PSV vs Nijmegen Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 14 March 2026
🔊 The upcoming clash between PSV and NEC Nijmegen is undoubtedly the highlight of the 27th round of the Eredivisie. PSV top the league table, thanks to their prolific attack and solid defense, positioning them as favorites. Meanwhile, NEC showcase consistency and fighting spirit, particularly on the road, which keeps them in the top three. But can Nijmegen challenge the best club in the Netherlands? Our editorial team offers an insightful prediction on their chances.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 03 March 2026 and ended with a scoreline of 3:2. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - NEC Nijmegen):
- ball possession percentage: 46% vs 54%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 6;
- fouls: 11 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- shots on target: 9 vs 7.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams PSV and NEC Nijmegen:
- played 13 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 10, for the away team - 2, draws - 1;
- number of goals - 39 against 20;
- average total in the 1st half - 2.46, in the 2nd half - 2.08;
- average total goals in the match - 4.54.
Head-to-head statistics PSV - Nijmegen
PSV Eindhoven Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Eredivisie tournament (home team - PSV, away team - AZ Alkmaar). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:1.
Here's the game statistics (PSV vs AZ Alkmaar):
- ball possession: 64% vs 36%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 6;
- fouls: 7 vs 4;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
- shots on target: 8 vs 5.
PSV firmly hold the top spot in the league, securing 22 victories in 26 matches. Their attacking prowess is impressive, averaging 2.88 goals per game. However, their defense isn't always flawless, conceding more than a goal per game on average. The last five matches have shown mixed form, with two losses, including a cup exit to NEC Nijmegen. Yet, on home turf in domestic competitions, PSV haven't tasted defeat since August.
Match Results: PSV Eindhoven
NEC Nijmegen Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Eredivisie tournament (home team - NEC Nijmegen, away - Volendam). The match concluded with a scoreline of 3:0.
Here are the match stats (NEC Nijmegen vs Volendam):
- ball possession: 57% vs 43%;
- corner kicks: 12 vs 1;
- fouls: 10 vs 7;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 0;
- shots on target: 11 vs 3.
NEC Nijmegen have recently climbed to third place in the Eredivisie standings, capitalizing on their rivals' slip-ups, even though the club itself has shown inconsistent form with only two wins in their last five matches. One of these victories came in the cup, where they defeated the league leaders. NEC can compete with Eindhoven in terms of scoring prowess: Nijmegen are the second-highest scoring team in the Eredivisie, although they concede significantly more than PSV, averaging 1.65 goals per match.
Match Results: NEC Nijmegen
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 13;
- home team wins - 10, away team wins - 2, draws - 1.
Statistics: PSV vs NEC Nijmegen
- matches played in the tournament: 26 vs 26;
- wins: 22 vs 13;
- win percentage: 85% vs 50%;
- losses: 2 vs 6;
- draws: 2 vs 7.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 6 vs 6;
- losses: 3 vs 2;
- draws: 1 vs 2.
- NEC Nijmegen won with a +1.5 handicap in 25 of last 26 games.
- NEC Nijmegen won with a +1.5 handicap in last 20 away games.
- NEC Nijmegen won with a +1.5 handicap in last 17 away games (Eredivisie).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 3, the guests - 1.54;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 4.54;
- both teams scored: overall - 9; at the home team's field - 3.
Statistics: PSV vs NEC Nijmegen
- average total in the tournament: 4.08 vs 4.12;
- average total goals scored: 2.88 vs 2.46;
- average total in the 1st half: 1.58 vs 0.88;
- average total in the 2nd half: 1.31 vs 1.58;
- PSV: average total at home in the tournament - 3.15;
- NEC Nijmegen: average total away in the tournament - 2.23;
- last 10 matches (average total): 2.3 (home - 2.5) vs 2.1 (away - 1.67).
- Over 3.5 goals scored in 6 of last 7 PSV games against NEC Nijmegen.
Prediction on corners
PSV: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 7.23; at home field - 7.62;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 7.4; at home field - 7.33.
NEC Nijmegen: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.73, away - 5.08;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6.4; away - 5.
- Over 10.5 corners in 7 of last 8 PSV games (Eredivisie).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 13;
- both teams scored all-time - 9 times;
- on the home team’s field - 3 times.
Statistics: PSV vs NEC Nijmegen
- number of matches played in the tournament: 26 vs 26;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 19 vs 21;
- number of BTTS matches for PSV at home - 10 (77%);
- number of BTTS matches for NEC Nijmegen away - 12 (92%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 9 vs 8;
- BTTS matches for PSV at home - 5 (83%);
- BTTS matches for NEC Nijmegen away - 3 (100%).
- PSV have scored and conceded in 10 of last 11 games (Eredivisie).
- PSV have scored and conceded in last 7 games.
- PSV have scored and conceded in 6 of last 7 home games.
- NEC Nijmegen have scored and conceded in 17 of last 18 away games.
- NEC Nijmegen have scored and conceded in 14 of last 15 away games (Eredivisie).
- NEC Nijmegen have scored and conceded in 13 of last 14 games (Eredivisie).
- NEC Nijmegen have scored and conceded in 6 of last 7 games.
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (25/234, 10.7%), 2:1 (25/234, 10.7%), 2:2 (25/234, 10.7%);
- PSV at home most often finish matches: 2:1 , 2:2 , 3:0 (2/13, 15.4%);
- NEC Nijmegen away most often play: 1:1 (3/13, 23.1%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
2:1 - 9.62% (odds 8.5)
3:1 - 6.93% (odds 9.5)
1:1 - 6.8% (odds 11)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
In the upcoming clash between PSV and NEC Nijmegen, fans can anticipate a high-scoring affair. Both teams boast strong attacking stats, but they also struggle with defensive reliability. Their recent head-to-head encounters have been thrilling, featuring three or more goals in 6 of their last 7 meetings. Despite being the away side, NEC recently demonstrated their ability to challenge the league leaders by defeating them in the cup. Given these circumstances, a bet on total over 3.5 goals seems reasonable.
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Betting Tips: PSV Eindhoven - NEC Nijmegen
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