Lecce vs Monza Prediction 13 September 2026
📢 The meeting between Lecce and Monza is unlikely to be the standout fixture of the fourth round, but that does not make it any less significant. Both sides will probably be fighting to stay in Serie A, so points against a potential direct rival carry extra weight. Results so far have left a lot to be desired - between them the two sides have collected fewer than five points. The game at the Via del Mare gives both teams a good chance to improve their situation a little and build some confidence.
Head-to-Head
📊 The two sides have met 10 times in recent years. Lecce have the better record, with four wins to Monza's one and five draws. Their most recent meetings came in the 2024/25 season: Lecce won the home fixture 2-1, while the return match ended goalless.
Head-to-head statistics Lecce - Monza
Lecce Team Overview
🔴 Lecce have had a difficult start to the season. They were knocked out of the Coppa Italia by a second-division side, then lost two of their three Serie A matches. Yes, they beat Venezia 2-0 away in the opening round, but they looked poor in that game and arguably deserved a different result.
🟡 Last weekend Lecce were away at Cagliari and lost 1-0. Despite the two sides being at a comparable level, the visitors offered very little going forward. It was particularly telling that they found themselves a goal down from the 29th minute but were unable to make any real impact in attack. Only in stoppage time did they put some pressure on their opponents, and even then they could not change the scoreline.
Match Results: Lecce
Monza Team Overview
🔴 The Serie A newcomers have had a modest start. Monza did reach the Round of 16 of the Coppa Italia with two clean-sheet wins, but in the league they have just one point from three matches. The fixture list has not been particularly brutal either: after the away trip to Inter (1-4), they faced Udinese (2-3) and Parma (1-1), matches where the Brianzoli could reasonably have expected more.
⚪ The most frustrating result was the recent draw with Parma. Despite being away from home, Monza were clearly the better side: 16-7 in shots, 5-1 in chances created and 54% possession. They even took the lead, but could not hold on and came away without a win once again.
Match Results: Monza
Latest news
Lecce
❌ Lecce head into the fourth round with just one player unavailable. Willem Göbels is recovering from an ankle injury and is expected to return around the end of September.
Monza
❌ Monza have several injury concerns. Patrick Cutrone is unavailable due to a physical issue, while Gustavo Varela is out with a thigh injury; both are expected to return towards the end of September. Idrissa Touré and Matteo Pessina are continuing their recoveries from knee injuries, Jan Żelkowski will miss the match with a foot injury, and Patrick Ciurria's participation remains in doubt due to a muscle injury.
⚽️ Goals Prediction
Lecce's attacking play has been poor so far. In all three of their Serie A matches, they have had almost half as many shots as their opponents, and have scored just two goals - both coming against newly promoted Venezia, in a result that did not reflect what actually happened on the pitch. Given these problems in attack, Lecce Team Total - Under 1.5 at 1.49* is worth considering.
🚩 Corners Prediction
Lecce do not get to the corner flag very often. In eight of their last nine Serie A matches, they have taken no more than five corners. It is also worth noting that after three rounds their average stands at just 3.3 corners per game. Lecce Team Total Corners - Under 5.5 is priced at 1.50*.
🟨 Yellow Cards Prediction
Lecce have been fairly rough in the first three rounds, averaging 2.3 yellow cards per match. Monza's figure is also high at 1.7. Given where both sides currently sit in the table, this match is likely to be nervy and combative. Total Yellow Cards - Over 3.5 at 1.92* looks a reliable option.
* Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.
⭐️ Editorial Prediction
The bookmakers see no clear favourite in this fixture, and it's hard to argue with that assessment. In terms of their current level of play, Lecce and Monza look fairly evenly matched, and their league positions mean both sides will approach this meeting with particular caution. It's unlikely either team will take unnecessary risks or commit heavily to attack - the cost of a mistake could be too high. Our main bet is therefore Total Goals - Under 2.5. Worth noting that this selection has landed in 6 of the last 7 head-to-head meetings between these two sides. The expected score is 0-0.
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Betting Tips: Lecce - Monza
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in 10 of last 11 Monza games.in 7 of last 8 Monza away games.in last 5 Monza games (Serie A).
in 16 of last 17 Valerio Crezzini games.in last 10 Lecce games against Monza.in last 6 Lecce games against Monza (Serie A).in last 5 Lecce home games against Monza.in 16 of last 17 Lecce home games (Serie A).in 13 of last 15 Lecce games.in 12 of last 14 Lecce games (Serie A).in 7 of last 8 Valerio Crezzini games (in the Serie A).in last 6 Valerio Crezzini games.in 7 of last 8 home games (Serie A).in 15 of last 16 games.in last 8 away games.
Comparison of Teams Stats
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