Bahia Ba vs Cruzeiro Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 10 May 2026
🔊 The upcoming clash between Bahia and Cruzeiro promises to be an intriguing encounter. Bahia, currently sitting in 6th place, have shown inconsistent form. Meanwhile, Cruzeiro, in 15th place, are eager to improve their standing after a string of erratic performances. Both teams have their strengths, but recent trends suggest the visitors may have the upper hand.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 15 September 2025 and ended with a 1-2 scoreline. Let's take a look at the comparative statistics from that encounter (Bahia were the home side):
- possession percentage: 62% vs 38%;
- corner kicks: 6 vs 5;
- fouls: 11 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 3;
- shots on target: 5 vs 3.
📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between Bahia and Cruzeiro:
- 24 matches played;
- home wins - 4, away wins - 13, draws - 7;
- goals scored - 22 for Bahia, 42 for Cruzeiro;
- average total goals in the first half - 0.92, in the second half - 1.75;
- average total goals per match - 2.67.
Head-to-head statistics Bahia Ba - Cruzeiro
Bahia Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on as part of the Serie A tournament (home team - São Paulo, away team - Bahia). The match ended in a 2-2 draw.
Here are the match statistics (Bahia vs São Paulo):
- possession: 61% vs 39%;
- corner kicks: 10 vs 14;
- fouls: 12 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 4;
- shots on target: 8 vs 8.
🔵 Bahia have won four of their last ten matches, losing the same number. Their attack averages 1.5 goals per game, but their defense is equally prone to errors, conceding around 1.6 goals per match. Currently sitting in 6th place in the standings, Bahia have a chance to push for higher positions and will look to capitalize on their home advantage to improve their results.
Match Results: Bahia
Cruzeiro Team Overview
The visitors last played an official match on in the Copa Libertadores, where Universidad Católica hosted Cruzeiro. The match ended in a 0-0 draw.
Here are the match stats (Cruzeiro vs Universidad Católica):
- possession percentage: 47% vs 53%;
- corner kicks: 2 vs 5;
- fouls: 7 vs 16;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- shots on target: 1 vs 5.
⚪ Cruzeiro have secured five wins in their last ten matches, alongside three losses and two draws. The team showcases a balanced approach both offensively and defensively, averaging 1.2 goals scored and conceded per game. Despite currently sitting in 15th place, Cruzeiro possess the potential to fight for survival due to their solid play and ability to exploit their opponents' weaknesses.
Match Results: Cruzeiro
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- played - 24;
- first-half wins for the home team - 1; for the away team - 4; draws - 7;
- average first-half total: 0.92;
- today's home side averages 0.29 goals, while the visitors average 0.63.
First-Half Stats: Bahia (home) vs Cruzeiro (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 6 vs 6;
- wins: 2 (33.33%) vs 1 (16.67%);
- losses: 3 (50%) vs 3 (50%);
- draws: 1 (16.67%) vs 2 (33.33%);
- average goals scored: 1.67 vs 1.33;
- average goals conceded: 0.83 vs 1.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 3 vs 1;
- losses: 5 vs 3;
- draws: 2 vs 6;
- average first-half total: 1.5 (scored - 0.7, conceded - 0.8) vs 1 (scored - 0.3, conceded - 0.7).
- Bahia have lost the first half in their last 5 matches (Serie A).
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Played - 24;
- Home wins - 4, Away wins - 13, Draws - 7.
Statistics: Bahia vs Cruzeiro
- Matches in tournament: 13 vs 14;
- Wins: 6 vs 4;
- Win percentage: 46% vs 29%;
- Losses: 3 vs 6;
- Draws: 4 vs 4.
Last 10 Matches:
- Wins: 4 vs 5;
- Losses: 4 vs 3;
- Draws: 2 vs 2.
- Cruzeiro have covered the +1.5 spread in 6 of the last 7 head-to-head meetings.
- Cruzeiro have covered the +1.5 spread in 8 of their last 9 matches.
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches (average total):
- Home team - 0.92, Away team - 1.75;
- Overall - 2.67;
- Both teams scored: all-time - 13 times; at home ground - 5 times.
Average Total Statistics: Bahia vs Cruzeiro
- In tournament: 2.69 vs 3;
- Goals scored: 1.46 vs 1.29;
- First half: 0.77 vs 0.64;
- Second half: 0.69 vs 0.64;
- Bahia at home in tournament - 1.67;
- Cruzeiro away in tournament - 0.83;
- Last 10 matches: 1.5 (home - 1.8) vs 1.2 (away - 1).
- Bahia scores less than 1.5 goals in 12 of their last 14 head-to-head encounters (Serie A).
Corners Prediction
Bahia: Statistics
- Season: average total in tournament - 5.46; at home - 6;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 5.8; at home - 6.6.
Cruzeiro: Statistics
- Season: average total in tournament - 4.93, away - 4.17;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 3; away - 2.
- Cruzeiro have taken fewer than 4.5 corners away in five consecutive matches.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Played - 24;
- Both teams scored all-time - 13 times;
- At home ground - 5 times.
Statistics: Bahia vs Cruzeiro
- Played in tournament: 13 vs 14;
- Season matches where both teams scored (BTTS): 8 vs 8;
- Bahia BTTS at home - 4 (67%);
- Cruzeiro BTTS away - 3 (50%).
Last 10 matches:
- BTTS matches: 6 vs 5;
- Bahia BTTS at home - 3 (60%);
- Cruzeiro BTTS away - 2 (40%).
Exact Score Prediction
Frequent Result Statistics (current season):
- The most common scoreline in the tournament: 1-1 (18/137, 13.1%);
- Bahia at home most often finishes matches: 1-1 (2/6, 33.3%);
- Cruzeiro away frequently plays to: 0-1, 2-0, 2-1, 2-2, 4-0, or 4-1 (1/6, 16.7%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top three outcomes:
1-1 - 12.9% (Odds: 6)
1-0 - 9.61% (Odds: 7.5)
2-1 - 8.57% (Odds: 9)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Based on the head-to-head statistics between these teams, where Bahia often struggles to score (fewer than 1.5 goals), a low-scoring performance from the home side seems the most likely outcome. The trend supports placing a bet on Bahia's individual total under 1.5 goals: the Salvador club has scored fewer than 1.5 goals in 12 of their last 14 meetings with this opponent.
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Betting Tips: Bahia - Cruzeiro
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