Leon vs Pachuca Prediction 2 August 2026
💥 In the third round of the Mexican Apertura, an intriguing match takes place at the Nou Camp stadium in León. Local side León host Pachuca, desperate to end a poor run and pick up their first points of the new season. The visitors arrive in the city equally motivated - they need to bounce back after an unexpected slip against Querétaro last round. Both clubs have had a rough start to the campaign and are dealing with injury problems. Expect a no-nonsense contest between two ambitious sides, with the hosts giving everything on home turf.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the two sides ended 2-1. Here's the key stats from that game (Pachuca were the home side):
- Possession: 47% vs 53%;
- Corners: 4 vs 6;
- Fouls: 8 vs 4;
- Yellow cards: 1 vs 0;
- Shots on target: 8 vs 2.
📊 Head-to-head stats from official meetings between León and Pachuca:
- 32 matches played;
- 9 wins for the home side, 14 for the visitors, 9 draws;
- 42 goals scored by León, 47 by Pachuca;
- average first-half total - 1.38, second-half - 1.41;
- average match total - 2.78.
Head-to-head statistics Leon - Pachuca
Leon Team Overview
The last official match was played in the Liga MX (Tijuana at home, León away). The final score was 1-0.
Match stats (León vs Tijuana):
- Possession: 61% vs 39%;
- Corners: 10 vs 3;
- Fouls: 13 vs 12;
- Yellow cards: 2 vs 0;
- Shots on target: 2 vs 3.
León have had a rough start to the Apertura - two games, two defeats, sitting 17th. A narrow loss to Tijuana was followed by a more open match against Atlas, but they still came out on the wrong end of a 2-3 result. Things got worse with the news on Ángel Estrada: a broken leg, out until the end of August. No points yet, but there's something there in attack. Back at the Nou Camp, they'll want to put things right.
Match Results: Leon
Pachuca Team Overview
The visitors' last official match was in Liga MX - Pachuca hosted Querétaro and lost 1-2.
Match stats (Pachuca vs Querétaro):
- Possession: 53% vs 47%
- Corners: 1 vs 6
- Fouls: 15 vs 10
- Yellow cards: 2 vs 3
- Shots on target: 2 vs 5
Pachuca sit sixth in the table with three points. They opened the season strongly - a 3-0 win over Pumas - but dropped points in round two, losing 1-2 to Querétaro. Their injury list has also grown after defender Alan Mozo suffered a nasty leg fracture. Going forward they look sharp and direct, but away from home they've been inconsistent. In this one, expect them to be more cautious - the aim is to take something back from a difficult trip.
Match Results: Pachuca
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.31, the guests - 1.47;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.78;
- both teams scored: overall - 21; at the home team's field - 9.
Statistics: Leon vs Pachuca
- average total in the tournament: 3 vs 3;
- average total goals scored: 1 vs 2;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.5 vs 1.5;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.5 vs 0.5;
- Leon: average total at home in the tournament - 2;
- Pachuca: average total away in the tournament - 3;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.3 (home - 1.8) vs 1.6 (away - 1.6).
- Pachuca have scored under 1.5 goals in last 9 away games against Leon (Liga MX).
Prediction on corners
Leon: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 8; at home field - 6;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6.1; at home field - 6.8.
Pachuca: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.5, away - 4;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.1; away - 3.6.
- Leon have taken over 4.5 corners in 6 of last 7 games (Liga MX).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 32;
- both teams scored all-time - 21 times;
- on the home team’s field - 9 times.
Statistics: Leon vs Pachuca
- number of matches played in the tournament: 2 vs 2;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 1 vs 1;
- number of BTTS matches for Leon at home - 1 (100%);
- number of BTTS matches for Pachuca away - 0 (0%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 4;
- BTTS matches for Leon at home - 3 (60%);
- BTTS matches for Pachuca away - 2 (40%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 0:1 (3/18, 16.7%), 2:1 (3/18, 16.7%);
- Leon at home most often finish matches: 2:3 (1/1, 100%);
- Pachuca away most often play: 0:3 (1/1, 100%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 10.08% (odds 6.5)
1:2 - 8.44% (odds 8.5)
0:2 - 7.45% (odds 11)
⭐ Editor's Pick
León have nowhere left to go, and a third straight home defeat would be a serious blow. They're strong at home - the crowd tends to make a difference. Pachuca showed defensive problems last round, struggling under pressure. Losing Alan Mozo at the back only gives León's attack more to work with. Given all that, the double chance for the home side looks like the logical call here.
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Betting Tips: Leon - Pachuca
in 8 of last 9 home games against Pachuca (Liga MX).
in last 9 away games against Leon (Liga MX).
in 7 of last 8 Leon home games against Pachuca (Liga MX).in last 7 Pachuca games (Liga MX).in 26 of last 28 games (Liga MX).in 12 of last 13 home games (Liga MX).
Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
