Casa Pia vs Arouca Prediction 14 February 2026
🔊 In the upcoming clash between Casa Pia and Arouca, we'll witness a battle between two teams situated in the lower half of the league table. Both sides have displayed inconsistent results recently, but Arouca appear slightly more confident with four wins in their last ten matches. Meanwhile, Casa Pia can't boast of successful performances, having secured just two victories over the same period. The tactical approaches of both teams focus on strengthening their attack, which adds an extra layer of intrigue to the game.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 14 September 2025 and ended with a 0-2 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of the statistics from that encounter (Arouca were the home side):
- possession percentage: 66% vs 34%;
- corners: 7 vs 6;
- fouls: 18 vs 21;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 7;
- shots on target: 3 vs 4.
📊 Statistical preview of the official encounters between Casa Pia and Arouca:
- 9 matches played;
- home wins - 4, away wins - 2, draws - 3;
- goal count - 9 for Casa Pia, 6 for Arouca;
- average first-half total - 0.56, second-half total - 1.11;
- average total goals per match - 1.67.
Head-to-head statistics Casa Pia - Arouca
Casa Pia Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on in the Primeira Liga, featuring Nacional de Madeira at home against Casa Pia. The game ended in a 0-0 draw.
Here are the match statistics (Casa Pia vs Nacional de Madeira):
- possession: 31% vs 69%;
- corners: 1 vs 12;
- fouls: 11 vs 15;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 2;
- shots on target: 3 vs 4.
Casa Pia are still on the hunt for their form. The team has shown inconsistent results: two wins, four draws, and four losses in their last ten matches. With an average scoring rate of just one goal per game, they are struggling offensively. The squad has failed to secure a home victory in 10 of their last 11 matches, highlighting their instability on home turf. However, they are eager to improve their standings and climb higher up the league table. In their most recent head-to-head clash with their closest rival, Casa Pia secured a 2-0 victory.
Match Results: Casa Pia
Arouca Team Overview
The visitors last took to the field on in a Primeira Liga clash, where Arouca hosted Vitória Guimarães. The match ended in a 3-2 victory.
Here's a breakdown of the match statistics (Arouca vs Vitória Guimarães):
- possession: 51% vs 49%;
- corners: 1 vs 6;
- fouls: 18 vs 15;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 4;
- shots on target: 6 vs 6.
Arouca have recently displayed more consistent form than their closest rivals. In their last five matches, they have secured three wins and suffered two defeats, highlighting their ambition to climb the standings. With an average of 1.24 goals scored per game, Arouca showcase their attacking prowess, although they concede an average of 2.19 goals per match. The club performs confidently on the road, which is a significant advantage. Arouca aim to maintain a high tempo, which could be a decisive factor in this matchup.
Match Results: Arouca
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 9;
- home team wins - 4, away team wins - 2, draws - 3.
Statistics: Casa Pia vs Arouca
- matches played in the tournament: 21 vs 21;
- wins: 4 vs 6;
- win percentage: 19% vs 29%;
- losses: 10 vs 10;
- draws: 7 vs 5.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 2 vs 4;
- losses: 4 vs 4;
- draws: 4 vs 2.
- Casa Pia have not won in 10 of last 11 home games.
- Casa Pia have not won in 9 of last 10 home games (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1, the guests - 0.67;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 1.67;
- both teams scored: overall - 3; at the home team's field - 2.
Statistics: Casa Pia vs Arouca
- average total in the tournament: 2.9 vs 3.43;
- average total goals scored: 1.05 vs 1.24;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.43 vs 0.52;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.62 vs 0.71;
- Casa Pia: average total at home in the tournament - 1.2;
- Arouca: average total away in the tournament - 1.2;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1 (home - 1.4) vs 1.3 (away - 1.2).
- Arouca have scored under 1.5 goals in last 5 games against Casa Pia (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on corners
H2H
- average Over/Under corners in H2H matches - 8.55 (4.44 - for home team and 4.11 - for away team);
- average Over/Under corners at home team's field - 6.25 (2.75 - for home team and 3.5 - for away team).
Casa Pia: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.62; at home field - 3.1;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.3; at home field - 2.2.
Arouca: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.86, away - 3.5;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.1; away - 4.8.
- Casa Pia have taken under 4.5 corners in 7 of last 8 games (Primeira Liga).
- Casa Pia have taken under 4.5 corners in 6 of last 7 games.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 9;
- both teams scored all-time - 3 times;
- on the home team’s field - 2 times.
Statistics: Casa Pia vs Arouca
- number of matches played in the tournament: 21 vs 21;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 10 vs 11;
- number of BTTS matches for Casa Pia at home - 6 (60%);
- number of BTTS matches for Arouca away - 5 (50%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 6 vs 5;
- BTTS matches for Casa Pia at home - 4 (80%);
- BTTS matches for Arouca away - 2 (40%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (19/189, 10.1%);
- Casa Pia at home most often finish matches: 0:2 (3/10, 30%);
- Arouca away most often play: 3:1 (2/10, 20%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 12.71% (odds 6)
0:1 - 8.63% (odds 7.5)
1:2 - 8.32% (odds 9)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
The clash between Casa Pia and Arouca promises to be intense, given their recent performances. Casa Pia struggle with inconsistency on home turf, and their attack leaves much to be desired. Meanwhile, Arouca have been displaying more stability and confidence in away matches. Considering the current trends of both teams and their tendency to keep scores low, we predict a total under 2.5 goals for this match. This is supported by their head-to-head statistics and overall team play.
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Betting Tips: Casa Pia - Arouca
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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