Ilves vs Rijeka Prediction 13 August 2026
🔊 Ilves have been in this situation before this summer. In the second round they lost the first leg to Stjarnan (0:1), but won at home (2:1) and came through on penalties. Now the deficit is the same: in Rijeka the Finns lost (0:1). Niko Jankovic scored on the 16th minute. And on Thursday in Tampere it will be decided who advances to the play-off round, where Bohemians or Midtjylland will be waiting.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 06 August 2026 and ended with a scoreline of 1:0. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Rijeka):
- ball possession percentage: 66% vs 34%;
- corner kicks: 9 vs 1;
- fouls: 9 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 3;
- shots on target: 14 vs 1.
📊Officially, the teams Tampereen Ilves and Rijeka have played only one match. The meeting took place on 06 August 2026 at the home ground of Rijeka and ended with a score of 1:0.
Head-to-head statistics Ilves - Rijeka
Tampereen Ilves Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Veikkausliiga tournament (home team - Tampereen Ilves, away team - IFK Mariehamn). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:0.
Here's the game statistics (Tampereen Ilves vs IFK Mariehamn):
- ball possession: 48% vs 52%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 11;
- fouls: 6 vs 15;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
- shots on target: 4 vs 5.
At home, Ilves barely put a foot wrong: eight wins in their last nine matches across all competitions and at least one goal scored in 22 games in a row. On Sunday they comfortably beat Mariehamn (2:0).
The goalkeeper did the key work in Croatia. Faris Krikalić - a former Dinamo Zagreb player - returned to a familiar league and became the hero: he saved at least three certain goals. One conceded instead of four - that is the reason the tie is still alive.
Match Results: Tampereen Ilves
Rijeka Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the UEFA Europa Conference League tournament (home team - Rijeka, away - Tampereen Ilves). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:0.
Here are the match stats (Rijeka vs Tampereen Ilves):
- ball possession: 66% vs 34%;
- corner kicks: 9 vs 1;
- fouls: 9 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 3;
- shots on target: 14 vs 1.
The Croatians have been solid in European competition: they have gone unbeaten in 11 of their last 12 matches in the tournament, and have won the last five in a row. In the second round they beat Irish side Derry twice with the same scoreline (1:0).
Matjaž Kek has one problem - finishing. Three consecutive wins in the tournament, all by a 1:0 scoreline, and the first match against Ilves followed the same pattern: a goal from Niko Janković from outside the box into the top corner, and that was that. Kek was looking for excuses after the game, talking about nerves and a lack of accuracy in front of goal. But this is not a new problem. At the back, though, everything is solid: Rijeka kept a clean sheet in five of their last six matches, including in each of their last three away games.
Match Results: Rijeka
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- the home team scores on average - 0, the guests - 1;
- average over/under goals in head-to-head matches - 1;
- both teams scored: overall - 0; at the home team's field - 0.
- Rijeka have scored under 1.5 goals in last 5 games (UEFA Europa Conference League).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 1;
- both teams scored all-time - 0 times;
- on the home team’s field - 0 times.
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:0 (22/180, 12.2%);
- Tampereen Ilves at home most often finish matches: 2:1 , 3:1 (1/2, 50%);
- Rijeka away most often play: 0:1 (1/1, 100%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
0:1 - 14.75% (odds 6.5)
0:0 - 12.15% (odds 9)
1:0 - 12.15% (odds 12)
- Rijeka won 1:0 in last 3 games (UEFA Europa Conference League).
Editor's Pick
There won't be many goals here, and three separate streaks point to that. In Ilves's last six matches, fewer than four goals were scored; Rijeka's such streak stretches to 11 games. On top of that, in the Croatians' last five away matches in the competition, there weren't even three goals.
The logic of the match also hints at the low end. Ilves need to overturn a one-goal deficit, but they haven't scored more than two goals in a match for nine games now. Rijeka are also coming to protect the scoreline - and they do that better than they score. The bet is total under 2.5 goals. Predicted score - 0:1.
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Betting Tips: Tampereen Ilves - Rijeka
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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