Bahia Ba vs Cruzeiro Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 15 September 2025
🔊 In the 23rd round of Serie A, Bahia and Cruzeiro clash at the Arena Fonte Nova in Salvador. Both teams are vying for top positions in the standings: Bahia sit in 4th place with 36 points, while Cruzeiro hold second with 44. The hosts have shown consistency at home, remaining unbeaten in ten league matches, securing seven wins and three draws. However, Bahia have faced challenges recently-defeats to Mirassol in the league and elimination by Fluminense in the Brazilian Cup quarterfinals have exposed some vulnerabilities. Cruzeiro continue their impressive form with four wins in their last five matches, including advancing to the national cup semifinals, making them strong contenders for the title. They are battling for supremacy with Palmeiras and Flamengo. This match promises to be intense and tactically astute, where focus and the ability to capitalize on even the slightest errors will be crucial. The head-to-head history slightly favors the visitors, but Bahia at home can pose serious threats to any strong opponent.
Head-to-Head
The last official clash between the teams took place on 18 April 2025 and ended with a 3-0 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of the stats from that encounter (Cruzeiro were the home side):
- possession: 40% vs 60%;
- corners: 4 vs 5;
- fouls: 15 vs 9;
- yellow cards: 5 vs 2;
- shots on target: 7 vs 1.
📊 Statistical preview of the official encounters between Bahia and Cruzeiro:
- 23 matches played;
- home wins - 4, away wins - 12, draws - 7;
- goals scored - 21 versus 40;
- average total goals in the 1st half - 0.96, in the 2nd half - 1.7;
- average total goals per match - 2.65.
Head-to-head statistics Bahia Ba - Cruzeiro
Bahia Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on in the Copa do Brasil quarter-finals, where Fluminense hosted Bahia. The match concluded with a 2-0 victory for the home side.
Here are the game statistics (Bahia vs Fluminense):
- possession: 39% vs 61%;
- corners: 3 vs 2;
- fouls: 17 vs 16;
- yellow cards: 5 vs 2;
- shots on target: 1 vs 5.
⚪ In their latest league match, the "Tricolors" suffered a surprising and painful 5-1 away defeat to Mirassol. The team, which had been consistently performing throughout the season, was completely overwhelmed by their opponents and failed to contain the home side's attacks.
🔵 In the quarterfinals of the Copa do Brasil, Bahia faced Fluminense. On home turf, Rogério Ceni's side managed a narrow 1-0 victory, but in the return leg at the Maracanã, they fell 2-0, exiting the tournament with an aggregate score of 1-2.
🔴 Despite these setbacks, the season has also brought joyous moments for Bahia: the team claimed the Copa do Nordeste, convincingly defeating Série C's Confiança in the final-4-1 in the first away match and 5-0 on their home ground. This trophy served as a significant testament to the team's strength and determination, especially for the remainder of the season.
Match Results: Bahia
Cruzeiro Team Overview
The last official match for the current visitors took place on in the quarter-finals of the Copa do Brasil, with Cruzeiro hosting Atlético Mineiro. The match concluded with a 2-0 victory.
Here are the match statistics (Cruzeiro vs Atlético Mineiro):
- possession: 26% vs 74%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 10;
- fouls: 19 vs 9;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- shots on target: 6 vs 3.
🔵 In their latest league match on August 31, Cruzeiro secured a narrow 1-0 victory over São Paulo at home. Leonardo Jardim's side displayed organized defensive play and capitalized on their opportunity to score.
⚪ In the quarterfinals of the Copa do Brasil, Cruzeiro showcased impressive consistency and confidence by defeating Atlético Mineiro 2-0 in both legs, at the "MRV Arena" and the "Mineirão." These results propelled the team into the semifinals and solidified their status as one of the main contenders for the title in both the national championship and the national cup.
Match Results: Cruzeiro
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 23;
- Home wins - 4, Away wins - 12, Draws - 7.
Statistics: Bahia vs Cruzeiro
- Matches played in the tournament: 20 vs 22;
- Wins: 10 vs 13;
- Win percentage: 50% vs 59%;
- Losses: 4 vs 4;
- Draws: 6 vs 5.
Last 10 Matches:
- Wins: 6 vs 6;
- Losses: 2 vs 2;
- Draws: 2 vs 2.
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Today's home team scores an average of 0.91 goals, while the visitors score 1.74;
- Average total goals in head-to-heads - 2.65;
- Both teams have scored: overall - 12 times; at the home ground - 4 times.
Statistics: Bahia vs Cruzeiro
- Average total in the tournament: 2.5 vs 2.27;
- Average goals scored: 1.4 vs 1.59;
- Average first-half total: 0.65 vs 1;
- Average second-half total: 0.75 vs 0.59;
- Bahia: average home total in the tournament - 1.8;
- Cruzeiro: average away total in the tournament - 1.2;
- Last 10 matches (average total): 1.9 (home - 2.4) vs 1.4 (away - 1.75).
- Over 1.5 goals has hit in the last 6 head-to-head matches between these teams (Serie A).
- Over 1.5 goals has hit in the last 5 head-to-head matches between these teams.
- Over 1.5 goals has hit in 9 of Bahia's last 10 matches (Serie A).
- Over 1.5 goals has hit in Bahia's last 6 home matches (Serie A).
- Over 1.5 goals has occurred in 7 of Cruzeiro's last 8 matches.
Corners Prediction
Bahia: Statistics
- Season: average in the tournament - 4.3; at home - 4.2;
- Last 10 matches: average - 5.6; at home - 7.
Cruzeiro: Statistics
- Season: average in the tournament - 5.91, away - 4.4;
- Last 10 matches: average - 7.4; away - 5.25.
- Bahia have won fewer than 6.5 corners in 8 of their last 9 head-to-head encounters with this team.
- Bahia have won fewer than 6.5 corners in 6 of their last 7 head-to-head encounters (Serie A).
- Bahia have won fewer than 6.5 corners in 9 of their last 10 matches (Serie A).
Cards Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches
- Average total yellow cards in head-to-heads - 4.18 (2.09 for the home team and 2.09 for the visitors);
- Average total yellow cards at the home ground - 4.09 (2.36 for the home team and 1.73 for the visitors).
Bahia: Statistics
- Season: average in the tournament - 2.15; at home - 2.2;
- Last 10 matches: average - 2.2; at home - 2.
Cruzeiro: Statistics
- Season: average in the tournament - 2.45, away - 2.3;
- Last 10 matches: average - 2.6; away - 3.25.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 23;
- Both teams have scored overall - 12 times;
- At the home ground - 4 times.
Statistics: Bahia vs Cruzeiro
- Total matches played in the tournament: 20 vs 22;
- Total matches this season where both teams scored (BTTS): 10 vs 9;
- Bahia's BTTS at home - 6 (60%);
- Cruzeiro's BTTS away - 2 (20%).
Last 10 Matches:
- Total BTTS matches: 4 vs 4;
- Bahia's BTTS at home - 1 (20%);
- Cruzeiro's BTTS away - 1 (25%).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Bahia enter this match following a string of disappointing results, but Rogério Ceni's squad have shown strength at home and recently clinched the Copa do Nordeste, boosting their confidence. Cruzeiro are in excellent form and ready to prove their mettle in serious challenges. The visitors continue their pursuit of the top spot in Serie A and aim to keep the pressure on Palmeiras and Flamengo. The head-to-head history suggests Cruzeiro usually have the upper hand, yet Bahia know how to trouble strong opponents on their turf. Our pick: Cruzeiro will not lose. This prediction takes into account Bahia's home form, but the visitors clearly surpass them in current form and ambitions in the standings.
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Betting Tips: Bahia - Cruzeiro
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