Cuiaba vs Vila Nova Prediction
📢 In the upcoming 13th round of Brazil’s Serie B, Cuiabá are set to host Vila Nova, with both sides entering the fixture in contrasting form and spirits. The hosts find themselves hovering just above the relegation zone, fighting hard to collect points and secure their status in the division. Meanwhile, Vila Nova sit atop the table, but their closest challengers are keeping the pressure firmly on. Recent results highlight a clear contrast: Vila Nova are riding a winning streak, while Cuiabá have been dropping points at home more often than not.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 24 September 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 2:2. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Vila Nova):
- ball possession percentage: 43% vs 57%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 3;
- fouls: 11 vs 9;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 3;
- shots on target: 5 vs 7.
📊Analytical review of previous official games between the teams Cuiaba Esporte Clube and Vila Nova:
- played 10 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 4, for the away team - 3, draws - 3;
- number of goals (home/away) - 12 against 12;
- average total goals in the match - 2.4.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Cuiaba Esporte Clube Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Serie B tournament (home team - Ponte Preta, away team - Cuiaba Esporte Clube). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:2.
Here's the game statistics (Cuiaba Esporte Clube vs Ponte Preta):
- ball possession: 54% vs 46%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 7;
- fouls: 12 vs 18;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 4;
- shots on target: 5 vs 3.
Cuiabá have been inconsistent this season: over their last five matches, they have picked up two wins, drawn twice, and suffered one defeat. The hosts’ main issue lies in their limited attacking output-they average just 0.67 goals per game. On the defensive end, however, they remain solid, conceding only 0.5 goals per match. Still, their inability to secure consistent victories, especially at home, makes it difficult to maintain a comfortable position above the relegation zone.
Match Results: Cuiaba Esporte Clube
Vila Nova Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Serie B tournament (home team - Vila Nova, away - Botafogo San Paulo). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:0.
Here are the match stats (Vila Nova vs Botafogo San Paulo):
- ball possession: 50% vs 50%;
- corner kicks: 9 vs 9;
- fouls: 13 vs 16;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 4;
- shots on target: 4 vs 1.
Vila Nova are showing strong leadership at the top of the table and head into this fixture in excellent form, having won four of their last five matches. The visitors have looked consistent in attack, averaging 1.5 goals per game, while their defence remains solid-conceding less than a goal per match. With their sights set firmly on holding onto first place, Vila Nova’s motivation is high; they know they can’t afford to drop points against teams lower down the standings if they want to maintain their lead.
Match Results: Vila Nova
Prediction for the 1st half
First Half Statistics: Cuiaba Esporte Clube (Home) vs Vila Nova (Away)
- Number of matches played in the tournament: 6 vs 6;
- Number of wins: 2 (33.33%) vs 1 (16.67%);
- Number of losses: 0 (0%) vs 2 (33.33%);
- Number of draws: 4 (66.67%) vs 3 (50%);
- Average total goals scored: 0.5 vs 1;
- Average total goals conceded: 0 vs 0.67.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Number of wins: 2 vs 2;
- Number of losses: 1 vs 3;
- Number of draws: 7 vs 5;
- Average first half total: 1.1 (scored - 0.6, conceded - 0.5) vs 1.1 (scored - 0.5, conceded - 0.6).
- Cuiaba Esporte Clube have drawn in the 1st half in 12 of last 14 games (Serie B).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 10;
- home team wins - 4, away team wins - 3, draws - 3.
Statistics: Cuiaba Esporte Clube vs Vila Nova
- matches played in the tournament: 12 vs 12;
- wins: 3 vs 7;
- win percentage: 25% vs 58%;
- losses: 2 vs 1;
- draws: 7 vs 4.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 3 vs 6;
- losses: 3 vs 2;
- draws: 4 vs 2.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.2, the guests - 1.2;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.4;
- both teams scored: overall - 4; at the home team's field - 3.
Statistics: Cuiaba Esporte Clube vs Vila Nova
- average total in the tournament: 1.17 vs 2.42;
- average total goals scored: 0.67 vs 1.5;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.33 vs 0.5;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.33 vs 1;
- Cuiaba Esporte Clube: average total at home in the tournament - 0.67;
- Vila Nova: average total away in the tournament - 1.33;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1 (home - 1.2) vs 1.5 (away - 1.6).
- Under 2.5 goals scored in 15 of last 16 Cuiaba Esporte Clube games (Serie B).
- Under 2.5 goals scored in 8 of last 9 Cuiaba Esporte Clube home games.
- Under 2.5 goals scored in 6 of last 7 Vila Nova games.
Prediction on corners
Cuiaba Esporte Clube: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.33; at home field - 4.17;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.2; at home field - 5.4.
Vila Nova: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.25, away - 4.83;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.6; away - 5.2.
- Under 10.5 corners in 17 of last 19 Cuiaba Esporte Clube games.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 10;
- both teams scored all-time - 4 times;
- on the home team’s field - 3 times.
Statistics: Cuiaba Esporte Clube vs Vila Nova
- number of matches played in the tournament: 12 vs 12;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 3 vs 7;
- number of BTTS matches for Cuiaba Esporte Clube at home - 2 (33%);
- number of BTTS matches for Vila Nova away - 3 (50%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 4 vs 6;
- BTTS matches for Cuiaba Esporte Clube at home - 3 (60%);
- BTTS matches for Vila Nova away - 3 (60%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (18/120, 15%);
- Cuiaba Esporte Clube at home most often finish matches: 0:0 , 1:1 (2/6, 33.3%);
- Vila Nova away most often play: 0:1 (2/6, 33.3%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 14.13% (odds 4.9)
1:0 - 14.03% (odds 4.8)
0:0 - 14.02% (odds 4.8)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Cuiabá head into this clash as favourites, largely thanks to their home advantage. However, it's impossible to overlook Vila Nova’s position at the top of the table-the visitors are leading the league and remain firmly in the hunt for automatic promotion. With so much at stake, the championship frontrunners are unlikely to sit back and play purely defensively, especially given their impressive scoring record: Vila Nova have found the net in 12 of their last 13 Serie B fixtures. In this context, backing Vila Nova to score looks like a well-founded prediction.
Will this prediction come true?
Betting Tips: Cuiaba Esporte Clube - Vila Nova
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Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
