Ajax vs Sparta Prediction 14 March 2026
🔊 The upcoming clash between Ajax and Sparta in Amsterdam could easily be considered the highlight of Eredivisie's Matchday 27. Both teams are currently in the European qualification spots, yet their recent form is far from impressive. Ajax have managed just one victory in their last five outings, while Sparta have failed to secure a win in the same stretch. Which team's disappointing run is more likely to end? Let's assess the odds in our editorial prediction.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 04 October 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 3:3. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Sparta):
- ball possession percentage: 33% vs 67%;
- corner kicks: 6 vs 4;
- fouls: 8 vs 9;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
- shots on target: 5 vs 4.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Ajax Amsterdam and Sparta:
- played 35 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 26, for the away team - 4, draws - 5;
- number of goals - 98 against 40;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.71, in the 2nd half - 2.23;
- average total goals in the match - 3.94.
Head-to-head statistics Ajax - Sparta
Ajax Amsterdam Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Eredivisie tournament (home team - Groningen, away team - Ajax Amsterdam). The match concluded with a scoreline of 3:1.
Here's the game statistics (Ajax Amsterdam vs Groningen):
- ball possession: 60% vs 40%;
- corner kicks: 8 vs 6;
- fouls: 7 vs 5;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 5 vs 6.
Ajax have recently slipped out of the Eredivisie's top three and are now sitting in 5th place. The Amsterdam side have managed just one win in their last five matches, although they rarely lose, with just one defeat over the same stretch. Their most pressing issues remain in defense, where they concede more than a goal per game. Nevertheless, Ajax are a formidable force at home, as evidenced by their head-to-head record against Sparta, winning 7 of the last 8 encounters.
Match Results: Ajax Amsterdam
Sparta Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Eredivisie tournament (home team - Sparta, away - PEC Zwolle). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:1.
Here are the match stats (Sparta vs PEC Zwolle):
- ball possession: 51% vs 49%;
- corner kicks: 6 vs 3;
- fouls: 7 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 1;
- shots on target: 7 vs 6.
Sparta sit just below Ajax in the standings, occupying the seventh spot, although they trail significantly with a six-point gap. The team is currently on a five-match winless streak in the league, suffering defeats in two of those games. Sparta's primary weakness lies in their defense. Despite holding a high position within the European competition zone, the Rotterdam side concede goals at a rate similar to clubs in the lower part of the table (43 goals in 26 matches) and possess the worst goal difference among the top 12 in the Eredivisie.
Match Results: Sparta
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 35;
- home team wins - 26, away team wins - 4, draws - 5.
Statistics: Ajax Amsterdam vs Sparta
- matches played in the tournament: 26 vs 26;
- wins: 11 vs 11;
- win percentage: 42% vs 42%;
- losses: 4 vs 10;
- draws: 11 vs 5.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 3 vs 4;
- losses: 2 vs 3;
- draws: 5 vs 3.
- Ajax Amsterdam have won in 7 of last 8 home games against Sparta (Eredivisie).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 2.8, the guests - 1.14;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.94;
- both teams scored: overall - 18; at the home team's field - 10.
Statistics: Ajax Amsterdam vs Sparta
- average total in the tournament: 3.15 vs 2.92;
- average total goals scored: 1.85 vs 1.27;
- average total in the 1st half: 1.08 vs 0.42;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.77 vs 0.85;
- Ajax Amsterdam: average total at home in the tournament - 1.85;
- Sparta: average total away in the tournament - 1.38;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.6 (home - 2) vs 1.6 (away - 1.8).
- Ajax Amsterdam have scored over 1.5 goals in 7 of last 8 home games against Sparta (Eredivisie).
Prediction on corners
Ajax Amsterdam: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.15; at home field - 5.69;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.8; at home field - 5.4.
Sparta: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.88, away - 4.77;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6.2; away - 5.2.
- Sparta have taken over 3.5 corners in last 5 games (Eredivisie).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 35;
- both teams scored all-time - 18 times;
- on the home team’s field - 10 times.
Statistics: Ajax Amsterdam vs Sparta
- number of matches played in the tournament: 26 vs 26;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 19 vs 12;
- number of BTTS matches for Ajax Amsterdam at home - 7 (54%);
- number of BTTS matches for Sparta away - 6 (46%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 8 vs 7;
- BTTS matches for Ajax Amsterdam at home - 4 (80%);
- BTTS matches for Sparta away - 4 (80%).
- Ajax Amsterdam have scored and conceded in 6 of last 7 games.
- Sparta have scored and conceded in last 5 games (Eredivisie).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (25/234, 10.7%), 2:1 (25/234, 10.7%), 2:2 (25/234, 10.7%);
- Ajax Amsterdam at home most often finish matches: 2:0 (5/13, 38.5%);
- Sparta away most often play: 0:1 (3/13, 23.1%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
2:1 - 10.7% (odds 7.5)
1:1 - 9.23% (odds 8)
1:0 - 8.88% (odds 9.5)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Both teams are not in their best form, but Ajax consistently delivers strong performances at home, especially against Sparta - with seven wins in their last eight head-to-head clashes. Over the same period, the hosts have also consistently scored more than 1.5 goals against the Rotterdam side. Meanwhile, the visitors' results have taken a downturn. Given Sparta's poor run and the history of their encounters, a victory for Ajax seems more likely.
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Betting Tips: Ajax Amsterdam - Sparta
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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