Arouca vs Casa Pia Prediction 14 September 2025

    🔊 The upcoming clash between Arouca and Casa Pia promises to be intriguing, given the recent performances of both teams. Arouca sit mid-table and have shown more consistent form. Their attack looks confident, which could be the key to success against a less prolific opponent. Meanwhile, Casa Pia are fighting for survival and desperately need points to improve their standing.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official encounter between the teams took place on 04 May 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 0:0. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Arouca):

    • ball possession percentage: 64% vs 36%;
    • corner kicks: 5 vs 0;
    • fouls: 14 vs 14;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 6;
    • shots on target: 4 vs 0.

    📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Arouca and Casa Pia:

    • played 8 matches;
    • number of wins for the home team - 2, for the away team - 3, draws - 3;
    • number of goals - 6 against 7;
    • average total in the 1st half - 0.5, in the 2nd half - 1.13;
    • average total goals in the match - 1.63.

    Head-to-head statistics Arouca - Casa Pia

    20%
    2 Wins
    30%
    3 Draws
    50%
    5 Wins
    Total games
    10
    Total Goals Avg
    2
    Both teams scored
    40%
    0.8
    Total average
    1.2
    4
    Corner
    4.2
    1.8
    Yellow cards
    3.4
    Last matches
    14.02.26
    Primeira Liga
    Casa Pia
    Casa Pia
    Arouca
    Arouca
    1.9
    0.96
    2
    3
    20
    9
    5
    2
    3
    2
    3
    2
    0
    0
    1.9
    0.96
    2
    3
    20
    9
    5
    2
    14.09.25
    Primeira Liga
    Arouca
    Arouca
    Casa Pia
    Casa Pia
    0.29
    1.46
    7
    6
    18
    21
    2
    7
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0.29
    1.46
    7
    6
    18
    21
    2
    7
    04.05.25
    Primeira Liga
    Arouca
    Arouca
    1
    Casa Pia
    Casa Pia
    2
    1.05
    0.27
    5
    0
    14
    14
    2
    6
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1.05
    0.27
    5
    0
    14
    14
    2
    6
    20.12.24
    Примейра-лига
    Casa Pia
    Casa Pia
    Arouca
    Arouca
    0.86
    0.61
    3
    4
    9
    14
    2
    3
    3
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    0.86
    0.61
    3
    4
    9
    14
    2
    3
    18.02.24
    Примейра-лига
    Casa Pia
    Casa Pia
    Arouca
    Arouca
    -
    -
    2
    6
    5
    12
    0
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    2
    6
    5
    12
    0
    2
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    Arouca Team Overview

    The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Primeira Liga tournament (home team - Vitoria SC Guimaraes, away team - Arouca). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:1.

    Here's the game statistics (Arouca vs Vitoria SC Guimaraes):

    • ball possession: 46% vs 54%;
    • corner kicks: 2 vs 2;
    • fouls: 17 vs 15;
    • yellow cards: 4 vs 4;
    • shots on target: 3 vs 3.

    Arouca currently sit 9th in the league standings, striving to solidify their position. Following a heavy defeat by Sporting, they have bounced back with two consecutive draws. Their average goal-scoring rate stands at 1.75 goals per game, but their defense remains a concern, conceding an average of 2.75 goals per match. This is largely due to the unfortunate encounter with the champions, but Rio Ave also managed to put three past Vasco Seabra's side.

    Match Results: Arouca

    Last matches
    23.08.26
    liga portugal
    Porto
    Porto
    Arouca
    Arouca
    2.72
    0.45
    12
    2
    16
    8
    1
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    2.72
    0.45
    12
    2
    16
    8
    1
    0
    L
    16.08.26
    liga portugal
    Arouca
    Arouca
    Moreirense
    Moreirense
    1.72
    0.74
    5
    3
    10
    9
    3
    4
    4
    0
    3
    0
    1
    0
    1.72
    0.74
    5
    3
    10
    9
    3
    4
    W
    08.08.26
    liga portugal
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    Arouca
    Arouca
    1
    2.38
    0.31
    5
    2
    9
    7
    2
    3
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    2.38
    0.31
    5
    2
    9
    7
    2
    3
    W
    01.08.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Lusitania
    Lusitania
    Arouca
    Arouca
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    W
    25.07.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Santa Clara Azores
    Santa Clara Azores
    Arouca
    Arouca
    3
    0
    0
    0
    3
    0
    L
    Empty
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    Casa Pia Team Overview

    The away team played their last official match on as part of the Primeira Liga tournament (home team - Casa Pia, away - Nacional de Madeir). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:2.

    Here are the match stats (Casa Pia vs Nacional de Madeir):

    • ball possession: 62% vs 38%;
    • corner kicks: 2 vs 3;
    • fouls: 13 vs 22;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 3;
    • shots on target: 3 vs 2.

    Casa Pia are struggling this season, currently sitting in 15th place in the standings. Their recent performances have been far from ideal, with just one win against three defeats. Notably, the "Geese" have lost all these matches without scoring, with a cumulative scoreline of 0-8. On average, they score just 0.5 goals per match, while their defense concedes two goals per game. This highlights issues both in their attacking play and defensive organization.

    Match Results: Casa Pia

    Last matches
    24.08.26
    liga portugal
    Gil Vicente Barcelos
    Gil Vicente Barcelos
    Casa Pia
    Casa Pia
    1.66
    0.8
    3
    4
    11
    12
    1
    1
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    1.66
    0.8
    3
    4
    11
    12
    1
    1
    L
    17.08.26
    liga portugal
    Casa Pia
    Casa Pia
    1
    Benfica Lisbon
    Benfica Lisbon
    0.26
    2.4
    1
    3
    11
    13
    1
    0
    0
    7
    0
    2
    0
    5
    0.26
    2.4
    1
    3
    11
    13
    1
    0
    L
    08.08.26
    liga portugal
    Maritimo Madeira
    Maritimo Madeira
    Casa Pia
    Casa Pia
    1.22
    0.51
    2
    6
    17
    13
    2
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    1.22
    0.51
    2
    6
    17
    13
    2
    2
    L
    01.08.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Leixoes
    Leixoes
    Casa Pia
    Casa Pia
    -
    -
    3
    1
    -
    -
    2
    1
    6
    2
    3
    2
    3
    0
    -
    -
    3
    1
    -
    -
    2
    1
    L
    01.08.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Feirense
    Feirense
    Casa Pia
    Casa Pia
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    L
    Empty
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    Prediction for the 1st half

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Total encounters - 8;
    • First-half wins at home for hosts - 0; for visitors away - 0; number of draws - 4;
    • Average first-half total: 0.5;
    • Today's home team scores on average 0.13, while the visitors net 0.38.

    First-Half Stats: Arouca (home) vs Casa Pia (away)

    • matches played in the tournament: 2 vs 2;
    • wins: 2 (100%) vs 1 (50%);
    • losses: 0 (0%) vs 1 (50%);
    • draws: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%);
    • Average goals scored: 1 vs 2;
    • Average goals conceded: 0 vs 1.5.

    Last 10 Matches (Overall):

    • wins: 3 vs 1;
    • losses: 2 vs 6;
    • draws: 5 vs 3;
    • Average first-half total: 1.3 (scored - 0.6, conceded - 0.7) vs 1.4 (scored - 0.3, conceded - 1.1).
    Trends
    • Arouca have drawn in the 1st half in 7 of last 8 games against Casa Pia.
    👉Prediction: 1st Half Draw(odds: 2.01)

    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 8;
    • home team wins - 2, away team wins - 3, draws - 3.

    Statistics: Arouca vs Casa Pia

    • matches played in the tournament: 4 vs 4;
    • wins: 1 vs 1;
    • win percentage: 25% vs 25%;
    • losses: 1 vs 3;
    • draws: 2 vs 0.

    Last 10 matches:

    • wins: 3 vs 2;
    • losses: 2 vs 6;
    • draws: 5 vs 2.
    Trends
    • Casa Pia have not won in 9 of last 10 away games (Primeira Liga).
    👉Prediction: Arouca will not lose(odds: 1.26)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • today's home team scores on average - 0.75, the guests - 0.88;
    • average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 1.63;
    • both teams scored: overall - 3; at the home team's field - 1.

    Statistics: Arouca vs Casa Pia

    • average total in the tournament: 4.5 vs 2.5;
    • average total goals scored: 1.75 vs 0.5;
    • average total in the 1st half: 0.75 vs 0.25;
    • average total in the 2nd half: 1 vs 0.25;
    • Arouca: average total at home in the tournament -  3;
    • Casa Pia: average total away in the tournament - 1;
    • last 10 matches (average total): 1.5 (home - 2.2) vs 0.7 (away - 0.8).
    Trends
    • Casa Pia have scored under 1.5 goals in 7 of last 8 games against Arouca.
    • Casa Pia have scored under 1.5 goals in 7 of last 8 away games (Primeira Liga).
    👉Prediction: Casa Pia Total goals Under (1,5)(odds: 1.25)

    Prediction on corners

    H2H

    • average Over/Under corners in H2H matches - 8 (3.75 - for home team and 4.25 - for away team);
    • average Over/Under corners at home team's field - 9.75 (4 - for home team and 5.75 - for away team).

    Arouca: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.75; at home field - 4;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.3; at home field - 3.8.

    Casa Pia: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.25, away - 2.5;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.7; away - 2.6.
    Trends
    • Arouca have taken under 6.5 corners in last 6 games against Casa Pia (Primeira Liga).
    👉Prediction: Corners - Arouca Total Under (6,5)(odds: 1.4)

    Prediction on cards

    H2H

    • average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 3.5 (1.75 for home team and 1.75 for away team);
    • average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 6 (2 for home team and 4 for away team).

    Arouca: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.5; at home - 2.5;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.8; at home - 2.4.

    Casa Pia: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3, away - 3;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3; away - 4.
    👉Prediction: Yellow Cards - Total Over (5,5)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 8;
    • both teams scored all-time - 3 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 1 times.

    Statistics: Arouca vs Casa Pia

    • number of matches played in the tournament: 4 vs 4;
    • number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 3 vs 0;
    • number of BTTS matches for Arouca at home - 2 (100%);
    • number of BTTS matches for Casa Pia away - 0 (0%).

    Last 10 matches:

    • number of BTTS matches: 6 vs 4;
    • BTTS matches for Arouca at home - 3 (60%);
    • BTTS matches for Casa Pia away - 2 (40%).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (Yes)(odds: 1.9)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Arouca's form right now is impressive; they consistently score more than one goal per home game. Therefore, we can expect the hosts to be on the offensive. Yes, they have defensive issues, but their attack should make up for this shortcoming, especially against Casa Pia, who concede almost more than anyone else in the league. Looking at the stats and odds, a reasonable prediction seems to be betting on Arouca's individual total over 1 goal.

    Arouca Total goals Over (1)
    Published: 13/09/2025, 11:46

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    Betting Tips: Arouca - Casa Pia

    Arouca have drawn in the 1st half:
    fc-aroucacasa-pia-atleticoin 7 of last 8 games against Casa Pia.
    1st Half Draw
    Bovada
    +105
    Casa Pia have not won:
    casa-pia-atleticoin 9 of last 10 away games (Primeira Liga).
    Arouca will not lose
    Everygame
    -385
    Casa Pia have scored under 1.5 goals:
    fc-aroucacasa-pia-atleticoin 7 of last 8 games against Arouca.
    casa-pia-atleticoin 7 of last 8 away games (Primeira Liga).
    Casa Pia Total goals Under (1,5)
    Everygame
    -400
    Over 1.5 goals scored:
    fc-aroucain last 6 Arouca games (Primeira Liga).
    casa-pia-atleticoin last 6 Casa Pia games (Primeira Liga).
    Total goals Over (1,5)
    Everygame
    -227
    View more facts

    Arouca - Casa Pia Table position

    Liga Portugal 25/26
    gWDLGDPForm
    7.
    Moreirense
    Moreirense
    341271537-4943
    8.
    Arouca
    Arouca
    341261647-6442
    9.
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    341261639-5142
    15.
    Estrela
    Estrela
    346121638-5630
    16.
    Casa Pia
    Casa Pia
    346121631-5730
    17.
    Tondela
    Tondela
    346101827-5528

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    6 - Wins
    1 - Draw
    3 - Loses
    Wins - 2
    Draws - 2
    Loses - 6
    10 matches
    Scored - 18
    Conceded - 11
    +7
    -10
    5 - Scored
    15 - Conceded
    6
    Wins
    2
    1
    Draws
    2
    3
    Loses
    6
    Goal difference
    18
    Scored
    5
    11
    Conceded
    15
    2.9
    Match goals average
    2
    1.8
    Goals scored per match on average
    0.5
    1.1
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.5
    5
    Both teams scored
    2
    50'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    180'
    View all stats