Estrela vs Guimaraes Prediction 14 September 2025

    🔊 In the fifth round of the Primeira Liga, Estrela face off against Vitória Guimarães in what promises to be an exciting clash. Both teams are eager to improve their standings in the league table. So far, neither has managed to deliver consistent performances. The head-to-head stats indicate a closely contested battle, making this match an intriguing prospect.

    Head-to-Head

    📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Estrela and Vitoria SC Guimaraes:

    • played 4 matches;
    • number of wins for the home team - 0, for the away team - 3, draws - 1;
    • number of goals - 2 against 8;
    • average total in the 1st half - 1.25, in the 2nd half - 1.25;
    • average total goals in the match - 2.5.

    Head-to-head statistics Estrela - Guimaraes

    0%
    0 Wins
    17%
    1 Draw
    83%
    5 Wins
    Total games
    6
    Total Goals Avg
    2.5
    Both teams scored
    33%
    0.5
    Total average
    2
    3
    Corner
    6.83
    2
    Yellow cards
    2
    13.5
    Fouls
    14
    Last matches
    14.02.26
    Primeira Liga
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    Estrela
    Estrela
    1.77
    0.69
    9
    2
    13
    17
    3
    2
    2
    1
    0
    1
    2
    0
    1.77
    0.69
    9
    2
    13
    17
    3
    2
    14.09.25
    Primeira Liga
    Estrela
    Estrela
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    0.53
    1.55
    3
    2
    10
    11
    2
    0
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0.53
    1.55
    3
    2
    10
    11
    2
    0
    26.07.25
    Club Friendly Games
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    Estrela
    Estrela
    -
    -
    0
    0
    -
    -
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    0
    0
    -
    -
    0
    0
    16.03.25
    Primeira Liga
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    Estrela
    Estrela
    0.99
    0.24
    8
    2
    15
    17
    1
    2
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0.99
    0.24
    8
    2
    15
    17
    1
    2
    27.10.24
    Примейра-лига
    Estrela
    Estrela
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    -
    -
    3
    4
    15
    15
    2
    3
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    -
    -
    3
    4
    15
    15
    2
    3
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Estrela Team Overview

    The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Primeira Liga tournament (home team - Santa Clara Azores, away team - Estrela). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:0.

    Here's the game statistics (Estrela vs Santa Clara Azores):

    • ball possession: 46% vs 54%;
    • corner kicks: 0 vs 8;
    • fouls: 11 vs 13;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
    • shots on target: 0 vs 2.

    Estrela find themselves in a challenging position, having secured just one victory since the season kicked off, placing them near the bottom of the table. However, they've only suffered one defeat, which came against Benfica (0-1). For an underdog, these results are quite commendable. The "Stars" particularly shine on home turf, where they managed to create 1.26 expected goals against one of the title contenders, demonstrating strong attacking play.

    Match Results: Estrela

    Last matches
    15.08.26
    liga portugal
    Alverca
    Alverca
    1
    Estrela
    Estrela
    1.4
    1.29
    2
    0
    10
    12
    2
    4
    2
    2
    0
    0
    2
    2
    1.4
    1.29
    2
    0
    10
    12
    2
    4
    D
    08.08.26
    liga portugal
    Estrela
    Estrela
    Sporting Lisbon
    Sporting Lisbon
    1.01
    2.52
    5
    4
    13
    14
    2
    2
    2
    2
    0
    0
    2
    2
    1.01
    2.52
    5
    4
    13
    14
    2
    2
    D
    01.08.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Estrela
    Estrela
    Al Nasr Riyadh
    Al Nasr Riyadh
    1
    -
    -
    7
    8
    3
    3
    2
    2
    4
    2
    1
    0
    3
    2
    -
    -
    7
    8
    3
    3
    2
    2
    W
    29.07.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Estrela
    Estrela
    Lusitano GC
    Lusitano GC
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    0
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    0
    0
    W
    29.07.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Estrela
    Estrela
    Portimonense
    Portimonense
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    D
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Vitoria SC Guimaraes Team Overview

    The away team played their last official match on as part of the Primeira Liga tournament (home team - Vitoria SC Guimaraes, away - Arouca). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:1.

    Here are the match stats (Vitoria SC Guimaraes vs Arouca):

    • ball possession: 54% vs 46%;
    • corner kicks: 2 vs 2;
    • fouls: 15 vs 17;
    • yellow cards: 4 vs 4;
    • shots on target: 3 vs 3.

    Vitória Guimarães are ahead of the hosts in the standings, yet the team's inconsistency is evident. This is particularly noticeable on the road, where they have yet to earn a point or score a goal. Against Porto, this can be attributed to the opponent's quality. However, when visiting Moreirense, the "Conquerors" were favorites but managed only 0.23 goals according to xG.

    Match Results: Vitoria SC Guimaraes

    Last matches
    23.08.26
    liga portugal
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    Nacional de Madeir
    Nacional de Madeir
    2.81
    0.63
    4
    3
    18
    8
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    2.81
    0.63
    4
    3
    18
    8
    2
    1
    W
    14.08.26
    liga portugal
    Sporting Lisbon
    Sporting Lisbon
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    1.13
    1.01
    5
    1
    12
    21
    4
    4
    3
    2
    3
    0
    0
    2
    1.13
    1.01
    5
    1
    12
    21
    4
    4
    L
    08.08.26
    liga portugal
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    Arouca
    Arouca
    1
    2.38
    0.31
    5
    2
    9
    7
    2
    3
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    2.38
    0.31
    5
    2
    9
    7
    2
    3
    L
    02.08.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Varzim
    Varzim
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    D
    01.08.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    Chaves
    Chaves
    -
    -
    4
    2
    -
    -
    1
    1
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    -
    -
    4
    2
    -
    -
    1
    1
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 4;
    • home team wins - 0, away team wins - 3, draws - 1.

    Statistics: Estrela vs Vitoria SC Guimaraes

    • matches played in the tournament: 4 vs 4;
    • wins: 0 vs 1;
    • win percentage: 0% vs 25%;
    • losses: 1 vs 2;
    • draws: 3 vs 1.

    Last 10 matches:

    • wins: 1 vs 4;
    • losses: 6 vs 5;
    • draws: 3 vs 1.
    Trends
    • Estrela have not won in 10 of last 11 home games (Primeira Liga).
    • Estrela have not won in last 7 games (Primeira Liga).
    👉Prediction: Vitoria SC Guimaraes will not lose(odds: 1.33)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • today's home team scores on average - 0.5, the guests - 2;
    • average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.5;
    • both teams scored: overall - 1; at the home team's field - 1.

    Statistics: Estrela vs Vitoria SC Guimaraes

    • average total in the tournament: 1.75 vs 3;
    • average total goals scored: 0.75 vs 1;
    • average total in the 1st half: 0.25 vs 0.5;
    • average total in the 2nd half: 0.5 vs 0.5;
    • Estrela: average total at home in the tournament -  1;
    • Vitoria SC Guimaraes: average total away in the tournament - 0;
    • last 10 matches (average total): 0.5 (home - 0.8) vs 1.1 (away - 0.6).
    Trends
    • Estrela have scored under 1.5 goals in 6 of last 7 games (Primeira Liga).
    👉Prediction: Estrela Total goals Under (1,5)(odds: 1.35)

    Prediction on corners

    H2H

    • average Over/Under corners in H2H matches - 10.75 (3.25 - for home team and 7.5 - for away team);
    • average Over/Under corners at home team's field - 10 (3 - for home team and 7 - for away team).

    Estrela: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.75; at home field - 5.5;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.9; at home field - 4.8.

    Vitoria SC Guimaraes: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.25, away - 5.5;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.9; away - 4.2.
    Trends
    • Under 9.5 corners in last 7 Estrela games (Primeira Liga).
    👉Prediction: Corners - Total Under (9,5)(odds: 1.92)

    Prediction on cards

    H2H

    • average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 4 (2 for home team and 2 for away team);
    • average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 5.5 (2.5 for home team and 3 for away team).

    Estrela: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.5; at home - 3.5;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.8; at home - 2.6.

    Vitoria SC Guimaraes: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.75, away - 2.5;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.6; away - 3.6.
    👉Prediction: Yellow Cards - Total Under (6,5)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 4;
    • both teams scored all-time - 1 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 1 times.

    Statistics: Estrela vs Vitoria SC Guimaraes

    • number of matches played in the tournament: 4 vs 4;
    • number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 2 vs 2;
    • number of BTTS matches for Estrela at home - 1 (50%);
    • number of BTTS matches for Vitoria SC Guimaraes away - 0 (0%).

    Last 10 matches:

    • number of BTTS matches: 2 vs 4;
    • BTTS matches for Estrela at home - 1 (20%);
    • BTTS matches for Vitoria SC Guimaraes away - 1 (20%).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (No)(odds: 1.82)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Estrela are not labeled underdogs without reason. They have not tasted victory in quite some time and struggle to find the back of the net. Vitoria, on the other hand, consistently aiming for European competition spots, will visit the "stars" motivated to climb the table and rectify their negative goal difference. We trust in the visitors' attacking prowess and predict a total of over 2 goals.

    Total goals Over (2)
    Published: 13/09/2025, 11:34

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    Betting Tips: Estrela - Vitoria SC Guimaraes

    Estrela have not won:
    cf-estrelain 10 of last 11 home games (Primeira Liga).
    cf-estrelain last 7 games (Primeira Liga).
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes will not lose
    Everygame
    -286
    Over 1.5 goals scored:
    vitoria-guimaraes-1in 15 of last 16 Vitoria SC Guimaraes games.
    vitoria-guimaraes-1in last 9 Vitoria SC Guimaraes games (Primeira Liga).
    vitoria-guimaraes-1in 8 of last 9 Vitoria SC Guimaraes away games.
    vitoria-guimaraes-1in 7 of last 8 Vitoria SC Guimaraes away games (Primeira Liga).
    in 6 of last 7 Miguel Bertolo Nogueira games (in the Primeira Liga).
    Total goals Over (1,5)
    Everygame
    -222
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes have conceded:
    vitoria-guimaraes-1in 8 of last 9 away games.
    vitoria-guimaraes-1in last 7 games (Primeira Liga).
    Estrela will score goal
    Everygame
    -222
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes conceded in the 2nd half:
    vitoria-guimaraes-1in 6 of last 7 games (Primeira Liga).
    2nd half, Estrela will score goal
    +115
    View more facts

    Estrela - Guimaraes Table position

    Liga Portugal 25/26
    gWDLGDPForm
    8.
    Arouca
    Arouca
    341261647-6442
    9.
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    341261639-5142
    10.
    Estoril Praia
    Estoril Praia
    341091554-5739
    14.
    Nacional de Madeir
    Nacional de Madeir
    34971837-4534
    15.
    Estrela
    Estrela
    346121638-5630
    16.
    Casa Pia
    Casa Pia
    346121631-5730

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    1 - Win
    4 - Draws
    5 - Loses
    Wins - 4
    Draw - 1
    Loses - 5
    10 matches
    Scored - 13
    Conceded - 15
    -2
    0
    13 - Scored
    13 - Conceded
    1
    Wins
    4
    4
    Draws
    1
    5
    Loses
    5
    Goal difference
    13
    Scored
    13
    15
    Conceded
    13
    2.8
    Match goals average
    2.6
    1.3
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.3
    1.5
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.3
    5
    Both teams scored
    3
    69'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    69'
    View all stats