Pachuca vs Leon Prediction 14 January 2026
🔥 Pachuca host León in one of the most anticipated matches of Liga MX. Their current form raises many questions. Pachuca have recently endured a series of disappointing games but remain mid-table thanks to their attacking prowess. Meanwhile, León are fighting for survival and aim to break their away losing streak. Both teams will look to capitalize on their strengths: Pachuca will rely on their home form, while León will count on their solid defense. Read the prediction for their clash below!
Head-to-Head
The last official clash between the teams ended in a 1-1 draw. Here's a comparative breakdown of the stats from that encounter (with León as the home side):
- possession: 39% vs 61%;
- corners: 2 vs 5;
- fouls: 14 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 1;
- shots on target: 4 vs 7.
📊Statistical preview of the official encounters between Pachuca and Leon:
- 31 matches played;
- home wins - 13, away wins - 9, draws - 9;
- goals scored - 45 for Pachuca, 41 for Leon;
- average goals in the first half - 1.39, second half - 1.39;
- average total goals per match - 2.77.
Head-to-head statistics Pachuca - Leon
Pachuca Team Overview
The team's last official match took place in the Liga MX tournament, featuring Guadalajara as the home side and Pachuca as the visitors. The match concluded with a 2-0 scoreline.
Here are the match statistics (Pachuca vs Guadalajara):
- possession percentage: 42% vs 58%;
- corner kicks: 2 vs 5;
- fouls: 15 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 0;
- shots on target: 2 vs 6.
Pachuca, known for their aggressive home play, emerge as the favorites in this encounter. Their recent form shows inconsistency, with three losses and just one win in their last five matches. However, the "Tuzos" are always a threat with the backing of their home crowd, where they aim to dominate opponents through ball possession and rapid flank attacks. The last time these teams met was in August 2025, ending in a 1-1 draw, adding an extra layer of intrigue to the upcoming match.
Match Results: Pachuca
Leon Team Overview
The latest official match for the current visitors took place in the Liga MX tournament (home team - León, visitors - Cruz Azul). The match concluded with a 2-1 scoreline.
The game statistics are as follows (León vs Cruz Azul):
- possession percentage: 46% vs 54%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 6;
- fouls: 14 vs 17;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 1;
- shots on target: 6 vs 7.
León are struggling this season. The team have delivered underwhelming performances in their last five matches, suffering four defeats and securing just one draw. On the road, Los Esmeraldas appear particularly vulnerable, as recent outings have highlighted their low scoring output and defensive issues. Nevertheless, they can still be unpredictable due to the tactical adjustments their coach makes during games.
Match Results: Leon
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 31;
- home team wins - 13, away team wins - 9, draws - 9.
- Leon won with a +1.5 handicap in 7 of last 8 away games against Pachuca (Liga MX).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.45, the guests - 1.32;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.77;
- both teams scored: overall - 20; at the home team's field - 11.
Statistics: Pachuca vs Leon
- average total in the tournament: 2.55 vs 2.67;
- average total goals scored: 1.25 vs 0.89;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.75 vs 0.44;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.5 vs 0.44;
- Pachuca: average total at home in the tournament - 1.11;
- Leon: average total away in the tournament - 0.25;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.2 (home - 1.5) vs 0.8 (away - 0).
- Under 3.5 goals scored in 11 of last 12 Pachuca home games (Liga MX).
- Under 3.5 goals scored in 6 of last 7 Pachuca home games.
- Under 3.5 goals scored in last 6 Leon games (Liga MX).
Prediction on corners
Pachuca: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.6; at home field - 5.78;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.9; at home field - 3.75.
Leon: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.67, away - 4.5;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.4; away - 5.6.
- Leon have taken under 3.5 corners in 7 of last 8 away games against Pachuca (Liga MX).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 31;
- both teams scored all-time - 20 times;
- on the home team’s field - 11 times.
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:0 (19/179, 10.6%), 1:1 (19/179, 10.6%);
- Pachuca at home most often finish matches: 0:1 , 0:2 (2/9, 22.2%);
- Leon away most often play: 2:0 (4/8, 50%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:0 - 12.23% (odds 9)
2:0 - 10.56% (odds 9)
1:1 - 10.51% (odds 7.5)
- Leon lost 0:2 in last 4 away games (Liga MX).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
In the upcoming clash, Pachuca are likely to focus on solid defensive discipline, a strategy that traditionally helps them minimize threats on their home turf. This season, León have shown inconsistency in their attacking play on the road, often struggling to break down the well-organized defenses of top clubs. The home side's intense pressing in midfield will deny the visitors the chance to build prolonged positional attacks, limiting their offensive potential to sporadic counterattacks. Considering these factors and the pragmatic approach both teams take in their head-to-head encounters, León's individual total under 1.5 goals seems the most probable and logical outcome. A 2-0 scoreline is possible.
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Betting Tips: Pachuca - Leon
in last 5 away games (Liga MX).
in last 5 away games (Liga MX).in 7 of last 8 games (Liga MX).
in 16 of last 17 away games.in 13 of last 14 away games (Liga MX).in 10 of last 11 games (Liga MX).
Comparison of Teams Stats
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