Toronto FC vs Orlando City Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 14 October 2026

Details
Key points

    🔉 With the decisive stretch of the MLS season approaching, Toronto sit four points outside the playoff places, while Orlando City are already among the sides in contention. Both teams have been scoring freely: Toronto are consistent at home in front of goal, while Orlando City carry a strong attacking threat on the road. The table gives both sides plenty to play for - the hosts need to close the gap, the visitors want to consolidate their position in the upper half. Against that backdrop, this match looks set to be an open, goal-filled affair.

    Head-to-Head

    Orlando City beat Toronto 3-0 at home in their MLS match on 12 September 2026. Toronto actually had more shots - 18 to 13 - and the expected goals figures were almost identical: 2.26 and 2.27.

    📊 Across 24 official meetings, Orlando City have won 11, Toronto 10, with three draws. The goal difference is equally tight: 39-38 in Orlando City's favour.

    Head-to-head statistics Toronto FC - Orlando City

    42%
    10 Wins
    13%
    3 Draws
    46%
    11 Wins
    Total games
    24
    Avg. total goals
    3.21
    Both teams scored
    58%
    1.58
    Average total
    1.63
    Last matches
    12.09.26
    mls
    Orlando City
    Orlando City
    Toronto
    Toronto
    2.27
    2.26
    4
    3
    13
    8
    3
    2
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0
    2.27
    2.26
    4
    3
    13
    8
    3
    2
    18.10.25
    MLS
    Toronto
    Toronto
    Orlando City
    Orlando City
    1.38
    2.57
    2
    8
    17
    17
    4
    2
    4
    2
    2
    0
    2
    2
    1.38
    2.57
    2
    8
    17
    17
    4
    2
    02.03.25
    Major League Soccer
    Orlando City SC
    Orlando City SC
    Toronto FC
    Toronto FC
    1.5
    0.39
    2
    2
    13
    9
    2
    0
    4
    2
    2
    0
    2
    2
    1.5
    0.39
    2
    2
    13
    9
    2
    0
    03.07.24
    MLS
    Toronto
    Toronto
    Orlando City
    Orlando City
    -
    -
    6
    4
    7
    6
    4
    3
    1
    2
    1
    2
    0
    0
    -
    -
    6
    4
    7
    6
    4
    3
    27.04.24
    MLS
    Orlando City
    Orlando City
    Toronto
    Toronto
    -
    -
    3
    4
    11
    13
    4
    4
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    2
    -
    -
    3
    4
    11
    13
    4
    4
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Toronto: First Win in Four Matches

    In their previous MLS match on 10 October 2026, Toronto beat Montreal Impact 2-1 at home after a goalless first half. The hosts had fewer shots on target - 5 against 7 - but held the advantage in expected goals: 1.58 to 1.12.

    🏆Throughout the MLS season, the team Toronto has engaged in 28 fixtures, resulting in:
    • 7 wins,
    • 10 losses,
    • 11 draws.

    📈Currently, Toronto stands at a mid-tier position within the MLS standings, with a win percentage of 25% and a loss percentage of 36%.

    ⚽️Toronto has scored a total of 41 goals. On the defensive end, Toronto has allowed 52 goals over the season.

    Match Results: Toronto

    Last matches
    10.10.26
    mls
    Toronto
    Toronto
    Montreal Impact
    Montreal Impact
    1.58
    1.12
    8
    6
    9
    17
    1
    3
    2
    1
    0
    0
    2
    1
    1.58
    1.12
    8
    6
    9
    17
    1
    3
    W
    27.09.26
    mls
    Nashville
    Nashville
    Toronto
    Toronto
    2.41
    0.74
    9
    3
    12
    9
    1
    0
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2.41
    0.74
    9
    3
    12
    9
    1
    0
    L
    20.09.26
    mls
    Saint-Louis City
    Saint-Louis City
    Toronto
    Toronto
    2.35
    0.89
    8
    4
    16
    9
    2
    2
    3
    1
    1
    0
    2
    1
    2.35
    0.89
    8
    4
    16
    9
    2
    2
    L
    12.09.26
    mls
    Orlando City
    Orlando City
    Toronto
    Toronto
    2.27
    2.26
    4
    3
    13
    8
    3
    2
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0
    2.27
    2.26
    4
    3
    13
    8
    3
    2
    L
    09.09.26
    mls
    Toronto
    Toronto
    Nashville
    Nashville
    2.39
    0.84
    3
    8
    9
    10
    1
    0
    2
    1
    0
    1
    2
    0
    2.39
    0.84
    3
    8
    9
    10
    1
    0
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Orlando City secured a win, but once again conceded more than a goal.

    Orlando City's 3-2 win over Columbus Crew in their last MLS match on 10 October 2026 came at home despite the visitors holding a 27-20 advantage in shots, including 15-8 on target. The Orlando City goalkeeper made 12 saves.

    Orlando City are entering the final stretch of the season with plenty to play for, sitting inside the playoff places and fighting to hold their position among the conference leaders. They stand out for their aggressive approach away from home - seven consecutive away matches have gone over 3.5 goals, and their average across all competitions over their last ten matches stands at 2.1 goals scored and 2.1 conceded. Five wins and four defeats reflect inconsistent form, but their attacking output is high enough to expect at least one or two goals against almost any opponent.

    Match Results: Orlando City

    Last matches
    10.10.26
    mls
    Orlando City
    Orlando City
    Columbus Crew
    Columbus Crew
    1.87
    2.39
    2
    11
    14
    11
    4
    2
    3
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1.87
    2.39
    2
    11
    14
    11
    4
    2
    W
    26.09.26
    mls
    Philadelphia Union
    Philadelphia Union
    Orlando City
    Orlando City
    2.89
    1.34
    7
    7
    19
    13
    2
    4
    4
    2
    2
    0
    2
    2
    2.89
    1.34
    7
    7
    19
    13
    2
    4
    L
    19.09.26
    mls
    New-England Revolution
    New-England Revolution
    Orlando City
    Orlando City
    1.5
    1.88
    10
    3
    7
    5
    4
    0
    4
    2
    1
    0
    3
    2
    1.5
    1.88
    10
    3
    7
    5
    4
    0
    L
    16.09.26
    US Open Cup
    Columbus Crew
    Columbus Crew
    Orlando City
    Orlando City
    -
    -
    8
    4
    16
    12
    1
    1
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    -
    -
    8
    4
    16
    12
    1
    1
    L
    12.09.26
    mls
    Orlando City
    Orlando City
    Toronto
    Toronto
    2.27
    2.26
    4
    3
    13
    8
    3
    2
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0
    2.27
    2.26
    4
    3
    13
    8
    3
    2
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Total Goals Prediction

    Orlando City have gone over 3.5 goals in seven consecutive away matches, confirming a consistent high-scoring trend. Their average across their last 10 away games is 2.2 goals per match, while Toronto average 2.07 goals scored and 1.93 conceded at home. The last five head-to-head meetings have also regularly produced at least three goals. All of this points to a high likelihood of a high-scoring match, so the pick is Total Goals - Over 3.5 at 1.92*.

    Corners Prediction

    In eight consecutive head-to-head matches between Toronto and Orlando City, the total corners has not exceeded 10.5. Such a consistent trend in their meetings supports a cautious bet on Total Corners - Under 10.5 at odds of 1.83*.

    Both Teams to Score Prediction

    Toronto have scored and conceded in each of their last 21 consecutive home matches, which points to a high likelihood of goals at both ends. Orlando City have averaged 2.2 goals scored and 3.36 conceded per game in their last 10 away matches, which further supports an open game on the road. Given the statistics and trends for both sides, Both Teams to Score - Yes looks justified at odds of 1.34*.

    Correct Score Prediction

    According to the algorithm's calculations, the top three most likely scorelines are: 1-1 (7.84%), 2-2 (7.77%) and 2-1 (7.39%). All three outcomes have similar probabilities, which points to a potentially high-scoring and closely contested match.

    *Odds are approximate and may vary across different bookmakers.*

    ⭐ Editor's Prediction

    The overall pattern of the season points to both teams being quite open: MLS trends confirm regular high-scoring affairs involving Toronto and Orlando City alike - particularly when it comes to the former's home matches and the latter's away fixtures. The clear lean towards Over bets in the visitors' recent run is reinforced by the hosts' attacking output in front of their own fans, with both sides playing boldly forward even under the pressure of the standings. The editor's main prediction is Total Goals - Over 3.5.

    Total goals Over (3,5)
    Bovada
    Place a bet+100
    Published: 13/10/2026, 13:05
    Alexander Martilionis
    Alexander Martilionis
    Football expert
    62
    2
    62
    126 predictions
    Statistics for October 2026

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    Betting Tips: Toronto - Orlando City

    Toronto have not won:
    toronto-fcorlando-city-scin 6 of last 7 home games against Orlando City (MLS).
    Orlando City will not lose
    MyBookie
    -213
    Toronto have not lost:
    toronto-fcin last 6 home games (MLS).
    Toronto will not lose
    MyBookie
    -294
    Toronto have scored:
    toronto-fcin last 23 home games.
    toronto-fcin last 22 home games (MLS).
    Orlando City have conceded:
    orlando-city-scin 18 of last 19 away games (MLS).
    orlando-city-scin 11 of last 12 away games.
    Toronto will score goal
    -1250
    Toronto have conceded:
    toronto-fcorlando-city-scin last 13 games against Orlando City (MLS).
    toronto-fcorlando-city-scin last 9 home games against Orlando City (MLS).
    toronto-fcin last 21 home games.
    toronto-fcin last 20 home games (MLS).
    toronto-fcin last 12 games (MLS).
    Orlando City have scored:
    orlando-city-scin last 20 games.
    orlando-city-scin last 16 games (MLS).
    orlando-city-scin 13 of last 14 away games.
    orlando-city-scin last 7 away games (MLS).
    Orlando City will score goal
    -909
    View more facts

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    4 - Wins
    3 - Draws
    3 - Losses
    Wins - 5
    Draw - 1
    Losses - 4
    10 matches
    Scored - 17
    Conceded - 20
    -3
    +1
    21 - Scored
    20 - Conceded
    4
    Wins
    5
    3
    Draws
    1
    3
    Losses
    4
    Goal difference
    17
    Scored
    21
    20
    Conceded
    20
    3.7
    Average total per match
    4.1
    1.7
    Goals scored per match on average
    2.1
    2
    Goals conceded per match on average
    2
    8
    Both teams scored
    8
    53'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    43'
    View all stats