Spartak Kostroma vs Neftekhimik Prediction 14 September 2026
🔉 Matchday 11 of the First League brings together a side with the third-best defence in the league and visitors who are averaging fewer than one goal per away game. Spartak have gone unbeaten at home in the league in 15 of their last 16 matches and go into this one as favourites, but the opposition have something to offer as well.
Head-to-Head
📊 Spartak Kostroma and Neftekhimik have met just twice in official matches. Their most recent encounter took place 18 April 2026 at Neftekhimik's ground and ended 3-1.
Head-to-head statistics Spartak Kostroma - Neftekhimik
Spartak Kostroma Team Overview
Spartak Kostroma come into this match in decent form: three wins, one draw and one defeat from their last five games. Over their last ten matches they have lost just once, averaging 1.5 goals scored per game and conceding only 0.8 - a balance that points to a reliable defence and a consistent ability to create chances at the other end. The key factor, though, is their home record: the club almost always score on their own ground but rarely keep a clean sheet, which is reflected in the trend of both teams scoring in seven of their last eight home matches in the FNL. Their league objective is direct promotion, and with the gap to the leading positions small, every point matters in that pursuit.
Match Results: Spartak Kostroma
Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk Team Overview
Neftekhimik have had a less consistent season: four wins against six defeats in their last ten matches point to problems picking up points even against comparable opposition. The visitors' average scoring rate is low - just 0.8 goals per game - while their average conceding rate is relatively high at 1.3. The team also has almost no competitive motivation at this stage of the season: they are already 10 points off the promotion places, which reduces the pressure on the players to get results. Away from home they tend to set up more defensively - Total Goals Under 2.5 came in in nine of their last ten away matches in this season's competition.
Match Results: Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
Prediction for the 1st half
In 6 of their last 7 home matches, Spartak Kostroma have gone into half-time level, suggesting the team tend to start cautiously on their own ground. Both sides generally don't score much in the first half either. On that basis, Half-Time Draw at 2.05* is worth considering.
Total Goals Prediction
A Total Goals - Under 2.5 trend is present in 9 of Neftekimik's last 10 away matches. The statistics further support a low-scoring outlook: this season Neftekimik average 0.7 goals per game (1 per game away), while Spartak Kostroma concede an average of 0.89 goals per match. In their last 10 home matches, Spartak Kostroma have also conceded an average of just 1 goal per game. These figures point to a match with a limited number of goals. The pick is Total Goals - Under 2.5 at odds of 1.76*.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the three most likely outcomes are 1:0 (13.72%), 1:1 (11.65%) and 2:0 (11.04%). The highest probability belongs to a narrow home win by 1:0, though a draw and a two-goal victory for Spartak Kostroma are also rated fairly highly. The probabilities across the three scenarios are fairly close to one another.
*Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.*
Reliable Bet
Neftekhimik have scored fewer than 1.5 goals in 11 of their last 12 matches - a very consistent run. The team are also averaging just 0.7 goals per game this season, and 1 goal per game away from home. These numbers confirm the visitors' low scoring output. We're backing Neftekhimik Team Total - Under 1.5 Goals at 1.22*.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
This match is unlikely to be a high-scoring affair. Spartak are defensively solid at home, conceding fewer than a goal per game this season. Neftekhimik away from home rarely manage more than one goal. Total Goals - Under 2.5 has landed in 8 of their last 9 away matches in the competition. Even if the visitors score first, the hosts are unlikely to open the game up - they will probably wait for their moment at a steady pace. Predicted score: 1-1.
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Betting Tips: Spartak Kostroma - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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