Santos vs Sport Rec. Prediction 29 November 2025
🔊 In the 36th round, Santos host Sport Recife at Vila Belmiro, where the home side aim to climb up the standings. Santos, currently 17th, are unbeaten in their last three matches. Meanwhile, Sport Recife remain anchored at the bottom of the table and have long accepted their return to Serie B. The first-round encounter ended in a 2-2 draw. Can the less motivated visitors upset the hosts?
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 26 July 2025 and ended in a 2-2 draw. Here's a comparative breakdown of the stats from that encounter (with Sport Recife as the home side):
- possession: 41% vs 59%;
- corners: 4 vs 3;
- fouls: 24 vs 17;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 1;
- shots on target: 4 vs 5.
📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between Santos and Sport Recife:
- 27 matches played;
- home victories - 9, away victories - 8, draws - 10;
- goals scored - 33 for Santos, 29 for Sport Recife;
- average total in the first half - 1.15, in the second half - 1.15;
- average total goals per match - 2.3.
Head-to-head statistics Santos - Sport Rec.
Santos Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on during the 35th round of Serie A, featuring Internacional as the home side and Santos as the visitors. The game ended in a 1-1 draw.
Here are the match statistics (Santos vs Internacional):
- possession: 46% vs 54%;
- corner kicks: 0 vs 5;
- fouls: 10 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 0;
- shots on target: 2 vs 4.
⚪ Santos have recently defeated Palmeiras (1-0) and drawn against both Mirassol (1-1) and Internacional (1-1) in their last three matches. After 35 rounds, the "Fish" have accumulated 38 points, trailing just one point behind the 16th safe spot currently occupied by Vitória. A loss in the upcoming match could severely dent Juan Pablo Vojvoda's team's chances of survival. However, playing at home, Santos will focus on ball possession and aim to attack throughout the match. In the next two rounds, they face Juventude away and Cruzeiro at home.
Match Results: Santos
Recife PE Team Overview
The visitors last played an official match on during the 35th round of Serie A (Sport Recife as the home team, Vitória as the visitors). The game concluded with a 1-3 scoreline.
Here are the match statistics (Sport Recife vs Vitória):
- possession: 61% vs 39%;
- corner kicks: 8 vs 2;
- fouls: 19 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 1;
- shots on target: 1 vs 5.
🔴 Sport Recife have lost eight matches and long since bid farewell to any dreams of miraculous survival. Over 35 rounds, the "Lions" have managed just two wins, drawn 11 times, and suffered 22 defeats. Following their loss to Mirassol (1-2) at the end of October, the management replaced head coach Daniel Paulista with Cesar Lucena. However, under his leadership, the team has lost six matches with a combined score of 6-20. Throughout the season, their chance conversion rate has been disappointing-the average goals scored barely reaching 0.8 per game, while they concede an average of 1.89. Before they return to Serie B, besides facing Santos in the remaining rounds, the "Lions" will also play away against Bahia and host Gremio.
Match Results: Recife PE
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 27;
- Home wins - 9, Away wins - 8, Draws - 10.
Statistics: Santos vs Sport Recife
- Matches played in the tournament: 35 vs 35;
- Victories: 9 vs 2;
- Win percentage: 26% vs 6%;
- Losses: 15 vs 22;
- Draws: 11 vs 11.
Last 10 Matches:
- Wins: 2 vs 0;
- Losses: 4 vs 9;
- Draws: 4 vs 1.
- Sport Recife cover a +1.5 handicap in the last 5 consecutive head-to-head meetings.
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Today's home team average goals - 1.22, away team - 1.07;
- Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 2.3;
- Both teams scored: overall - 15 times; at the home team's ground - 5 times.
Statistics: Santos vs Sport Recife
- Average total in the tournament: 2.46 vs 2.69;
- Average goals scored: 1.03 vs 0.8;
- Average total in the first half: 0.37 vs 0.4;
- Average total in the second half: 0.66 vs 0.4;
- Santos: average home total in the tournament - 1.06;
- Sport Recife: average away total in the tournament - 0.65;
- Last 10 matches (average total): 1.1 (home - 1.2) vs 0.9 (away - 0.75).
- Total under 3.5 goals occurred in 12 of the last 14 head-to-head matches.
Corners Prediction
Santos: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 4.6; at home - 5.71;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 4.9; at home - 5.6.
Sport Recife: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 5.91, away - 6.06;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 6; away - 7.
- Santos record fewer than 6.5 corners in 8 of the last 9 head-to-head meetings.
- Santos record fewer than 6.5 corners in 6 of the last 7 Serie A head-to-head meetings.
Cards Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches
- Average total yellow cards in head-to-head matches - 3.26 (1.63 for the home team and 1.63 for the away team);
- Average total yellow cards at home ground - 3.54 (1.46 for the home team and 2.08 for the away team).
Santos: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 2.54; at home - 2.65;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 2.4; at home - 2.2.
Sport Recife: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 2.54, away - 2.41;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 2.5; away - 2.5.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 27;
- Both teams have scored overall - 15 times;
- At the home team's ground - 5 times.
Statistics: Santos vs Sport Recife
- Total matches played in the tournament: 35 vs 35;
- Total matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 18 vs 19;
- Santos BTTS at home - 8 (47%);
- Sport Recife BTTS away - 8 (47%).
Last 10 matches:
- Total BTTS matches: 6 vs 7;
- Santos BTTS at home - 3 (60%);
- Sport Recife BTTS away - 2 (50%).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Santos are desperately fighting for survival, sitting just one point away from the safety of 16th place. A home game and ball control tactics will be their key assets. Meanwhile, Sport Recife, already resigned to relegation to Serie B and having undergone a managerial change, display a poor conversion rate and weak defense. Despite this, their head-to-head history shows persistent resistance in matches against Santos. A tense match is expected, where the hosts' motivation is likely to outweigh the visitors' statistical shortcomings. Our prediction: Sport Recife to win with a (+1.5) handicap, as the "Lions" have covered this handicap in five consecutive head-to-head encounters. The predicted final score: 2-1 in favor of Santos.
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Betting Tips: Santos - Recife PE
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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