Burgos vs Ceuta Prediction 11 September 2026
Burgos have started the season with just one defeat in their last four matches, showing consistent form both in terms of results and defensively. Ceuta have made a far weaker start - the visitors have lost four matches in a row and scored just one goal. The table underlines the contrast between the two sides: Burgos are closer to the upper end of the standings, while Ceuta find themselves in the relegation zone at the start of the Segunda and are in urgent need of a way out of their current slump.
Head-to-Head
Burgos and Ceuta have met just twice at official level. The last meeting took place 01 April 2026 at Burgos's ground and ended 1-1.
Head-to-head statistics Burgos - Ceuta
Burgos CF Team Overview
Burgos have picked up 5 points from four matches with a goal difference of 5:5. They started brightly - beating Córdoba 3-2 - but their attack dropped off noticeably after that. In the following three matches they scored just twice and took two points. At home the picture looks considerably better. Burgos have taken 4 points from a possible 6 and scored five goals across two home matches. Now a side that has lost every match so far comes to town, which gives the hosts a good opportunity to get back to winning ways.
Match Results: Burgos CF
Ceuta Team Overview
The start of the season is turning into a serious problem for Ceuta. After four rounds, the club have no points: four consecutive defeats, just one goal scored and 12 conceded. Ceuta scored their only goal back in the first round. Since then they have suffered three consecutive defeats without scoring. Away from home things are even worse - two matches, two defeats and an aggregate score of 1:8. The visitors are struggling not only to pick up points but even to create enough chances to score.
Match Results: Ceuta
Total Goals Prediction
Ceuta have failed to score more than one goal in any of their last four matches, and have not scored at all in their last three. Burgos are not exactly watertight defensively, but the visitors' attack currently gives little reason to expect a sudden improvement. Prediction: Ceuta Team Total - Under 0.5 at 2.20*.
Corners Prediction
In Burgos's two home matches this season, the combined corner counts were 8 and 10, while in Ceuta's two away matches they were 4 and 6. That means three of these four relevant matches this season did not even reach nine corners. The visitors' figures look particularly modest - on their travels, teams have averaged just five corners per match. That points towards a low-corners outcome again. Our selection: Total Corners - Under 8.5 at 1.65*.
Safe Bet
Burgos have gone 14 consecutive home matches without defeat, which speaks to their consistency on their own ground. Their record this season also favours them: one win and one draw. Bet: Burgos Not to Lose at 1.13*.
Correct Score Prediction
The algorithm places three outcomes close together: 1-1 (9.85%), 1-0 (9.5%) and 2-0 (9.08%). The margins between them are slim, but Ceuta's statistics lean towards a scenario in which the visitors fail to score. They have gone three consecutive matches without a goal, and Burgos may well need just one at home to take all three points.
*Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.
⭐️ Editorial Prediction
Four rounds is still a small sample, but the gap between these two sides is already visible. Burgos have picked up points in three of their four matches and are yet to lose at home. Ceuta, meanwhile, remain without a point, are conceding heavily and creating very little going forward.
The hosts do not need to win by a big margin here. Playing more solidly than their opponents and taking one of their chances should be enough. Predicted score: 1-0. Our pick: Burgos to win.
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Betting Tips: Burgos CF - Ceuta
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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