Sturm vs LASK Prediction 13 September 2026
🔉 In the sixth round of the Bundesliga, Sturm Graz host the league leaders. LASK have made a perfect start to the season - five wins from five. The hosts have dropped points in two consecutive rounds and go into this match as underdogs.
Head-to-Head
📊 Sturm Graz and LASK have met 53 times in official matches. The hosts have won 23 of those, LASK have won 18, and 12 have ended in a draw. Sturm hold the edge in goals, having scored 88 against LASK's 69. On average, the two sides have produced 2.96 goals per game.
Head-to-head statistics Sturm - LASK
Sturm Graz Team Overview
Sturm Graz have been inconsistent of late - two wins, two draws and one defeat in their last five matches. Across their last ten games they have won five and drawn two, though their scoring has been modest: 1.5 goals per match with 0.9 conceded. At home their attack has been even quieter, with Sturm Graz scoring under 1.5 goals in six of their last seven Bundesliga home matches. The club remain among the league's leading sides and are looking to hold on to their Champions League place.
Match Results: Sturm Graz
LASK Team Overview
LASK are in peak form: five consecutive wins, backed by a potent attack averaging more than three goals per game, with minimal defensive problems - 0.8 goals conceded per match across their last ten. The statistics paint a picture of consistency: eight wins from ten matches and a high scoring rate make them the favourite against any opponent in the league right now. Their objective is to stay at the top, and so far they are managing that without any slip-ups.
Match Results: LASK
Total Goals Prediction
In 8 of their last 9 matches, LASK have gone over 2.5 goals, which points to the team's high scoring output. The statistics back this up: LASK are averaging 3 goals per match this season and 3.3 goals per game across their last 10 fixtures. Sturm Graz, while showing more modest numbers (averaging 1.2 goals per match), concede regularly (1 goal per match on average). There is nothing in the data to suggest a low-scoring outcome - LASK's attacking trend is well supported statistically. We're backing Total Goals - Over 2.5 at odds of 1.51*.
Corners Prediction
In seven consecutive away head-to-head matches, LASK have not taken more than 5.5 corners. This consistent trend in head-to-head meetings is backed up by the statistics, and there is no reason to expect a sharp increase in their corner count. We're backing LASK Team Total Corners - Under 5.5 at odds of 1.60*.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
In 6 of their last 7 head-to-head meetings, both teams have scored. LASK are a high-scoring side - averaging 3.3 goals over their last 10 matches - and Sturm Graz have scored in 14 consecutive head-to-head matches. There is a slight conflict, though: Sturm Graz concede an average of 1 goal at home, while LASK average 2.5 goals away but concede just 0.5 per match on the road. Even so, the trends and overall scoring records of both sides suggest the chances of goals at both ends are high. The pick is Both Teams to Score - Yes at 1.47*.
Risky Bet
LASK have scored more than 1.5 goals in 13 of their last 15 matches, and their seasonal average is 3 goals per game. However, in away head-to-head matches against Sturm, they have tended to be more modest - under 2.5 in 7 of their last 8 meetings. A three-goal outing for LASK is possible given their current form, but historically it doesn't always happen. That makes the bet on LASK Team Total - Over 2 a higher-risk option, priced at 2.68*.
Reliable Bet
LASK have scored at least one goal in 28 of their last 29 Bundesliga matches. On top of that, the team are averaging 3 goals per match this season and 3.3 over their last 10 games. With no contradicting evidence, this makes the LASK Team Total - Over 0.5 a very reliable bet. The odds are 1.14*.
Correct Score Prediction
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm identifies three most likely scorelines: 1-1 (12.05%), 0-1 (11.45%) and 0-2 (10.18%). Of these, a 1-1 draw has the highest probability, though the gap between the top three is relatively small. This reflects the balance between LASK's attacking potential and Sturm's ability to defend in an organised manner.
*Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.*
⭐ Editorial Prediction
The shape of this match is largely determined by LASK's attacking potential and Sturm Graz's cautious approach at home. Despite the visitors' strong recent run, the trend points to the hosts' limited output on their own ground - they rarely get past the 1.5-goal mark even against less prominent sides in the league. Sturm's current attacking form gives little reason to expect a sudden improvement, particularly against one of the stronger sides in the competition right now. The bet is Sturm Graz Team Total - Under 1.5.
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Betting Tips: Sturm Graz - LASK
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