Tondela vs Alverca Prediction 13 February 2026
🔊 The upcoming clash between Tondela and Alverca promises to be thrilling, given the current form of both teams. Tondela find themselves in a tough spot at the bottom of the table, struggling to deliver consistent results. Meanwhile, Alverca have been showcasing more confident play, aiming to solidify their position in mid-table. Both sides will be eager to improve their standings, adding an extra layer of intrigue to this encounter.
Head-to-Head
The last official clash between the teams took place on 12 September 2025 and ended with a 1-0 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of the stats from that encounter (Alverca were the home side):
- possession: 49% vs 51%;
- corners: 5 vs 6;
- fouls: 13 vs 15;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- shots on target: 4 vs 6.
📊 The teams have faced each other in three official matches. The statistics are as follows:
- goals: 2 to 4;
- average total goals in the 1st half - 1.67, in the 2nd half - 0.33;
- average total goals per match - 2.
Head-to-head statistics Tondela - Alverca

Tondela Team Overview
The team's last official match was on in the Primeira Liga, with Estoril hosting Tondela. The game ended in a 2-2 draw.
Here are the match statistics (Tondela vs Estoril):
- possession: 32% vs 68%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 5;
- fouls: 8 vs 8;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 1;
- shots on target: 5 vs 6.
Tondela, currently second from the bottom in the standings, are facing significant challenges. The team struggles to find consistency, managing just three wins in 21 matches this season. Their recent form isn't promising either, with two draws and three losses in their last five outings. In their most recent clash against Alverca, they suffered a 0-1 defeat. The team often squander opportunities in attack, leading to a lack of goals. They face a tough task ahead as they aim to turn things around against a stronger opponent.
Match Results: Tondela

Alverca Team Overview
The visitors played their last official match on in the Primeira Liga, facing Benfica away from home. The match ended with a scoreline of 2-1.
Here's a breakdown of the game statistics (Alverca vs Benfica):
- possession: 36% vs 64%;
- corners: 1 vs 9;
- fouls: 18 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 3;
- shots on target: 2 vs 10.
Alverca, currently sitting in 10th place on the table, are displaying a more confident performance compared to the home team. In their last five matches, the club have secured two wins, drawn once, and suffered two losses. Alverca are aiming for consistency and improved results. Their most recent head-to-head ended in a 1-0 victory over Tondela, providing an extra boost of confidence ahead of the upcoming match. The team actively employs counterattacks, which allows them to create dangerous opportunities in front of the opponent's goal.
Match Results: Alverca
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 3;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 0; for visitors away - 1; number of draws - 0;
- Average first-half total: 1.67;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.67, while the visitors net 1.
First-Half Stats: Tondela (home) vs Alverca (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 9 vs 10;
- wins: 1 (11.11%) vs 1 (10%);
- losses: 2 (22.22%) vs 2 (20%);
- draws: 6 (66.67%) vs 7 (70%);
- Average goals scored: 0.56 vs 1.7;
- Average goals conceded: 0.33 vs 1.1.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 2 vs 0;
- losses: 1 vs 3;
- draws: 7 vs 7;
- Average first-half total: 0.9 (scored - 0.5, conceded - 0.4) vs 0.9 (scored - 0.1, conceded - 0.8).
- Tondela have drawn in the 1st half in 6 of last 7 home games.
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 3;
- home team wins - 0, away team wins - 2, draws - 1.
Statistics: Tondela vs Alverca
- matches played in the tournament: 21 vs 21;
- wins: 3 vs 7;
- win percentage: 14% vs 33%;
- losses: 13 vs 11;
- draws: 5 vs 3.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 2 vs 4;
- losses: 6 vs 5;
- draws: 2 vs 1.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 0.67, the guests - 1.33;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2;
- both teams scored: overall - 2; at the home team's field - 1.
Statistics: Tondela vs Alverca
- average total in the tournament: 2.33 vs 2.71;
- average total goals scored: 0.67 vs 1;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.29 vs 0.38;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.38 vs 0.62;
- Tondela: average total at home in the tournament - 0.67;
- Alverca: average total away in the tournament - 1.1;
- last 10 matches (average total): 0.8 (home - 0.8) vs 0.9 (away - 0.8).
- Tondela have conceded in 8 of last 9 games (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on corners
H2H
- average Over/Under corners in H2H matches - 11.33 (7 - for home team and 4.33 - for away team);
- average Over/Under corners at home team's field - 11 (8 - for home team and 3 - for away team).
Tondela: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.62; at home field - 2.89;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.5; at home field - 2.4.
Alverca: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.38, away - 2.7;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4; away - 3.6.
- Tondela have taken under 4.5 corners in last 6 games (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 3;
- both teams scored all-time - 2 times;
- on the home team’s field - 1 times.
Statistics: Tondela vs Alverca
- number of matches played in the tournament: 21 vs 21;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 7 vs 10;
- number of BTTS matches for Tondela at home - 3 (33%);
- number of BTTS matches for Alverca away - 6 (60%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 4 vs 4;
- BTTS matches for Tondela at home - 2 (40%);
- BTTS matches for Alverca away - 2 (40%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (19/189, 10.1%);
- Tondela at home most often finish matches: 0:0 , 0:1 (2/9, 22.2%);
- Alverca away most often play: 2:1 (3/10, 30%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 14.01% (odds 5)
1:0 - 10.03% (odds 6.2)
0:1 - 9.91% (odds 6.6)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Considering the current form and standings, this match is set to be a tight contest. Tondela are in a tough spot, sitting second to last and struggling with scoring. Their average goals per game over the last 10 matches is just 0.8, highlighting their lack of attacking firepower. Alverca, meanwhile, are showing more confidence, holding the 10th spot, but they too are not exactly prolific in front of goal. We have opponents with notably low scoring records. Our pick is under 2.5 goals total.