Neftchi Baku vs Sumgayit Prediction 15 December 2025

    🔔How will young players cope with the pressure of this match? There may be squad rotations from the coaching staff, so the game between Neftchi Baku and Sumgayit may differ from the usual. The meeting will take place at the Bakcell Arena stadium in the city of Baku as part of the Premier League tournament. The match is scheduled for 15:00 15 December.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official encounter between the teams took place on 21 September 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 0:2. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Sumgayit):

    • ball possession percentage: 46% vs 54%;
    • corner kicks: 2 vs 10;
    • fouls: 0 vs 0;
    • yellow cards: 3 vs 1;
    • shots on target: 5 vs 5.

    📊 Analytical review of previous official games between the teams Neftchi Baku and Sumgayit:

    • played 58 matches;
    • number of wins for the home team - 27, for the away team - 17, draws - 14;
    • number of goals (home/away) - 84 against 62;
    • average total goals in the match - 2.52.

    Head-to-head statistics Neftchi Baku - Sumgayit

    48%
    29 Wins
    25%
    15 Draws
    28%
    17 Wins
    Total games
    61
    Total Goals Avg
    2.59
    Both teams scored
    49%
    1.51
    Total average
    1.08
    1.54
    Yellow cards
    1.23
    Last matches
    16.08.26
    Premier League
    Sumgayit
    Sumgayit
    1
    Neftchi Baku
    Neftchi Baku
    -
    -
    3
    2
    2
    1
    1
    4
    1
    3
    0
    2
    1
    1
    -
    -
    3
    2
    2
    1
    1
    4
    05.04.26
    Premier League
    Sumgayit
    Sumgayit
    Neftchi Baku
    Neftchi Baku
    -
    -
    7
    5
    -
    -
    1
    0
    1
    3
    0
    1
    1
    2
    -
    -
    7
    5
    -
    -
    1
    0
    15.12.25
    Premier League
    Neftchi Baku
    Neftchi Baku
    Sumgayit
    Sumgayit
    -
    -
    3
    6
    -
    -
    2
    5
    2
    2
    1
    0
    1
    2
    -
    -
    3
    6
    -
    -
    2
    5
    21.09.25
    Premier League
    Sumgayit
    Sumgayit
    Neftchi Baku
    Neftchi Baku
    -
    -
    2
    10
    0
    0
    3
    1
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    -
    -
    2
    10
    0
    0
    3
    1
    28.04.25
    Premier League
    Sumgayit
    Sumgayit
    Neftchi Baku
    Neftchi Baku
    -
    -
    1
    4
    0
    0
    3
    3
    2
    2
    1
    0
    1
    2
    -
    -
    1
    4
    0
    0
    3
    3
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Neftchi Baku Team Overview

    The team's last official match took place on 8 December 2025 as part of the Premier League tournament (home team - Sabah, away team - Neftchi Baku). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:0.

    Here are the game statistics (Neftchi Baku vs Sabah):

    • ball possession: 41% vs 59%;
    • corner kicks: 0 vs 3;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 0;
    • shots on target: 3 vs 8.
    🏆Throughout the Premier League season, the team Neftchi Baku has engaged in 14 fixtures, resulting in:
    • 3 wins,
    • 4 losses,
    • 7 draws.

    📈Currently, Neftchi Baku stands at a mid-tier position within the Premier League standings, with a win percentage of 21% and a loss percentage of 29%.

    ⚽️Neftchi Baku has scored a total of 16 goals. On the defensive end, Neftchi Baku has allowed 14 goals over the season.

    Match Results: Neftchi Baku

    Last matches
    30.08.26
    Premier League
    Zira
    Zira
    Neftchi Baku
    Neftchi Baku
    1
    -
    -
    8
    6
    1
    0
    2
    2
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    8
    6
    1
    0
    2
    2
    L
    23.08.26
    Premier League
    Neftchi Baku
    Neftchi Baku
    Araz Nakhchivan PFK
    Araz Nakhchivan PFK
    -
    -
    4
    5
    -
    -
    2
    2
    5
    0
    4
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    4
    5
    -
    -
    2
    2
    W
    16.08.26
    Premier League
    Sumgayit
    Sumgayit
    1
    Neftchi Baku
    Neftchi Baku
    -
    -
    3
    2
    2
    1
    1
    4
    1
    3
    0
    2
    1
    1
    -
    -
    3
    2
    2
    1
    1
    4
    W
    30.07.26
    UECL
    Dinamo Minsk
    Dinamo Minsk
    Neftchi Baku
    Neftchi Baku
    1
    -
    -
    2
    7
    27
    11
    2
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    2
    7
    27
    11
    2
    1
    W
    22.07.26
    UECL
    Neftchi Baku
    Neftchi Baku
    Dinamo Minsk
    Dinamo Minsk
    -
    -
    5
    3
    13
    10
    1
    1
    2
    4
    2
    1
    0
    3
    -
    -
    5
    3
    13
    10
    1
    1
    L
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Sumgayit Team Overview

    The away team played their last official match on 9 December 2025 as part of the Premier League tournament (home team - Sumgayit, away - Imisli). The match ended with a score of 1:0.

    Here are the game statistics (Sumgayit vs Imisli):

    • ball possession: 62% vs 38%;
    • corner kicks: 2 vs 3;
    • yellow cards: 3 vs 3;
    • shots on target: 6 vs 2.
    🏆Throughout the Premier League season, the team Sumgayit has engaged in 14 fixtures, resulting in:
    • 7 wins,
    • 5 losses,
    • 2 draws.

    📈Currently, Sumgayit stands at a mid-tier position within the Premier League standings, with a win percentage of 50% and a loss percentage of 36%.

    ⚽Sumgayit has scored a total of 20 goals. On the defensive end has allowed 17 goals over the season.

    Match Results: Sumgayit

    Last matches
    31.08.26
    Premier League
    Sumgayit
    Sumgayit
    Qarabag
    Qarabag
    1
    -
    -
    4
    11
    9
    15
    1
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    4
    11
    9
    15
    1
    1
    L
    16.08.26
    Premier League
    Sumgayit
    Sumgayit
    1
    Neftchi Baku
    Neftchi Baku
    -
    -
    3
    2
    2
    1
    1
    4
    1
    3
    0
    2
    1
    1
    -
    -
    3
    2
    2
    1
    1
    4
    L
    22.05.26
    Premier League
    Sumgayit
    Sumgayit
    Qarabag
    Qarabag
    -
    -
    6
    1
    5
    7
    1
    3
    3
    4
    0
    2
    3
    2
    -
    -
    6
    1
    5
    7
    1
    3
    L
    17.05.26
    Premier League
    Zira
    Zira
    Sumgayit
    Sumgayit
    -
    -
    11
    2
    -
    -
    2
    1
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    -
    -
    11
    2
    -
    -
    2
    1
    L
    09.05.26
    Premier League
    Sumgayit
    Sumgayit
    Araz Nakhchivan PFK
    Araz Nakhchivan PFK
    -
    -
    6
    3
    -
    -
    1
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    6
    3
    -
    -
    1
    1
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Prediction for the 1st half

    First Half Statistics: Neftchi Baku (Home) vs Sumgayit (Away)

    • Number of matches played in the tournament: 7 vs 5;
    • Number of wins: 1 (14.29%) vs 0 (0%);
    • Number of losses: 1 (14.29%) vs 1 (20%);
    • Number of draws: 5 (71.43%) vs 4 (80%);
    • Average total goals scored: 1.29 vs 0.6;
    • Average total goals conceded: 0.57 vs 0.4.

    Last 10 Matches (Overall):

    • Number of wins: 2 vs 2;
    • Number of losses: 1 vs 3;
    • Number of draws: 7 vs 5;
    • Average first half total: 1.1 (scored - 0.7, conceded - 0.4) vs 1.2 (scored - 0.6, conceded - 0.6).
    Trends
    • Neftchi Baku have drawn in the 1st half in 6 of last 7 games (Premier League).
    • Neftchi Baku have drawn in the 1st half in last 5 games.
    👉Prediction: 1st Half Draw (odds: 2.09)

    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 58;
    • home team wins - 27, away team wins - 17, draws - 14.

    Statistics: Neftchi Baku vs Sumgayit

    • matches played in the tournament: 14 vs 14;
    • wins: 3 vs 7;
    • win percentage: 21% vs 50%;
    • losses: 4 vs 5;
    • draws: 7 vs 2.

    Last 10 matches:

    • wins: 3 vs 7;
    • losses: 4 vs 3;
    • draws: 3 vs 0.
    Trends
    • Sumgayit won with a +1.5 handicap in last 5 away games against Neftchi Baku.
    • Sumgayit won with a +1.5 handicap in last 9 away games.
    • Sumgayit won with a +1.5 handicap in 8 of last 9 games.
    • Sumgayit won with a +1.5 handicap in last 7 away games (Premier League).
    • Sumgayit won with a +1.5 handicap in 6 of last 7 games (Premier League).
    👉Prediction: Sumgayit Handicap (+1,5) (odds: 1.29)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • today's home team scores on average - 1.45, the guests - 1.07;
    • average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.52;
    • both teams scored: overall - 27; at the home team's field - 16.

    Statistics: Neftchi Baku vs Sumgayit

    • average total in the tournament: 2.14 vs 2.64;
    • average total goals scored: 1.14 vs 1.43;
    • average total in the 1st half: 0.36 vs 0.5;
    • average total in the 2nd half: 0.79 vs 0.93;
    • Neftchi Baku: average total at home in the tournament -  1.43;
    • Sumgayit: average total away in the tournament - 1.2;
    • last 10 matches (average total): 1.9 (home - 3.75) vs 2 (away - 2).
    Trends
    • Sumgayit have scored in last 7 games.
    👉Prediction: Sumgayit will score goal (odds: 1.61)

    Prediction on corners

    Neftchi Baku: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.5; at home field - 6.29;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.8; at home field - 6.75.

    Sumgayit: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.21, away - 1.2;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3; away - 3.2.
    👉Prediction: Corners 1x2 Neftchi Baku Win (odds: 1.8)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 58;
    • both teams scored all-time - 27 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 16 times.

    Statistics: Neftchi Baku vs Sumgayit

    • number of matches played in the tournament: 14 vs 14;
    • number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 5 vs 6;
    • number of BTTS matches for Neftchi Baku at home - 4 (57%);
    • number of BTTS matches for Sumgayit away - 2 (40%).

    Last 10 matches:

    • number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 5;
    • BTTS matches for Neftchi Baku at home - 4 (100%);
    • BTTS matches for Sumgayit away - 2 (40%).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (Yes) (odds: 1.98)

    Correct score prediction

    Statistics of frequent results (current season):

    • most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (10/83, 12%);
    • Neftchi Baku at home most often finish matches: 0:0 (2/7, 28.6%);
    • Sumgayit away most often play: 0:1 , 0:2 , 1:0 , 1:1 , 1:2 (1/5, 20%).

    Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:

    Trends
    • Neftchi Baku drew 1:1 in 3 of last 4 home games against Sumgayit.

    Editorial Prediction

    Key statistics:
    • Under 2.5 goals scored in 6 of last 7 Neftchi Baku games against Sumgayit.

    Total goals Under (2,5)
    Published: 14/12/2025, 10:24

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    Betting Tips: Neftchi Baku - Sumgayit

    Neftchi Baku have drawn in the 1st half:
    fk-neftchi-bakuin 6 of last 7 games (Premier League).
    fk-neftchi-bakuin last 5 games.
    1st Half Draw
    Bovada
    +110
    Sumgayit have won:
    fk-sumgayitin 6 of last 7 games.
    fk-sumgayitin last 4 away games.
    Sumgayit Win
    Bovada
    +340
    Neftchi Baku have not won:
    fk-neftchi-bakuin 6 of last 7 home games (Premier League).
    Sumgayit have not lost:
    fk-sumgayitin 7 of last 8 away games.
    Sumgayit will not lose
    -114
    Neftchi Baku have not lost:
    fk-neftchi-bakufk-sumgayitin 8 of last 9 home games against Sumgayit.
    fk-neftchi-bakufk-sumgayitin 7 of last 8 home games against Sumgayit (Premier League).
    Neftchi Baku will not lose
    -476
    View more facts

    Neftchi Baku - Sumgayit Table position

    Premier League 25/26
    gWDLGDPForm
    2.
    Qarabag
    Qarabag
    33216671-2769
    3.
    Neftchi Baku
    Neftchi Baku
    331611657-3259
    4.
    Turan Tovuz
    Turan Tovuz
    33178844-2759
    6.
    Araz Nakhchivan PFK
    Araz Nakhchivan PFK
    331371344-5846
    7.
    Sumgayit
    Sumgayit
    331151742-5038
    8.
    Samaxi
    Samaxi
    339111331-4038

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    8 - Wins
    0 - Draws
    2 - Loses
    Wins - 3
    Draws - 0
    Loses - 7
    10 matches
    Scored - 22
    Conceded - 8
    +14
    -5
    13 - Scored
    18 - Conceded
    8
    Wins
    3
    0
    Draws
    0
    2
    Loses
    7
    Goal difference
    22
    Scored
    13
    8
    Conceded
    18
    3
    Match goals average
    3.1
    2.2
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.3
    0.8
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.8
    4
    Both teams scored
    7
    41'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    69'
    View all stats