Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka Prediction 25 April 2026
🔊 The match between Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Cerezo Osaka promises to be intriguing. Both teams have shown inconsistent form this season, occupying neighboring spots in the Western Conference standings. Sanfrecce are known for their disciplined defense, as evidenced by their recent home performances. Meanwhile, Osaka have been solid on the road, showcasing a resilient backline.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 22 February 2026 and ended with a scoreline of 1:2. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Cerezo Osaka):
- ball possession percentage: 44% vs 56%;
- corner kicks: 2 vs 6;
- fouls: 9 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 0;
- shots on target: 1 vs 4.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Cerezo Osaka:
- played 43 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 22, for the away team - 13, draws - 8;
- number of goals - 64 against 55;
- average total in the 1st half - 0.93, in the 2nd half - 1.84;
- average total goals in the match - 2.77.
Head-to-head statistics Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Cerezo Osaka

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the J1 League tournament (home team - Sanfrecce Hiroshima, away team - V-Varen Nagasaki). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:0.
Here's the game statistics (Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs V-Varen Nagasaki):
- ball possession: 59% vs 41%;
- corner kicks: 6 vs 1;
- fouls: 5 vs 13;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 1;
- shots on target: 9 vs 1.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima currently sit in 7th place in the standings, showcasing decent form with two consecutive wins following a streak of four losses. The team is known for their solid defensive play, particularly at home, where they have kept clean sheets in 3 of their last 5 matches. In their last ten outings, the hosts have secured four victories and suffered six defeats. Away games remain a significant challenge for Hiroshima.
Match Results: Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Cerezo Osaka Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the J1 League tournament (home team - Cerezo Osaka, away - Kyoto Sanga). The match concluded with a scoreline of 3:0.
Here are the match stats (Cerezo Osaka vs Kyoto Sanga):
- ball possession: 49% vs 51%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 5;
- fouls: 4 vs 16;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 4;
- shots on target: 4 vs 4.
Cerezo Osaka currently sit in 6th place, showcasing solid performances both offensively and defensively. Their last five matches have resulted in three wins and two losses, indicating the team is in good form. Over their past ten games, they have secured six victories and suffered four defeats, maintaining an average scoring rate of just over one goal per game while conceding less than one goal per match.
Match Results: Cerezo Osaka
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 43;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 2; for visitors away - 4; number of draws - 13;
- Average first-half total: 0.93;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.51, while the visitors net 0.42.
First-Half Stats: Sanfrecce Hiroshima (home) vs Cerezo Osaka (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 6 vs 5;
- wins: 3 (50%) vs 2 (40%);
- losses: 1 (16.67%) vs 1 (20%);
- draws: 2 (33.33%) vs 2 (40%);
- Average goals scored: 1 vs 0.8;
- Average goals conceded: 0.33 vs 0.2.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 3 vs 4;
- losses: 3 vs 1;
- draws: 4 vs 5;
- Average first-half total: 0.7 (scored - 0.3, conceded - 0.4) vs 0.8 (scored - 0.6, conceded - 0.2).
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima have drawn in the 1st half in 7 of last 8 games against Cerezo Osaka.
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima have drawn in the 1st half in 6 of last 7 games against Cerezo Osaka (J1 League).
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima have drawn in the 1st half in last 5 home games against Cerezo Osaka (J1 League).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 43;
- home team wins - 22, away team wins - 13, draws - 8.
Statistics: Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka
- matches played in the tournament: 11 vs 11;
- wins: 6 vs 6;
- win percentage: 55% vs 55%;
- losses: 5 vs 5;
- draws: 0 vs 0.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 4 vs 6;
- losses: 6 vs 4;
- draws: 0 vs 0.
- Cerezo Osaka won with a +1.5 handicap in 12 of last 13 away games against Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
- Cerezo Osaka won with a +1.5 handicap in 10 of last 11 games (J1 League).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.49, the guests - 1.28;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.77;
- both teams scored: overall - 27; at the home team's field - 11.
Statistics: Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka
- average total in the tournament: 2.64 vs 1.91;
- average total goals scored: 1.36 vs 1;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.45 vs 0.55;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.91 vs 0.45;
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima: average total at home in the tournament - 1.17;
- Cerezo Osaka: average total away in the tournament - 1;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.1 (home - 1.17) vs 1.1 (away - 1).
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima have scored under 2.5 goals in 26 of last 27 games against Cerezo Osaka.
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima have scored under 2.5 goals in 23 of last 24 games against Cerezo Osaka (J1 League).
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima have scored under 2.5 goals in last 13 home games against Cerezo Osaka.
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima have scored under 2.5 goals in last 12 home games against Cerezo Osaka (J1 League).
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima have scored under 2.5 goals in 16 of last 17 home games.
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima have scored under 2.5 goals in last 14 games.
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima have scored under 2.5 goals in last 10 games (J1 League).
Prediction on corners
Sanfrecce Hiroshima: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 6.09; at home field - 6.83;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6.3; at home field - 7.33.
Cerezo Osaka: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.55, away - 5;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.6; away - 5.
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima have taken under 6.5 corners in last 6 games (J1 League).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 43;
- both teams scored all-time - 27 times;
- on the home team’s field - 11 times.
Statistics: Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka
- number of matches played in the tournament: 11 vs 11;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 8 vs 4;
- number of BTTS matches for Sanfrecce Hiroshima at home - 3 (50%);
- number of BTTS matches for Cerezo Osaka away - 1 (20%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 6 vs 4;
- BTTS matches for Sanfrecce Hiroshima at home - 2 (33%);
- BTTS matches for Cerezo Osaka away - 1 (20%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (19/111, 17.1%);
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima at home most often finish matches: 1:1 , 2:0 (2/6, 33.3%);
- Cerezo Osaka away most often play: 0:1 , 0:2 , 1:0 , 1:2 , 3:0 (1/5, 20%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:0 - 14.39% (odds 7.6)
1:1 - 11.79% (odds 7.2)
2:1 - 9.99% (odds 7.5)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Considering the trend of low-scoring home games for Sanfrecce Hiroshima and the current form of both teams, it's reasonable to expect a cautious approach with a focus on defense. Based on this analysis, a bet on under 2.5 goals seems logical. A narrow 1-0 victory for the hosts is a plausible outcome.