Kryliya vs Baltika Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 14 October 2026
🔉 Two sides from Group C meet in Samara, separated by just three points. Krylya Sovetov are second with six points and are unbeaten in their last seven matches across all competitions. Baltika have three points in the Russian Cup and have not won since the end of August.
Head-to-Head
📊 The first-leg meeting ended goalless after 90 minutes, with Samara winning on penalties. Baltika have not lost in normal time in the last five meetings between the sides, but overall in this head-to-head they trail on wins 5-7, with two draws.
Head-to-head statistics Kryliya - Baltika
Krylia Sovetov: Unbeaten Run Continues, But With Caveats
Krylya Sovetov come into this match on a seven-game unbeaten run across all competitions. In the RPL they have drawn with Spartak (1-1) and Lokomotiv (1-1), and they thrashed Akron 4-0 in a friendly. The draw tendency remains a feature, though: five of their last eight matches have ended level.
At home, Krylya Sovetov look vulnerable defensively. In 9 of their last 10 home cup matches, opponents have managed at least 11 shots, including blocked efforts, which points to problems at the back. At the same time, Samara rarely accumulate many cards - they have received no more than three yellow cards in 9 of their last 10 home cup matches.
Match Results: Krylya Sovetov
Baltika: winless since August
Baltika have not won since the end of August, when they beat Rodina away from home. Since then they have played five matches, losing three and drawing two. In the most recent RPL round they drew 0-0 with Akhmat in Grozny. In the Russian Cup, Baltika have yet to win in normal time: they drew with Makhachkala Dynamo (1-1, won on penalties), drew 0-0 with Krylya Sovetov (lost on penalties), and lost to Zenit (0-1).
Away from home, Baltika are extremely defensive. In 9 of their last 10 away Russian Cup matches the total goals did not exceed 3.5, and in nine consecutive away Cup halves they have not conceded more than one goal. The Kaliningrad side prefer to shut up shop and wait for the opposition to make mistakes.
Match Results: Baltika Kaliningrad
Latest news
Krylya Sovetov
Head coach Sergei Bulatov may rotate his squad: Samara have a Russian Premier League match against Rubin in three days, and the importance of that league fixture remains. The cup match could be an opportunity for fringe players to get some time.
Baltika Kaliningrad
Baltika have one absentee - defender Alexander Filin continues to recover from a cruciate ligament injury. Head coach Andrei Talalaev, speaking after the draw with Akhmat, noted that the team lacked confidence and that his substitutions had to be made using youth players.
Total Goals Prediction
In the last five head-to-head meetings, Krylya Sovetov have consistently scored fewer than 1.5 goals. Their seasonal statistics also point to low scoring: at home they have not scored at all (0 goals per game on average), and across the season as a whole just 0.67 goals per match. Both the recent statistics and the head-to-head trend support this bet. We're backing Krylya Sovetov Team Total - Under 1.5 at 1.39*.
Risky Bet
Krylya Sovetov Handicap (-0.25) is the more risky option. Over their last 10 matches, Krylya Sovetov have averaged 1.3 goals scored, while Baltika have conceded 1 goal per game over the same period. However, Krylya Sovetov have no home wins this season and the trend suggests they rarely win at home, which creates a certain conflict. That said, if Krylya Sovetov can convert their chances, the bet could come in. The odds are 2.59*.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the top three most likely outcomes are: 0-0 (21.55%), 0-1 (19.84%) and 1-0 (17.03%). A goalless draw is the most probable result, though the chances of a narrow win for either side are also very close. This points to an expectation of a low-scoring match.
*Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.
⭐ Editor's Pick
Krylya Sovetov and Baltika have both been playing cautious football in their recent matches. The Samara side are unbeaten but have not been pushing hard in attack. Baltika are even more conservative away from home: in their last ten matches, there has been more than three goals on just one occasion. The first meeting between these two sides in this season's competition ended goalless. Taking into account rotation on both sides and the statistics of both teams, a restrained, low-scoring game is the logical expectation. We are going with Total Goals - Under 2.5. Predicted score: 1-0.
Will this prediction come true?
No comments
Betting Tips: Krylya Sovetov - Baltika Kaliningrad
in 6 of last 7 home games (Russian Cup).in last 7 games.in 8 of last 9 games.in 13 of last 14 Krylya Sovetov games against Baltika Kaliningrad.in 6 of last 7 Krylya Sovetov home games against Baltika Kaliningrad.in 16 of last 18 Baltika Kaliningrad games.in 11 of last 12 Baltika Kaliningrad games (Russian Cup).in 7 of last 8 Baltika Kaliningrad away games.in last 5 Baltika Kaliningrad away games (Russian Cup).in 7 of last 8 Krylya Sovetov games against Baltika Kaliningrad.in 6 of last 7 Krylya Sovetov home games against Baltika Kaliningrad.in 11 of last 12 Krylya Sovetov home games.in 8 of last 9 Krylya Sovetov games (Russian Cup).Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
