Nijmegen vs PSV Prediction

    🔊 NEC Nijmegen are set to host PSV in the first leg of the Dutch Cup semi-finals. The hosts at "Goffertstadion" are not in their best form, which is why bookmakers favor the reigning champions to advance to the final. In their head-to-head encounters, these teams often deliver goal-fests, so we're eagerly anticipating the match, hoping the trend continues.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official encounter between the teams took place on 13 September 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 3:5. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - NEC Nijmegen):

    • ball possession percentage: 57% vs 43%;
    • corner kicks: 8 vs 4;
    • fouls: 8 vs 18;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 4;
    • shots on target: 7 vs 11.

    📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams NEC Nijmegen and PSV:

    • played 12 matches;
    • number of wins for the home team - 1, for the away team - 10, draws - 1;
    • number of goals - 17 against 37;
    • average total in the 1st half - 2.33, in the 2nd half - 2.17;
    • average total goals in the match - 4.5.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    21%
    3 Wins
    7%
    1 Draw
    71%
    10 Wins
    Total games
    14
    Total Goals Avg
    4.57
    Both teams scored
    71%
    1.64
    Total average
    2.93
    1.36
    Yellow cards
    1.14
    Last matches
    14.03.26
    Eredivisie
    PSV
    PSV
    NEC Nijmegen
    NEC Nijmegen
    1.67
    1.78
    7
    7
    8
    12
    0
    3
    2
    3
    1
    2
    1
    1
    1.67
    1.78
    7
    7
    8
    12
    0
    3
    03.03.26
    KNVB beker
    NEC Nijmegen
    NEC Nijmegen
    PSV
    PSV
    2.54
    1.51
    4
    6
    11
    12
    2
    2
    3
    2
    2
    2
    1
    0
    2.54
    1.51
    4
    6
    11
    12
    2
    2
    13.09.25
    Eredivisie
    NEC Nijmegen
    NEC Nijmegen
    PSV
    PSV
    2.22
    2.24
    8
    4
    8
    18
    2
    4
    3
    5
    1
    3
    2
    2
    2.22
    2.24
    8
    4
    8
    18
    2
    4
    01.02.25
    Eredivisie
    NEC Nijmegen
    NEC Nijmegen
    PSV
    PSV
    2.3
    2.45
    4
    5
    10
    5
    1
    1
    3
    3
    0
    0
    3
    3
    2.3
    2.45
    4
    5
    10
    5
    1
    1
    14.09.24
    Eredivisie
    PSV
    PSV
    NEC Nijmegen
    NEC Nijmegen
    1
    -
    -
    15
    3
    9
    3
    0
    1
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    15
    3
    9
    3
    0
    1
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    NEC Nijmegen Team Overview

    The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Eredivisie tournament (home team - NEC Nijmegen, away team - Fortuna Sittard). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:3.

    Here's the game statistics (NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard):

    • ball possession: 68% vs 32%;
    • corner kicks: 10 vs 5;
    • fouls: 10 vs 13;
    • yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
    • shots on target: 4 vs 9.

    NEC Nijmegen have shown solid performances this season, but they've hit a rough patch over their last four matches, failing to secure a single win. Despite being in the top three of the national league, they suffered two consecutive defeats at home. Notably, Dick Schreuder's squad reached the semifinals of the KNVB Cup without facing any formidable opposition. They knocked out three Second Division teams and then edged out Volendam (1-0), who are battling for survival in the Eredivisie.

    Match Results: NEC Nijmegen

    Last matches
    17.05.26
    Eredivisie
    NEC Nijmegen
    NEC Nijmegen
    Go Ahead Eagles
    Go Ahead Eagles
    4.16
    0.54
    13
    4
    12
    8
    1
    2
    2
    1
    2
    0
    0
    1
    4.16
    0.54
    13
    4
    12
    8
    1
    2
    W
    10.05.26
    Eredivisie
    Groningen
    Groningen
    NEC Nijmegen
    NEC Nijmegen
    1.61
    1.28
    5
    6
    16
    12
    2
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    1.61
    1.28
    5
    6
    16
    12
    2
    1
    L
    02.05.26
    Eredivisie
    NEC Nijmegen
    NEC Nijmegen
    Telstar
    Telstar
    1.61
    1.08
    9
    0
    10
    11
    3
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    1.61
    1.08
    9
    0
    10
    11
    3
    2
    D
    25.04.26
    Eredivisie
    Twente
    Twente
    NEC Nijmegen
    NEC Nijmegen
    1.44
    1.55
    3
    9
    6
    16
    1
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1.44
    1.55
    3
    9
    6
    16
    1
    2
    D
    19.04.26
    KNVB beker
    AZ Alkmaar
    AZ Alkmaar
    NEC Nijmegen
    NEC Nijmegen
    -
    -
    2
    8
    13
    11
    4
    3
    5
    1
    1
    0
    4
    1
    -
    -
    2
    8
    13
    11
    4
    3
    L
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    PSV Team Overview

    The away team played their last official match on as part of the Eredivisie tournament (home team - Heracles Almelo, away - PSV). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:3.

    Here are the match stats (PSV vs Heracles Almelo):

    • ball possession: 62% vs 38%;
    • corner kicks: 5 vs 3;
    • fouls: 14 vs 15;
    • yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
    • shots on target: 15 vs 3.

    PSV are in stellar form, dominating the Eredivisie with victories in 5 of their last 6 matches. During this stretch, they average 2.7 goals per game while conceding just once per match. The "Farmers" are racing towards another championship, sitting 17 points clear of their nearest rival. Meanwhile, in the KNVB Cup, Peter Bosz's side have faced tougher opposition than their upcoming opponents. For instance, in the previous round, they convincingly defeated Heerenveen (4-1), a team vying for European competition.

    Match Results: PSV

    Last matches
    17.05.26
    Eredivisie
    PSV
    PSV
    Twente
    Twente
    2.21
    1.71
    11
    9
    7
    5
    1
    1
    5
    1
    2
    1
    3
    0
    2.21
    1.71
    11
    9
    7
    5
    1
    1
    W
    10.05.26
    Eredivisie
    Go Ahead Eagles
    Go Ahead Eagles
    PSV
    PSV
    1.21
    2.76
    8
    4
    9
    7
    0
    0
    1
    4
    1
    2
    0
    2
    1.21
    2.76
    8
    4
    9
    7
    0
    0
    W
    02.05.26
    Eredivisie
    Ajax Amsterdam
    Ajax Amsterdam
    PSV
    PSV
    1.2
    1.81
    6
    4
    7
    14
    1
    2
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    1.2
    1.81
    6
    4
    7
    14
    1
    2
    D
    23.04.26
    Eredivisie
    PSV
    PSV
    PEC Zwolle
    PEC Zwolle
    2.02
    0.51
    4
    4
    10
    4
    1
    1
    6
    1
    1
    0
    5
    1
    2.02
    0.51
    4
    4
    10
    4
    1
    1
    W
    11.04.26
    Eredivisie
    Sparta
    Sparta
    PSV
    PSV
    1.16
    1.85
    2
    5
    6
    12
    1
    6
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    1.16
    1.85
    2
    5
    6
    12
    1
    6
    W
    Empty
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    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 12;
    • home team wins - 1, away team wins - 10, draws - 1.
    Trends
    • NEC Nijmegen won with a +1.5 handicap in 23 of last 24 games.
    • NEC Nijmegen won with a +1.5 handicap in 9 of last 10 home games.
    • NEC Nijmegen won with a +1.5 handicap in last 5 games (KNVB beker).
    👉Prediction: NEC Nijmegen Handicap (+1.5)(odds: 1.47)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • today's home team scores on average - 1.42, the guests - 3.08;
    • average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 4.5;
    • both teams scored: overall - 8; at the home team's field - 5.

    Statistics: NEC Nijmegen vs PSV

    • average total in the tournament: 3.25 vs 4.33;
    • average total goals scored: 2.25 vs 3.67;
    • average total in the 1st half: 1.25 vs 2.67;
    • average total in the 2nd half: 1 vs 1;
    • NEC Nijmegen: average total at home in the tournament -  1;
    • PSV: average total away in the tournament - 4;
    • last 10 matches (average total): 2.1 (home - 2) vs 2.1 (away - 1.6).
    Trends
    • PSV have scored over 1.5 goals in 11 of last 12 games against NEC Nijmegen.
    👉Prediction: PSV Total goals Over (1.5)(odds: 1.38)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 12;
    • both teams scored all-time - 8 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 5 times.
    Trends
    • NEC Nijmegen have scored and conceded in last 5 home games against PSV.
    • NEC Nijmegen have scored and conceded in 15 of last 16 games.
    • NEC Nijmegen have scored and conceded in 6 of last 7 home games.
    • PSV have scored and conceded in 6 of last 7 away games.
    • PSV have scored and conceded in last 5 games.
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (Yes)(odds: 1.35)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Considering current trends, a bet on both teams to score seems like a solid choice. However, bookmakers are offering rather modest odds for this market. This prompts us to explore other options, but we won't stray far from goals. Given PSV's incredibly high-scoring form this season, we suggest betting on over 3.5 total goals. This bet has come through in 5 of the last 6 head-to-head encounters between these teams and often with room to spare. Our predicted final score is 2-3.

    Our choice
    Total goals Over (3.5) at odds of -125*
    Everygame
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (2 March 2026, 17:10)

    Betting Tips: NEC Nijmegen - PSV

    NEC Nijmegen have not lost
    nec-nijmegen-1in 15 of last 17 games.
    NEC Nijmegen will not lose
    Everygame
    +107
    NEC Nijmegen have not won
    nec-nijmegen-1psv-eindhoven-2in 11 of last 12 games against PSV.
    PSV have not lost
    psv-eindhoven-2in 22 of last 24 away games.
    PSV will not lose
    Everygame
    -435
    NEC Nijmegen have scored
    nec-nijmegen-1in 33 of last 34 games.
    nec-nijmegen-1in last 22 home games.
    PSV have conceded
    psv-eindhoven-2in 12 of last 13 games.
    psv-eindhoven-2in last 7 away games.
    NEC Nijmegen will score goal
    Everygame
    -455
    NEC Nijmegen have conceded
    nec-nijmegen-1psv-eindhoven-2in last 12 games against PSV.
    nec-nijmegen-1psv-eindhoven-2in last 6 home games against PSV.
    nec-nijmegen-1in 15 of last 16 games.
    PSV have scored
    psv-eindhoven-2in 31 of last 32 games.
    psv-eindhoven-2in 24 of last 25 away games.
    PSV will score goal
    -
    View more facts

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    4 - Wins
    4 - Draws
    2 - Loses
    Wins - 6
    Draw - 1
    Loses - 3
    10 matches
    Scored - 17
    Conceded - 15
    +2
    +12
    30 - Scored
    18 - Conceded
    4
    Wins
    6
    4
    Draws
    1
    2
    Loses
    3
    Goal difference
    17
    Scored
    30
    15
    Conceded
    18
    3.2
    Match goals average
    4.8
    1.7
    Goals scored per match on average
    3
    1.5
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.8
    8
    Both teams scored
    9
    53'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    30'
    View all stats