Sumgayit vs Neftchi Baku Prediction 5 April 2026
📣How will an early goal change the strategy of both teams? If it happens, we will see an interesting development in the confrontation between the teams Sumgayit and Neftchi Baku. Recall that the meeting is scheduled for 14:00 5 April. The tournament match will take place at the Kapital Bank Arena stadium in the city of Sumqayit. Note the odds - bookmakers offer to bet on the victory of the side for and , respectively.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 15 December 2025 and ended with a score of 2:2. Let's compare the statistics from that encounter (home team - Neftchi Baku):
- ball possession percentage: 47% vs 53%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 6;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 5.
📊 Analytical review of previous official games between the teams Sumgayit and Neftchi Baku:
- played 59 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 17, for the away team - 27, draws - 15;
- number of goals (home/away) - 64 against 86;
- average total goals in the match - 2.54.
Head-to-head statistics Sumgayit - Neftchi Baku
Sumgayit Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on 19 March 2026 as part of the Premier League tournament (home team - Sabah, away team - Sumgayit). The match concluded with a scoreline of 3:1.
Here are the game statistics (Sumgayit vs Sabah):
- ball possession: 49% vs 51%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 6;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 1;
- shots on target: 2 vs 8.
- 8 wins,
- 12 losses,
- 5 draws.
📈Currently, Sumgayit stands at a mid-tier position within the Premier League standings, with a win percentage of 32% and a loss percentage of 48%.
⚽️Sumgayit has scored a total of 30 goals. On the defensive end, Sumgayit has allowed 36 goals over the season.
Match Results: Sumgayit
Neftchi Baku Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on 20 March 2026 as part of the Premier League tournament (home team - Neftchi Baku, away - Imisli). The match ended with a score of 6:0.
Here are the game statistics (Neftchi Baku vs Imisli):
- ball possession: 59% vs 41%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 4;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 1;
- shots on target: 8 vs 6.
- 9 wins,
- 5 losses,
- 10 draws.
📈Currently, Neftchi Baku stands at a mid-tier position within the Premier League standings, with a win percentage of 38% and a loss percentage of 21%.
⚽Neftchi Baku has scored a total of 39 goals. On the defensive end has allowed 22 goals over the season.
Match Results: Neftchi Baku
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 59;
- home team wins - 17, away team wins - 27, draws - 15.
Statistics: Sumgayit vs Neftchi Baku
- matches played in the tournament: 25 vs 24;
- wins: 8 vs 9;
- win percentage: 32% vs 38%;
- losses: 12 vs 5;
- draws: 5 vs 10.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 1 vs 6;
- losses: 6 vs 1;
- draws: 3 vs 3.
- Sumgayit have not won in 15 of last 17 home games against Neftchi Baku.
- Sumgayit have not won in 12 of last 14 home games against Neftchi Baku (Premier League).
- Sumgayit have not won in 7 of last 8 games against Neftchi Baku.
- Sumgayit have not won in last 9 games.
- Sumgayit have not won in last 7 games (Premier League).
- Sumgayit have not won in last 5 home games.
- Neftchi Baku have not lost in 9 of last 10 games (Premier League).
- Neftchi Baku have not lost in last 5 away games (Premier League).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.08, the guests - 1.46;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.54;
- both teams scored: overall - 28; at the home team's field - 11.
Statistics: Sumgayit vs Neftchi Baku
- average total in the tournament: 2.64 vs 2.54;
- average total goals scored: 1.2 vs 1.63;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.4 vs 0.67;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.8 vs 0.96;
- Sumgayit: average total at home in the tournament - 1.42;
- Neftchi Baku: average total away in the tournament - 1.82;
- last 10 matches (average total): 0.6 (home - 0.5) vs 2.3 (away - 2.8).
- Sumgayit have conceded in 17 of last 18 games against Neftchi Baku.
- Sumgayit have conceded in 15 of last 16 games against Neftchi Baku (Premier League).
- Sumgayit have conceded in 10 of last 11 home games against Neftchi Baku.
- Sumgayit have conceded in 9 of last 10 home games against Neftchi Baku (Premier League).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 59;
- both teams scored all-time - 28 times;
- on the home team’s field - 11 times.
Statistics: Sumgayit vs Neftchi Baku
- number of matches played in the tournament: 25 vs 24;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 12 vs 10;
- number of BTTS matches for Sumgayit at home - 6 (50%);
- number of BTTS matches for Neftchi Baku away - 5 (45%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 3 vs 5;
- BTTS matches for Sumgayit at home - 1 (25%);
- BTTS matches for Neftchi Baku away - 4 (80%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:0 (16/147, 10.9%);
- Sumgayit at home most often finish matches: 0:0 , 0:1 , 0:2 , 0:3 , 1:0 , 1:1 , 1:3 , 2:3 , 2:4 , 3:0 , 3:2 , 4:1 (1/12, 8.3%);
- Neftchi Baku away most often play: 0:2 , 1:3 , 2:0 , 2:2 (2/11, 18.2%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 11.87% (odds 6.5)
0:1 - 10.52% (odds 6)
1:2 - 8.47% (odds 8)
Editorial Prediction
- Sumgayit conceded in the 2nd half in 8 of last 9 home games against Neftchi Baku (Premier League).
- Sumgayit conceded in the 2nd half in 7 of last 8 games against Neftchi Baku (Premier League).
- Sumgayit conceded in the 2nd half in 6 of last 7 games against Neftchi Baku.
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Betting Tips: Sumgayit - Neftchi Baku
in 7 of last 8 home games against Neftchi Baku (Premier League).in 15 of last 17 home games against Neftchi Baku.in 12 of last 14 home games against Neftchi Baku (Premier League).in 7 of last 8 games against Neftchi Baku.in last 9 games.in last 7 games (Premier League).in last 5 home games.in 9 of last 10 games (Premier League).in last 5 away games (Premier League).
in 17 of last 18 games against Neftchi Baku.in 15 of last 16 games against Neftchi Baku (Premier League).in 10 of last 11 home games against Neftchi Baku.in 9 of last 10 home games against Neftchi Baku (Premier League).in 10 of last 11 Sumgayit games against Neftchi Baku.in 9 of last 10 Sumgayit home games against Neftchi Baku.in 8 of last 9 Sumgayit games against Neftchi Baku (Premier League).in 10 of last 11 Neftchi Baku away games (Premier League).
Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
