Sparta vs Ajax Prediction 4 October 2025
In the upcoming match, Sparta will host Ajax. Both teams are showcasing intriguing form, with the hosts experiencing inconsistency, having secured only two wins in their last five games, while the visitors remain unbeaten in their last seven. A key highlight of this encounter will be the attacking prowess of the visitors, who consistently score over 1.5 goals in their away games. For Sparta, this match presents an opportunity to solidify their position in the middle of the table and prove their competitiveness against a strong opponent.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 27 April 2025 and ended in a 1-1 draw. Here's a comparative breakdown of the statistics from that encounter (Ajax were the home side):
- possession: 66% vs 34%;
- corners: 11 vs 4;
- fouls: 10 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- shots on target: 5 vs 5.
📊Statistical preview of the official encounters between Sparta and Ajax:
- A total of 34 matches played;
- Home wins: 4, Away wins: 26, Draws: 4;
- Goals scored: 37 for the hosts, 95 for the visitors;
- Average goals in the first half: 1.71, in the second half: 2.18;
- Average total goals per match: 3.88.
Head-to-head statistics Sparta - Ajax

Sparta Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on in the Eredivisie, featuring Heracles Almelo as the hosts and Sparta as the visitors. The game concluded with a 3-0 scoreline.
Here are the match statistics (Sparta vs Heracles Almelo):
- possession percentage: 52% vs 48%;
- corners: 4 vs 5;
- fouls: 11 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 2;
- shots on target: 5 vs 5.
Sparta currently sit in 11th place, delivering mixed results with three wins and four losses in their last seven matches. In their most recent outing, they suffered a defeat, snapping a two-game winning streak. Known for their attacking style of play, they struggle defensively, conceding an average of 2.71 goals per game. The last head-to-head encounter between these teams ended in a 1-1 draw, indicating that Sparta can pose challenges even to stronger opponents.
Match Results: Sparta

Ajax Amsterdam Team Overview
The visitors last played an official match on in the Champions League, with Marseille hosting Ajax. The game ended in a 4-0 victory.
Here are the match statistics (Ajax vs Marseille):
- possession percentage: 52% vs 48%;
- corner kicks: 7 vs 1;
- fouls: 12 vs 18;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 2;
- shots on target: 2 vs 6.
Ajax are currently third in the standings, continuing their push for the top spot in the league with a solid unbeaten run of seven matches (four wins and three draws). Their attack ranks among the most prolific in the league, averaging two goals per game. However, they have struggled on the road, failing to secure a victory in their last six away matches-a factor to consider ahead of their clash against Sparta.
Match Results: Ajax Amsterdam
Latest news
Sparta
Sparta are in excellent form and have virtually no squad issues. The only player in the treatment room is the Japanese midfielder Mito, who is sidelined with a knee injury. All other players are fit and ready to take the field.
Ajax Amsterdam
Ajax, following their defeat to Marseille, have faced criticism. The head coach, in particular, has come under fire, though he remains in his position for now. Beyond their struggles in European competitions, Ajax are also dealing with injury issues. Dolberg, McConnell, Van den Boomen, and Weghorst will miss the match. Regier's participation is still uncertain.
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head:
- Total encounters - 34;
- Home wins - 4, Away wins - 26, Draws - 4.
Statistics: Sparta vs Ajax
- Matches played in the tournament: 7 vs 7;
- Wins: 3 vs 4;
- Win percentage: 43% vs 57%;
- Losses: 4 vs 0;
- Draws: 0 vs 3.
Last 10 Matches:
- Wins: 4 vs 5;
- Losses: 5 vs 2;
- Draws: 1 vs 3.
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-Head:
- Today's home side average goals - 1.09, away team - 2.79;
- Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 3.88;
- Both teams scored: overall - 17 times; at the home team's ground - 7 times.
Statistics: Sparta vs Ajax
- Average total in the tournament: 3.86 vs 3;
- Average goals scored: 1.14 vs 2;
- Average first-half goals: 0.43 vs 1.14;
- Average second-half goals: 0.71 vs 0.86;
- Sparta: average home total in the tournament - 1;
- Ajax: average away total in the tournament - 1.67;
- Last 10 matches (average total): 1.3 (home - 1) vs 1.6 (away - 1.25).
- Sparta score less than 1.5 goals in 7 of their last 8 head-to-head encounters with Ajax (Eredivisie).
Corners Prediction
Sparta: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 2.71; at home - 2.33;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 2.1; at home - 1.75.
Ajax: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 6.86, away - 7;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 6.2; away - 7.
- Sparta take fewer than 4.5 corners at home in 6 of their last 7 head-to-head encounters with Ajax (Eredivisie).
- Sparta take fewer than 4.5 corners in five consecutive matches (Eredivisie).
Cards Prediction
Head-to-Head
- Average total yellow cards in head-to-head matches - 2.42 (1.21 for the home team and 1.21 for the away team);
- Average total yellow cards at the home ground - 2.65 (1.18 for the home team and 1.47 for the away team).
Sparta: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 1.43; at home - 0.67;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 1.2; at home - 0.75.
Ajax: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 2, away - 3.33;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 1.8; away - 3.25.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-Head:
- Total encounters - 34;
- Both teams scored overall - 17 times;
- At the home team's ground - 7 times.
Statistics: Sparta vs Ajax
- Total matches played in the tournament: 7 vs 7;
- Total matches with both teams scoring this season (BTTS): Sparta - 3 vs Ajax - 5;
- Sparta's BTTS at home - 2 (67%);
- Ajax's BTTS away - 3 (100%).
Last 10 matches:
- Total BTTS matches: Sparta - 5 vs Ajax - 5;
- Sparta's BTTS at home - 3 (75%);
- Ajax's BTTS away - 3 (75%).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Considering the current form of both teams and their head-to-head statistics, Ajax appear to be the clear favorites in this matchup, thanks to their consistent form and formidable attacking lineup. However, given the visitors' high scoring ability and the home side's shaky defense, it seems Ajax will comfortably win this encounter. Moreover, heading into a short break, they will want to leave on a high note. Our bet is on an away victory.