Montreal vs Atlanta United Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 14 October 2026
CF Montréal and Atlanta United meet near the end of the MLS season with little meaningful at stake for either side. Both clubs sit in the lower half of the table, are not pushing for anything significant and face no real pressure from the danger zone. CF Montréal have been inconsistent at home, while Atlanta United have shown similar instability on the road. Recent results suggest the two sides are at a comparable level, making this a fairly even contest on paper.
Head-to-Head
Atlanta United beat Montreal Impact 3-1 in their MLS match on 02 May 2026. The shots on target were level at 5-5, though the winners had more attempts overall: 18 to 11.
📊 Atlanta United have won 11 of the 20 head-to-head meetings, Montreal Impact have won five, and four have ended in draws. On Montreal Impact's home ground the record is more even: four wins for the hosts, three draws and three defeats.
Head-to-head statistics Montreal - Atlanta United
Montreal Impact: a win would lift them off the bottom of the table
In their last MLS match on 10 October 2026, Montreal Impact lost away to Toronto 1-2, despite having more shots - 16 to 14 - and more shots on target - 7 to 5.
Montreal Impact are having a difficult season. They have won just two of their last ten matches and lost five of their last five. They are averaging 1.25 goals scored per game, but their defence is the weakest part of their game: they are conceding 2 goals per game across the season and even more - 2.1 - over their last ten matches. Their home record is also poor, with nine defeats or draws from ten home games underlining serious problems picking up points on their own ground.
Match Results: Montreal Impact
Atlanta United: Another Defeat Leaves the Team Rock Bottom
Atlanta United's home match against Cincinnati 10 October 2026 ended in a 1-3 defeat. In that MLS match, Atlanta had more possession and more shots - 16 to 13 - but lost the expected goals battle: 1.5 against 1.87.
Atlanta United look slightly more reliable than their opponents, based on their results over the last ten matches - four wins, three defeats and three draws, which suggests greater consistency and fewer collapses even away from home. Their average of 1.18 goals scored per game is modest, but they concede less (1.71) than the hosts both across the season and over the shorter run of recent weeks (1.5). The table situation is not adding any pressure on the visitors either: they have no immediate need to finish higher or avoid relegation.
Match Results: Atlanta United
Total Goals Prediction
In 6 of the last 7 head-to-head matches between Montreal Impact and Atlanta United at the home side's ground, the total goals have come in under 3.5. On top of that, neither team is particularly prolific: Montreal Impact average 1.36 goals per home game this season, while Atlanta United average just 0.93 per away game. The average goals conceded figures also don't point towards a high-scoring match. We're therefore backing Total Goals - Under 3.5 at odds of 1.62*.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
CF Montréal have scored and conceded in each of their last 5 head-to-head matches against Atlanta United. Looking at Montréal's last 10 home matches, they have averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.6 goals conceded, which also points to scoring from both sides. There is nothing in the data that clearly contradicts this scenario, so Both Teams to Score - Yes looks reasonable at 1.46*.
Reliable Bet
Atlanta United have scored fewer than 2.5 goals in 17 consecutive matches, forming a consistent low-scoring trend for the visitors. On top of that, the team are averaging fewer than one goal per away game this season (0.93). The bet on Atlanta United Team Total - Under 2.5 Goals is supported both by the overall statistics and by the trend. The odds are 1.14*.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the three most likely outcomes are 1:1 (10.87%), 2:1 (9.01%) and 1:0 (8.66%). Of these, a 1:1 draw is considered the most probable. The probabilities are distributed fairly evenly, with no single scenario clearly dominant.
*Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Both sides are seeing out the end of the season without any real objectives to play for, so the pressure to get a result is minimal for either team. That context could shape a match built around avoiding unnecessary risk after a prolonged spell of inconsistency. The trend points clearly in one direction: CF Montréal very rarely win at home - just one win in ten MLS matches supports a bet against an outright home victory, even accounting for their desire to put on a better showing for their supporters. The main prediction is Double Chance - X2 (Atlanta United not to lose).
Will this prediction come true?
No comments
Betting Tips: Montreal Impact - Atlanta United
in 9 of last 10 home games (MLS).
in 7 of last 8 home games against Atlanta United (MLS).in 12 of last 13 games against Atlanta United.in 11 of last 12 games against Atlanta United (MLS).in 10 of last 11 home games against Atlanta United.in 9 of last 10 home games against Atlanta United (MLS).in 20 of last 22 games (MLS).in 17 of last 19 away games.in 19 of last 20 games against Atlanta United.in 18 of last 19 games against Atlanta United (MLS).in last 11 home games against Atlanta United.in last 10 home games against Atlanta United (MLS).in 12 of last 13 home games.in 11 of last 12 home games (MLS).Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
