Neftchi Baku vs Sumgayit Prediction 15 December 2025
🔔How will young players cope with the pressure of this match? There may be squad rotations from the coaching staff, so the game between Neftchi Baku and Sumgayit may differ from the usual. The meeting will take place at the Bakcell Arena stadium in the city of Baku as part of the Premier League tournament. The match is scheduled for 15:00 15 December.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 21 September 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 0:2. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Sumgayit):
- ball possession percentage: 46% vs 54%;
- corner kicks: 2 vs 10;
- fouls: 0 vs 0;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 1;
- shots on target: 5 vs 5.
📊 Analytical review of previous official games between the teams Neftchi Baku and Sumgayit:
- played 58 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 27, for the away team - 17, draws - 14;
- number of goals (home/away) - 84 against 62;
- average total goals in the match - 2.52.
Head-to-head statistics Neftchi Baku - Sumgayit

Neftchi Baku Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on 8 December 2025 as part of the Premier League tournament (home team - Sabah, away team - Neftchi Baku). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:0.
Here are the game statistics (Neftchi Baku vs Sabah):
- ball possession: 41% vs 59%;
- corner kicks: 0 vs 3;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 0;
- shots on target: 3 vs 8.
- 3 wins,
- 4 losses,
- 7 draws.
📈Currently, Neftchi Baku stands at a mid-tier position within the Premier League standings, with a win percentage of 21% and a loss percentage of 29%.
⚽️Neftchi Baku has scored a total of 16 goals. On the defensive end, Neftchi Baku has allowed 14 goals over the season.
Match Results: Neftchi Baku

Sumgayit Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on 9 December 2025 as part of the Premier League tournament (home team - Sumgayit, away - Imisli). The match ended with a score of 1:0.
Here are the game statistics (Sumgayit vs Imisli):
- ball possession: 62% vs 38%;
- corner kicks: 2 vs 3;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 3;
- shots on target: 6 vs 2.
- 7 wins,
- 5 losses,
- 2 draws.
📈Currently, Sumgayit stands at a mid-tier position within the Premier League standings, with a win percentage of 50% and a loss percentage of 36%.
⚽Sumgayit has scored a total of 20 goals. On the defensive end has allowed 17 goals over the season.
Match Results: Sumgayit
Prediction for the 1st half
First Half Statistics: Neftchi Baku (Home) vs Sumgayit (Away)
- Number of matches played in the tournament: 7 vs 5;
- Number of wins: 1 (14.29%) vs 0 (0%);
- Number of losses: 1 (14.29%) vs 1 (20%);
- Number of draws: 5 (71.43%) vs 4 (80%);
- Average total goals scored: 1.29 vs 0.6;
- Average total goals conceded: 0.57 vs 0.4.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Number of wins: 2 vs 2;
- Number of losses: 1 vs 3;
- Number of draws: 7 vs 5;
- Average first half total: 1.1 (scored - 0.7, conceded - 0.4) vs 1.2 (scored - 0.6, conceded - 0.6).
- Neftchi Baku have drawn in the 1st half in 6 of last 7 games (Premier League).
- Neftchi Baku have drawn in the 1st half in last 5 games.
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 58;
- home team wins - 27, away team wins - 17, draws - 14.
Statistics: Neftchi Baku vs Sumgayit
- matches played in the tournament: 14 vs 14;
- wins: 3 vs 7;
- win percentage: 21% vs 50%;
- losses: 4 vs 5;
- draws: 7 vs 2.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 3 vs 7;
- losses: 4 vs 3;
- draws: 3 vs 0.
- Sumgayit won with a +1.5 handicap in last 5 away games against Neftchi Baku.
- Sumgayit won with a +1.5 handicap in last 9 away games.
- Sumgayit won with a +1.5 handicap in 8 of last 9 games.
- Sumgayit won with a +1.5 handicap in last 7 away games (Premier League).
- Sumgayit won with a +1.5 handicap in 6 of last 7 games (Premier League).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.45, the guests - 1.07;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.52;
- both teams scored: overall - 27; at the home team's field - 16.
Statistics: Neftchi Baku vs Sumgayit
- average total in the tournament: 2.14 vs 2.64;
- average total goals scored: 1.14 vs 1.43;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.36 vs 0.5;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.79 vs 0.93;
- Neftchi Baku: average total at home in the tournament - 1.43;
- Sumgayit: average total away in the tournament - 1.2;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.9 (home - 3.75) vs 2 (away - 2).
- Sumgayit have scored in last 7 games.
Prediction on corners
Neftchi Baku: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.5; at home field - 6.29;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.8; at home field - 6.75.
Sumgayit: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.21, away - 1.2;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3; away - 3.2.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 58;
- both teams scored all-time - 27 times;
- on the home team’s field - 16 times.
Statistics: Neftchi Baku vs Sumgayit
- number of matches played in the tournament: 14 vs 14;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 5 vs 6;
- number of BTTS matches for Neftchi Baku at home - 4 (57%);
- number of BTTS matches for Sumgayit away - 2 (40%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 5;
- BTTS matches for Neftchi Baku at home - 4 (100%);
- BTTS matches for Sumgayit away - 2 (40%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (10/83, 12%);
- Neftchi Baku at home most often finish matches: 0:0 (2/7, 28.6%);
- Sumgayit away most often play: 0:1 , 0:2 , 1:0 , 1:1 , 1:2 (1/5, 20%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
- Neftchi Baku drew 1:1 in 3 of last 4 home games against Sumgayit.
Editorial Prediction
- Under 2.5 goals scored in 6 of last 7 Neftchi Baku games against Sumgayit.