Coritiba vs Atletico PR Prediction 12 September 2026

Details
Key points

    🔊 Coritiba come into this match with more urgency, as they need the points. Athletico Paranaense are still chasing the league leaders, though they are already nine points off the top, with three rivals breathing down their necks - so the visitors have no intention of dropping points either. The key contrast is Coritiba's home results: the team tend to score regularly at their own ground, which is reflected in their recent match statistics. The visitors, meanwhile, have a solid defensive record this season and a noticeably higher average points tally.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Across 56 official meetings between Coritiba and Atlético Paranaense, the hosts have won 17, the visitors 22, with 17 draws. The teams have scored 53 and 59 goals respectively. On average, 0.93 goals are scored in the first half and 1.07 in the second, giving an average total of exactly 2 goals per match.

    Head-to-head statistics Coritiba - Atletico PR

    29%
    17 Wins
    31%
    18 Draws
    40%
    23 Wins
    Total games
    58
    Total Goals Avg
    2.07
    Both teams scored
    40%
    0.97
    Total average
    1.1
    Last matches
    12.09.26
    Serie A
    Coritiba FC PR
    Coritiba FC PR
    1
    Atletico Paranaense
    Atletico Paranaense
    1.75
    1.75
    8
    3
    15
    23
    4
    4
    3
    3
    1
    2
    2
    1
    1.75
    1.75
    8
    3
    15
    23
    4
    4
    22.03.26
    Serie A
    Atletico Paranaense
    Atletico Paranaense
    Coritiba FC PR
    Coritiba FC PR
    1
    0.94
    0.14
    7
    4
    10
    9
    0
    2
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0.94
    0.14
    7
    4
    10
    9
    0
    2
    17.01.26
    Campeonato Paranaense
    Atletico Paranaense
    Atletico Paranaense
    Coritiba FC PR
    Coritiba FC PR
    -
    -
    7
    5
    -
    -
    5
    4
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    7
    5
    -
    -
    5
    4
    19.10.25
    Serie B
    Coritiba FC PR
    Coritiba FC PR
    1
    Atletico Paranaense
    Atletico Paranaense
    -
    -
    3
    6
    14
    18
    3
    6
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    3
    6
    14
    18
    3
    6
    28.06.25
    Serie B
    Atletico Paranaense
    Atletico Paranaense
    Coritiba FC PR
    Coritiba FC PR
    0.8
    0.57
    7
    4
    15
    9
    1
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0.8
    0.57
    7
    4
    15
    9
    1
    0
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    Coritiba FC PR Team Overview

    In their last five matches, Coritiba have won three, drawn one and lost one, while over the ten matches before that the record is almost even - four wins and four defeats. At home, the team show attacking intent: in six of their last seven home matches the total went over 2.5, with an average of 1.3 goals scored per game against 1.6 conceded over their last ten league rounds. A separate trend worth noting is that both teams scored in six of Coritiba's last seven home matches, which points to a tendency towards open games at their own ground.

    Match Results: Coritiba FC PR

    Last matches
    19.09.26
    Serie A
    Vasco da Gama
    Vasco da Gama
    Coritiba FC PR
    Coritiba FC PR
    4.28
    0.23
    12
    2
    7
    8
    1
    2
    5
    0
    2
    0
    3
    0
    4.28
    0.23
    12
    2
    7
    8
    1
    2
    L
    12.09.26
    Serie A
    Coritiba FC PR
    Coritiba FC PR
    1
    Atletico Paranaense
    Atletico Paranaense
    1.75
    1.75
    8
    3
    15
    23
    4
    4
    3
    3
    1
    2
    2
    1
    1.75
    1.75
    8
    3
    15
    23
    4
    4
    D
    06.09.26
    Serie A
    Coritiba FC PR
    Coritiba FC PR
    Mirassol
    Mirassol
    2.19
    1.75
    5
    7
    13
    10
    2
    4
    1
    2
    0
    0
    1
    2
    2.19
    1.75
    5
    7
    13
    10
    2
    4
    L
    31.08.26
    Serie A
    Remo Belem
    Remo Belem
    Coritiba FC PR
    Coritiba FC PR
    2.87
    1.26
    9
    4
    11
    10
    3
    1
    2
    3
    0
    0
    2
    3
    2.87
    1.26
    9
    4
    11
    10
    3
    1
    W
    23.08.26
    Serie A
    Coritiba FC PR
    Coritiba FC PR
    Corinthians
    Corinthians
    0.38
    0.65
    4
    14
    8
    9
    2
    2
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0.38
    0.65
    4
    14
    8
    9
    2
    2
    W
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    Atletico Paranaense Team Overview

    Athletico Paranaense have won two, drawn two and lost one of their last five matches, and across ten rounds their overall record stands at five wins and two defeats. Their seasonal averages point to a reasonably solid defence - they concede just 1.08 goals per game while scoring at a slightly higher rate of around 1.46. Sitting third in the table, they still have plenty to play for and will be looking to pick up as many points as possible.

    Match Results: Atletico Paranaense

    Last matches
    20.09.26
    Serie A
    Atletico Paranaense
    Atletico Paranaense
    1
    Bahia
    Bahia
    0.93
    1.36
    6
    3
    8
    13
    3
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0.93
    1.36
    6
    3
    8
    13
    3
    2
    W
    12.09.26
    Serie A
    Coritiba FC PR
    Coritiba FC PR
    1
    Atletico Paranaense
    Atletico Paranaense
    1.75
    1.75
    8
    3
    15
    23
    4
    4
    3
    3
    1
    2
    2
    1
    1.75
    1.75
    8
    3
    15
    23
    4
    4
    D
    06.09.26
    Serie A
    Cruzeiro
    Cruzeiro
    Atletico Paranaense
    Atletico Paranaense
    2.87
    1.31
    7
    2
    8
    9
    2
    2
    3
    1
    1
    1
    2
    0
    2.87
    1.31
    7
    2
    8
    9
    2
    2
    L
    30.08.26
    Serie A
    Atletico Paranaense
    Atletico Paranaense
    Fluminense
    Fluminense
    1.88
    0.65
    8
    3
    15
    12
    2
    2
    3
    3
    1
    1
    2
    2
    1.88
    0.65
    8
    3
    15
    12
    2
    2
    D
    24.08.26
    Serie A
    Botafogo FR
    Botafogo FR
    Atletico Paranaense
    Atletico Paranaense
    2.97
    0.5
    13
    2
    12
    9
    2
    1
    2
    3
    0
    2
    2
    1
    2.97
    0.5
    13
    2
    12
    9
    2
    1
    W
    Empty
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    Corners Prediction

    Athletico Paranaense have won fewer than 5.5 corners in five consecutive away matches in Série A. It is a consistent run, and there is nothing to suggest this match will break the trend. The bet on Athletico Paranaense Team Total Corners - Under 5.5 therefore looks justified.

    Reliable Bet

    In 10 of their last 11 home matches, Coritiba have seen over 1.5 goals. The average scoring rates for both sides this season - 1.31 for Coritiba and 1.46 for Atlético Paranaense - also support a scenario of at least two goals in the match. This makes Total Goals - Over 1 a reliable bet at odds of 1.14*.

    Correct Score Prediction

    According to the algorithm's calculations, the most likely scorelines are 1-1 (13.93%), 0-1 (8.75%) and 1-2 (8.13%). These are the top three most probable outcomes from all possible scorelines. A 1-1 draw is considered the most likely result, with the remaining options fairly close to each other in probability.

    *Odds are indicative and may vary depending on the bookmaker.

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    The key factor here is Coritiba's home scoring pattern: a run of productive matches backed by consistent goal numbers at home and a high likelihood of both sides finding the net - six times out of seven. Despite Athletico Paranaense's organised defensive record this season, it is Coritiba's pronounced home tendencies that should set the tone, particularly given the league motivation both teams have. Our prediction: Both Teams to Score - Yes.
    Both Teams to Score – (Yes)
    Odds-119
    Published: 08/09/2026, 15:22
    Yaroslav Tkachev
    Yaroslav Tkachev
    Football expert
    191
    18
    140
    349 predictions
    Statistics for September 2026

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    Betting Tips: Coritiba FC PR - Atletico Paranaense

    Atletico Paranaense have drawn:
    coritiba-pr-1atletico-paranaensein last 3 away games against Coritiba FC PR.
    Draw
    Bovada
    +205
    Coritiba FC PR have not lost:
    coritiba-pr-1atletico-paranaensein 10 of last 11 home games against Atletico Paranaense (Serie A).
    coritiba-pr-1atletico-paranaensein 7 of last 8 home games against Atletico Paranaense.
    Coritiba FC PR will not lose
    Everygame
    -185
    Coritiba FC PR have not won:
    coritiba-pr-1atletico-paranaensein 8 of last 9 home games against Atletico Paranaense.
    coritiba-pr-1atletico-paranaensein 7 of last 8 games against Atletico Paranaense (Serie A).
    Atletico Paranaense have not lost:
    atletico-paranaensein 10 of last 11 games (Serie A).
    Atletico Paranaense will not lose
    Everygame
    -286
    Atletico Paranaense have scored under 1.5 goals:
    coritiba-pr-1atletico-paranaensein 14 of last 15 away games against Coritiba FC PR.
    Atletico Paranaense Total goals Under (1,5)
    Everygame
    -222
    View more facts

    Coritiba - Atletico PR Table position

    Brasileiro Serie A 2026
    gWDLGDPForm
    2.
    Palmeiras
    Palmeiras
    28169347-2157
    3.
    Atletico Paranaense
    Atletico Paranaense
    28147743-3249
    4.
    Fluminense
    Fluminense
    28139644-3648
    8.
    Santos
    Santos
    27108941-4038
    9.
    Coritiba FC PR
    Coritiba FC PR
    281081037-4338
    10.
    Bragantino
    Bragantino
    271061133-3136

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    3 - Wins
    3 - Draws
    4 - Loses
    Wins - 4
    Draws - 4
    Loses - 2
    10 matches
    Scored - 13
    Conceded - 19
    -6
    0
    17 - Scored
    17 - Conceded
    3
    Wins
    4
    3
    Draws
    4
    4
    Loses
    2
    Goal difference
    13
    Scored
    17
    19
    Conceded
    17
    3.2
    Match goals average
    3.4
    1.3
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.7
    1.9
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.7
    7
    Both teams scored
    6
    69'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    53'
    View all stats