela (Primeira Liga).
- Estrela conceded in the 1st half in 7 of last 8 away games.
- Estrela conceded in the 1st half in 6 of last 7 away games (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 5;
- home team wins - 4, away team wins - 0, draws - 1.
Statistics: Vitoria SC Guimaraes vs Estrela
- matches played in the tournament: 21 vs 21;
- wins: 8 vs 5;
- win percentage: 38% vs 24%;
- losses: 9 vs 8;
- draws: 4 vs 8.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 4 vs 3;
- losses: 5 vs 4;
- draws: 1 vs 3.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 2, the guests - 0.4;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.4;
- both teams scored: overall - 1; at the home team's field - 0.
Statistics: Vitoria SC Guimaraes vs Estrela
- average total in the tournament: 2.52 vs 2.95;
- average total goals scored: 1.1 vs 1.19;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.57 vs 0.57;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.52 vs 0.62;
- Vitoria SC Guimaraes: average total at home in the tournament - 1.36;
- Estrela: average total away in the tournament - 1.1;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.2 (home - 1) vs 1.2 (away - 1).
- Over 1.5 goals scored in 14 of last 16 Estrela games.
- Over 1.5 goals scored in 13 of last 15 Estrela games (Primeira Liga).
- Over 1.5 goals scored in last 8 Estrela away games.
- Over 1.5 goals scored in last 7 Estrela away games (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on corners
H2H
- average Over/Under corners in H2H matches - 9.6 (6.4 - for home team and 3.2 - for away team);
- average Over/Under corners at home team's field - 11.5 (8 - for home team and 3.5 - for away team).
Vitoria SC Guimaraes: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.48; at home field - 4.64;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.3; at home field - 4.5.
Estrela: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.14, away - 2.3;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.5; away - 1.6.
- Vitoria SC Guimaraes have taken under 7.5 corners in 6 of last 7 home games (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 5;
- both teams scored all-time - 1 times;
- on the home team’s field - 0 times.
Statistics: Vitoria SC Guimaraes vs Estrela
- number of matches played in the tournament: 21 vs 21;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 8 vs 10;
- number of BTTS matches for Vitoria SC Guimaraes at home - 6 (55%);
- number of BTTS matches for Estrela away - 5 (50%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 6 vs 5;
- BTTS matches for Vitoria SC Guimaraes at home - 3 (50%);
- BTTS matches for Estrela away - 3 (60%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (19/189, 10.1%);
- Vitoria SC Guimaraes at home most often finish matches: 1:1 , 2:1 (2/11, 18.2%);
- Estrela away most often play: 0:0 , 1:1 , 4:0 (2/10, 20%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:0 - 11.84% (odds 5.5)
1:1 - 10.94% (odds 7)
2:1 - 10.15% (odds 7.5)