Penarol vs Olimpia Prediction 14 May 2025
🎈Will the clash between Peñarol and Olimpia Asunción in the fifth round of the Copa Libertadores be a high-scoring affair? Peñarol have been showcasing strong form at home, winning six of their last seven matches. On the other hand, Olimpia are struggling on the road, which could be a pivotal factor in their encounter. Both teams are eager to climb the standings: the hosts sit in second place, while the visitors are in fourth. Despite Olimpia's struggles with scoring, both sides might surprise us with an energetic performance.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 23 April 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 0:0. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Olimpia Asuncion):
- ball possession percentage: 63% vs 37%;
- corner kicks: 6 vs 3;
- fouls: 19 vs 15;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- shots on target: 8 vs 3.
📊The sides have played three official matches. The statistics are as follows:
- goals: 2 against 2;
- average total in the 1st half - 0.67, in the 2nd half - 0.67;
- average total goals in the match - 1.33.
Head-to-head statistics Penarol - Olimpia
Penarol Montevideo Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Copa Libertadores tournament (home team - San Antonio Bulo Bulo, away team - Penarol Montevideo). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:3.
Here's the game statistics (Penarol Montevideo vs San Antonio Bulo Bulo):
- ball possession: 57% vs 43%;
- corner kicks: 6 vs 1;
- fouls: 3 vs 14;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- shots on target: 6 vs 0.
Peñarol are impressing with their form, currently sitting in second place on the league table. Their gameplay is built on a solid attack and a reliable defense, conceding an average of just 0.5 goals per home match. A recent winning streak underscores their motivation to contend for the top spot in the group. The "Aurinegros" exhibit strong ball control and effectively utilize the flanks to launch their attacking plays. In their last head-to-head clash with Olimpia, they played to a 0-0 draw, adding an extra layer of intrigue to this matchup.
Match Results: Penarol Montevideo
Olimpia Asuncion Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Primera Division, Apertura tournament (home team - Olimpia Asuncion, away - Club General Caballero JLM). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:3.
Here are the match stats (Olimpia Asuncion vs Club General Caballero JLM):
- ball possession: 50% vs 50%;
- corner kicks: 9 vs 4;
- fouls: 7 vs 9;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
- shots on target: 1 vs 5.
Olimpia Asunción are struggling to pick up points, with their Copa Libertadores campaign showing no wins, two draws, and two losses in four matches. However, the Paraguayan side still pose a threat due to their ability to score in almost every away game (13 consecutive matches). Their defense remains a weak point, conceding more than one goal per game on the road. The head-to-head history against Peñarol highlights the need for defensive improvement ahead of this encounter.
Match Results: Olimpia Asuncion
Latest news
Penarol Montevideo
Discussing Peñarol's lineup, it's important to highlight the loss of Felipe Avenatti- the forward is sidelined with a back injury until mid-May. Additionally, Germán Barbas remains out as he recovers from a cruciate ligament injury.
Olimpia Asuncion
Olimpia Asunción are dealing with several personnel setbacks. Derlis González, a key offensive player, will miss the match due to suspension. Additionally, Alex Franco (muscle injury - early June), César Olmedo (knee injury - mid-June), and Darío Benedetto (virus - late May) remain sidelined.
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 3;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 1; for visitors away - 0; number of draws - 0;
- Average first-half total: 0.67;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.33, while the visitors net 0.33.
First-Half Stats: Penarol Montevideo (home) vs Olimpia Asuncion (away)
- Number of matches played in the tournament: 1 vs 2;
- Number of wins: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%);
- Number of losses: 0 (0%) vs 2 (1%);
- Number of draws: 1 (1%) vs 0 (0%);
- Average goals scored: 0 vs 1;
- Average goals conceded: 0 vs 1.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Number of wins: 2 vs 1;
- Number of losses: 1 vs 4;
- Number of draws: 7 vs 5;
- Average first-half total: 0.7 (scored - 0.4, conceded - 0.3) vs 1.2 (scored - 0.4, conceded - 0.8).
- Penarol Montevideo have drawn in the 1st half in 6 of last 7 games (Copa Libertadores).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 3;
- home team wins - 1, away team wins - 1, draws - 1.
Statistics: Penarol Montevideo vs Olimpia Asuncion
- matches played in the tournament: 4 vs 4;
- wins: 2 vs 0;
- win percentage: 50% vs 0%;
- losses: 1 vs 2;
- draws: 1 vs 2.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 7 vs 3;
- losses: 2 vs 3;
- draws: 1 vs 4.
- Olimpia Asuncion won with a +1.5 handicap in last 18 away games.
- Olimpia Asuncion won with a +1.5 handicap in 7 of last 8 games.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- the home team scores on average - 0.67, the guests - 0.67;
- average over/under goals in head-to-head matches - 1.33;
- both teams scored: overall - 1; at the home team's field - 1.
- Over 1.5 goals scored in last 12 Penarol Montevideo home games.
- Over 1.5 goals scored in 8 of last 9 Olimpia Asuncion away games.
Prediction on corners
H2H
- average Over/Under corners in H2H matches - 9.33 (4 - for home team and 5.33 - for away team);
- average Over/Under corners at home team's field - 8 (2 - for home team and 6 - for away team).
Penarol Montevideo: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.25; at home field - 7;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5; at home field - 6.33.
Olimpia Asuncion: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 6, away - 6;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.9; away - 3.6.
- Under 9.5 corners in 7 of last 8 Penarol Montevideo games.
- Under 9.5 corners in last 5 Penarol Montevideo games (Copa Libertadores).
- Under 9.5 corners in 7 of last 8 Olimpia Asuncion games.
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 4 (2 for home team and 2 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 6 (2 for home team and 4 for away team).
Penarol Montevideo: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2; at home - 2;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.5; at home - 1.
Olimpia Asuncion: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.25, away - 2;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.3; away - 2.2.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 3;
- both teams scored all-time - 1 times;
- on the home team’s field - 1 times.
Statistics: Penarol Montevideo vs Olimpia Asuncion
- number of matches played in the tournament: 4 vs 4;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 1 vs 2;
- number of BTTS matches for Penarol Montevideo at home - 0 (0%);
- number of BTTS matches for Olimpia Asuncion away - 2 (100%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 3 vs 5;
- BTTS matches for Penarol Montevideo at home - 1 (33%);
- BTTS matches for Olimpia Asuncion away - 4 (80%).
- Olimpia Asuncion have scored and conceded in 8 of last 9 away games.
Editorial Prediction
Peñarol maintain strong chances of advancing from the group stage and will be playing for a win, especially with the home crowd behind them and the motivation of facing a bottom-ranked team. The team consistently delights fans with attacking football: in their last 12 home matches, the total has exceeded 1.5 goals each time. Olimpia Asunción also frequently engage in high-scoring affairs - at least two goals have been scored in eight of their last nine away games. With nothing left to lose, the visitors might adopt a more daring approach to the game. Given these circumstances, betting on a total over 1.5 goals appears to be a reasonable choice.
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Betting Tips: Penarol Montevideo - Olimpia Asuncion
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