Deportivo Garcilaso vs AD Tarma Prediction 14 February 2026
🔊 The clash between Deportivo Garcilaso and Tarma promises to be a thrilling encounter, given their current form and motivation. Both teams sit mid-table but are eager to climb the standings. The hosts have been underwhelming, with a string of draws. Meanwhile, the visitors exhibit inconsistent away performances with mixed results. In their last head-to-head, the hosts narrowly clinched a 1-0 victory. Based on this, the match is expected to be intense, with a focus on defense.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 01 November 2025 and ended with a 1-0 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of the stats from that encounter (Deportivo Garcilaso were the hosts):
- possession: 42% vs 58%;
- corners: 5 vs 4;
- fouls: 15 vs 5;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
- shots on target: 1 vs 1.
📊 Deportivo Garcilaso and Tarma have officially faced off in just two matches. Their most recent encounter took place on 01 November 2025 at Deportivo Garcilaso's home ground, ending in a 1-0 victory.
Head-to-head statistics Deportivo Garcilaso - AD Tarma

Deportivo Garcilaso Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on in the Primera Division, featuring UT Cajamarca as the home side against Deportivo Garcilaso. The match ended in a 1-1 draw.
Here's the game statistics (Deportivo Garcilaso vs UT Cajamarca):
- possession: 57% vs 43%;
- corner kicks: 6 vs 3;
- fouls: 9 vs 23;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 7;
- shots on target: 6 vs 2.
Deportivo Garcilaso, currently sitting 11th in the standings, are eager to climb up the table. The team has shown inconsistent form with three draws and one win in their last five matches. Their average scoring rate is just 0.8 goals per game, highlighting their struggles in attack. Garcilaso favor a cautious style of play with a strong focus on defense, but this approach doesn't always yield the desired results. In their most recent head-to-head, the team managed to secure a narrow 1-0 victory over Tarma. Despite this win, Deportivo Garcilaso continue to face challenges in their home fixtures.
Match Results: Deportivo Garcilaso

AD Tarma Team Overview
The visitors' last official match took place on in the Primera Division, with Tarma hosting Sport Boys. The game ended 1-0.
Here are the match stats (Tarma vs Sport Boys):
- Possession: 54% vs 46%;
- Corners: 4 vs 5;
- Fouls: 10 vs 11;
- Yellow cards: 3 vs 2;
- Shots on target: 8 vs 2.
Tarma, currently sitting in 9th place on the table, have shown more consistent form compared to their opponents. The team has managed to secure victories in recent matches, which is crucial and provides opportunities for further progress. Their defensive line performs commendably, conceding an average of just one goal per match. Tarma prefer a defensive approach but don't neglect counterattacks, making them a threat on the road.
Match Results: AD Tarma
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 2;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 0; for visitors away - 0; number of draws - 1;
- Average first-half total: 0;
- Today's home team scores on average 0, while the visitors net 0.
First-Half Stats: Deportivo Garcilaso (home) vs AD Tarma (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 1 vs 1;
- wins: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%);
- losses: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%);
- draws: 1 (100%) vs 1 (100%);
- Average goals scored: 0 vs 0;
- Average goals conceded: 0 vs 0.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 0 vs 3;
- losses: 3 vs 1;
- draws: 7 vs 6;
- Average first-half total: 0.5 (scored - 0, conceded - 0.5) vs 0.8 (scored - 0.5, conceded - 0.3).
- Deportivo Garcilaso have drawn in the 1st half in 6 of last 7 games (Primera Division).
- AD Tarma have drawn in the 1st half in last 5 away games (Primera Division).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 2;
- home team wins - 1, away team wins - 0, draws - 1.
Statistics: Deportivo Garcilaso vs AD Tarma
- matches played in the tournament: 2 vs 2;
- wins: 0 vs 1;
- win percentage: 0% vs 50%;
- losses: 0 vs 1;
- draws: 2 vs 0.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 2 vs 4;
- losses: 4 vs 3;
- draws: 4 vs 3.
- AD Tarma won with a +1.5 handicap in 11 of last 12 games (Primera Division).
Prediction on the over/under
- Under 2.5 goals scored in 7 of last 8 Deportivo Garcilaso home games (Primera Division).
- Under 2.5 goals scored in 6 of last 7 Deportivo Garcilaso games (Primera Division).
- Under 2.5 goals scored in 6 of last 7 AD Tarma away games (Primera Division).
- Under 2.5 goals scored in last 5 AD Tarma games (Primera Division).
Prediction on corners
H2H
- average Over/Under corners in H2H matches - 7.5 (4 - for home team and 3.5 - for away team);
- average Over/Under corners at home team's field - 9 (5 - for home team and 4 - for away team).
Deportivo Garcilaso: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.5; at home field - 3;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.3; at home field - 4.
AD Tarma: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.5, away - 3;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4; away - 3.2.
- Over 8.5 corners in 7 of last 8 AD Tarma games (Primera Division).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 2;
- both teams scored all-time - 0 times;
- on the home team’s field - 0 times.
Statistics: Deportivo Garcilaso vs AD Tarma
- number of matches played in the tournament: 2 vs 2;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 2 vs 0;
- number of BTTS matches for Deportivo Garcilaso at home - 1 (100%);
- number of BTTS matches for AD Tarma away - 0 (0%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 4 vs 4;
- BTTS matches for Deportivo Garcilaso at home - 2 (40%);
- BTTS matches for AD Tarma away - 2 (40%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:0 (4/18, 22.2%), 1:1 (4/18, 22.2%);
- Deportivo Garcilaso at home most often finish matches: 1:1 (1/1, 100%);
- AD Tarma away most often play: 2:0 (1/1, 100%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:0 - 14.77% (odds 6.5)
0:0 - 12.75% (odds 8)
1:1 - 12.33% (odds 6.5)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
The clash between Deportivo Garcilaso and Tarma promises to be a tactical battle, with both teams focusing on their defensive setups. Despite Deportivo Garcilaso's recent head-to-head victory, they are showing weak form with low scoring output. Tarma, on the other hand, have been more consistent and could leverage their counter-attacks to pose a threat. Given both teams' tendencies towards low-scoring matches and defensive emphasis, a bet on under 2.5 goals appears to be well-founded. This choice is supported by the home side's recent home match statistics and the visitors' generally cautious approach.