Krasnodar vs Fakel Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 13 October 2026
🔉 In the fourth round of the Russian Cup, the top side in Group B meet the group's bottom side in Krasnodar. Both come into the match on the back of painful defeats in the league. Fakel were beaten 5-0 by Lokomotiv - their heaviest defeat of the season. Krasnodar lost for the first time in the league this season, going down 2-3 to Zenit. This match will show how those results have affected both sides.
Head-to-Head
📊 Fakel have never won in Krasnodar: three defeats and one draw. The Bulls have won the last three head-to-head meetings, and in all four of those matches they scored at least two goals. The two sides have met nine times in total: four Krasnodar wins, four draws and one Fakel win. The average total is three goals, though this season it came in only one of the two head-to-head meetings. In the league, Krasnodar won 3-2 at home, while in the Cup the two sides drew 1-1 in Voronezh.
Head-to-head statistics Krasnodar - Fakel
Krasnodar stumble for the first time, but remain favourites
Before the international break, Krasnodar had hit a rough patch: four draws in a row, one of which came in the Cup against Fakel (1:1), where the Bulls went through only on penalties. After the break, Murad Musaev's side faced Zenit and lost 2:3, suffering their first defeat of the season. Krasnodar have now gone five matches without a win in normal time, and most worryingly, defensive problems have crept in. Between 15 and 29 August the team won four matches all by a score of 1:0, but in the following five they conceded in four of them.
In the league, the club have dropped from first to fourth, though they are only one point behind the leaders. Next up is an away trip to Lokomotiv in the RPL, and rotation is not out of the question: Krasnodar lead their cup group and have a good chance of finishing in the top two to qualify for the upper half of the play-off bracket.
Match Results: Krasnodar
Fakel are winless in their last 13 matches
Fakel have simply not adapted to the RPL. The club have played 13 matches across the league and the Cup and have not been the stronger side in a single one of them. In the most recent RPL round they suffered their heaviest defeat of the season, losing 5-0 at home to Lokomotiv, with many of the goals stemming from individual errors. In the RPL, Fakel sit bottom with three points: five points off the play-off places and eight off the safety zone.
Their Cup position is no better. The team have just one point, picked up in their home match against Krasnodar. Fakel are bottom of Group B, already three points behind third place, which would earn a spot in the Regions Path play-off. Failing to take points in this round could effectively end their involvement. However, given their league situation, Voronezh may consciously set aside their Cup ambitions and focus on the championship.
Match Results: Fakel Voronezh
Latest news
Krasnodar
Viktor Tormena will miss the next RPL matchday through suspension, so he is almost certain to start in the Cup. There is a good chance of a debut for new signing Mayson Rodrigues, who came on for the final ten minutes against Zenit.
Fakel Voronezh
This cup match could be important for Ilnur Alshin, who has only just recovered from injury and is working his way back to match fitness. Following the defeat to Lokomotiv, Oleg Vasilenko left the club, with Alexei Rebko - who works with the Voronezh club's youth team - appointed as caretaker manager.
🟨 Yellow Cards Prediction
Total Goals - Under 4.5 yellow cards landed in 11 of Fakel's last 12 matches. Both teams are likely to play cautiously and avoid forcing the pace, particularly given the congested schedule and squad problems. The main bet for this match is Total Yellow Cards - Under 4.5.
⚽️ Goals Prediction
Fakel have scored no more than one goal in 9 of their last 10 matches. Despite Krasnodar's defensive problems, only Zenit and Krylia Sovetov have managed to score more than one goal against the Bulls in recent matches. Krasnodar have conceded no more than one goal in 7 of their last 10 official home matches. We're going with Fakel Team Total - Under 1.5 at odds of 1.18*.
🚩 Corners Prediction
There have been at least eight corners in 9 of the Voronezh club's last 10 matches. The hosts will have extra motivation after their defeat to Zenit, and fringe players looking to prove themselves will also feature. The overall corner count could be high. We're backing Total Corners - Over 7.5.
*Odds are approximate and may vary across different bookmakers.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Fakel have gone 13 matches without a win, and they have just one point in the Cup. Given their difficult position in the RPL, where they need to climb out of the relegation zone, the visitors are unlikely to throw everything into this competition. Krasnodar will be fired up after their defeat to Zenit, and the fringe players given a chance here will be looking to prove themselves. Even accounting for any emotional lift from the managerial change in Voronezh, the visitors are unlikely to offer serious resistance. We are backing a Krasnodar win. Predicted score: 2-0.
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Betting Tips: Krasnodar - Fakel Voronezh
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