Sunderland vs Newcastle Prediction 14 December 2025
🔊 Who will emerge victorious in the battle for a top-10 spot in the Premier League between Sunderland and Newcastle? Currently, the Black Cats sit higher on the table in ninth place. However, thanks to an unbeaten run of four matches in the EPL, the Magpies have closed the gap to just one point from the top ten. The upcoming clash will take place at the Stadium of Light, where Sunderland have yet to suffer a defeat this season. Which team's successful streak is more likely to continue? Our editorial team offers an insightful prediction on the odds for both teams.
Head-to-Head
📊 It's hard to believe, but the last Tyne-Wear derby in the Premier League took place almost a decade ago, back in March 2016. The match was held at St. James' Park and ended in a draw (1-1). The teams crossed paths again in last year's English League Cup at the Stadium of Light, where the visitors secured a convincing victory (3-0).
Head-to-head statistics Sunderland - Newcastle
Sunderland Team Overview
Sunderland's results have dipped recently. Over the past four matches, the Black Cats have suffered two losses-matching the number of defeats they had in their first 11 games. As a result, the team that was recently in the top four under Régis Le Bris has now slipped to ninth place in the Premier League. They are three points adrift of the fourth spot.
Sunderland's decline coincides with facing tougher opposition. Last week began with a resilient home victory over Bournemouth (3-2). The win was particularly valuable as the Black Cats were trailing 0-2 during the match. This was followed by a draw against Liverpool (1-1). Finally, Régis Le Bris's side visited the blue half of Manchester, where they were comprehensively defeated by the Citizens (0-3).
Match Results: Sunderland
Newcastle United Team Overview
The Magpies have picked up seven points from their last three fixtures. Their only slip-up came in a home match against Tottenham (2-2). By the 86th minute, they were narrowly ahead at 2-1, but Spurs, through their captain Cristian Romero, leveled the score in added time. The other two matches resulted in convincing victories over Everton (4-1) and Burnley (2-1). These results didn't alter their league standing (12th place), but Eddie Howe's side are now within touching distance of the Premier League's top ten, with the gap to Liverpool reduced to just one point.
Surprisingly, Newcastle also hold the 12th spot in the Champions League. Just two rounds ago, the Magpies were in a position to advance to the round of 16, but they have failed to secure a win in their last two matches. Their most recent result was a 2-2 draw away at Bayer Leverkusen. The initiative shifted back and forth between the teams, as reflected in the possession stats (51% to 49% in favor of the hosts). The visitors had fewer shots on goal (13 compared to 17) but outperformed the Germans in terms of quality chances (2.52 xG to 1.52 xG). By the 74th minute, the English side led 2-1, but much like their Premier League clash with Tottenham, they conceded late to miss out on victory.
Match Results: Newcastle United
Latest news
Sunderland
🎙 Sunderland's head coach commented on the thrashing by Manchester City in the 15th round of the Premier League. "The likely reason for such a result is the challenge of consistently performing at a high level. Just three days ago, we were in Liverpool and, I believe, put on a very strong performance against the Scousers. But today, we perhaps lacked the intensity needed to be competitive. We defended well and tried to attack under pressure, but it wasn't enough," said Régis Le Bris.
❌ Since the start of 2025, Aji Alese has been unable to return due to a shoulder injury. In September, Habib Diarra suffered a groin strain. Midweek also took its toll on Sunderland. Reinildo Mandava missed the last match due to a muscle injury, and his participation in the upcoming game remains uncertain.
Newcastle United
🎙 Newcastle's head coach assessed the draw against Bayer in the 6th round of the Champions League. "I'm not sure. Goals happen, but today our defense wasn't reliable enough. They found it too easy to break through the center of our defense in the second instance. At halftime, I was dissatisfied-not so much with the quality of play, but with the noticeable lack of belief that we could score. We need to create chances ourselves and have that inner belief. Off the ball, we got close to them but didn't take that final step. This draw leaves us in a good position in the fight for a top-8 spot. It's all in our hands, though we have two tough matches ahead. Our task now is to switch focus to the Premier League, where we've been on a decent run," said Eddie Howe.
❌ The match against Bayer was marked by two events: Yoann Wissa's tournament debut and Joelinton's injury. According to Eddie Howe, the Brazilian suffered a groin injury. His condition is still being assessed by the medical staff. However, those definitely out for the 16th round of the Premier League are Nick Pope, Sven Botman, Emil Krafth, William Osula, and Kieran Trippier.
🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards
The main referee for the match is Peter Bankes. His average number of yellow cards in his last 10 Premier League matches stands at 4.1. This figure is slightly higher in Sunderland's last five matches, at 4.4. For Newcastle, the average is 3.8 over the same period. We anticipate a high level of intensity in the upcoming game, as both teams are battling for a top-10 spot in the league. The point difference between them is minimal (just one point), and a win could bring one of the sides closer to the top 5. Our prediction: total yellow cards over 3.5.
⚽️ Goal Prediction
In Sunderland's last two home matches, a total of nine goals were scored. The games at Stadium of Light consistently offer excitement, with over 2.5 goals scored in 5 of the last 8 matches. Similarly, Newcastle's last seven away games have seen the same level of scoring. The Magpies come into the 16th Premier League round after a midweek European fixture, which might leave them not in peak physical condition. We believe the Black Cats can create plenty of chances against them. Editor's pick: total goals over 2.5.
🚩 Corner Prediction
Newcastle have recently emerged as leaders in corner kicks in the Premier League. Eddie Howe's team averages 6.13 corners per match, surpassing giants like Arsenal and Chelsea. This achievement comes from their hybrid 4-3-3 formation, which shifts to a more defensive 4-1-2-3 setup when needed. This tactical flexibility has allowed the Magpies to earn at least five corners in six consecutive matches across all competitions. We believe that at the Stadium of Light, Newcastle's total corners will be over 4.5.
Editorial Prediction
A four-match unbeaten streak positions Newcastle as the clear favorites, according to the bookmakers. However, it's worth noting that the Magpies are heading into the Premier League's Round 16 after an energy-draining Champions League fixture midweek. Additionally, they face a trip to a team that has yet to lose at home this season in the league. While the gap in quality is evident-Sunderland were in the Championship just last season-Regis Le Bris's squad doesn't appear to be a mere former lower-tier side anymore.
Both teams have a penchant for trading goals, a trend seen in six of Sunderland's last seven home games and in all seven of Newcastle's recent away fixtures. We anticipate a similar scenario this weekend at the Stadium of Light. Our bet: both teams to score (yes). Considering Newcastle's potential fatigue after the Champions League and Sunderland's recent home comebacks, we give a slight edge to the hosts with a scoreline of 2-1.
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Betting Tips: Sunderland - Newcastle United
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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