Oulu vs Gnistan Prediction 12 September 2026

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Key points

    🔊 At the end of August, Oulu completed their new OTS Stadion, a 5,080-seat ground. The hosts will be opening the new arena with a match against Gnistan - an opponent with some relevant history: it was Gnistan who handed Oulu their first home defeat of the season, back in July at Raatti. Both sides have qualified for the Veikkausliiga championship six: the visitors are fourth in it, the hosts are bottom.

    Head-to-Head

    Oulu and Gnistan have met 13 times. Each side has won six, with one match ending in a draw. Oulu have the edge in goals, 22 to 19.

    Head-to-head statistics Oulu - Gnistan

    43%
    6 Wins
    7%
    1 Draw
    50%
    7 Wins
    Total games
    14
    Total Goals Avg
    3.14
    Both teams scored
    64%
    1.64
    Total average
    1.5
    1.29
    Yellow cards
    2.29
    Last matches
    12.09.26
    Veikkausliiga
    Oulu
    Oulu
    Gnistan
    Gnistan
    -
    -
    3
    3
    11
    13
    1
    3
    1
    2
    0
    0
    1
    2
    -
    -
    3
    3
    11
    13
    1
    3
    18.07.26
    Veikkausliiga
    Oulu
    Oulu
    1
    Gnistan
    Gnistan
    -
    -
    10
    2
    11
    14
    1
    2
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    -
    -
    10
    2
    11
    14
    1
    2
    04.04.26
    Veikkausliiga
    Gnistan
    Gnistan
    Oulu
    Oulu
    -
    -
    7
    2
    13
    6
    1
    1
    1
    5
    1
    2
    0
    3
    -
    -
    7
    2
    13
    6
    1
    1
    25.08.25
    Veikkausliiga
    Gnistan
    Gnistan
    Oulu
    Oulu
    1.44
    2.15
    4
    7
    15
    12
    4
    1
    3
    2
    1
    1
    2
    1
    1.44
    2.15
    4
    7
    15
    12
    4
    1
    10.05.25
    Veikkausliiga
    Oulu
    Oulu
    Gnistan
    Gnistan
    1
    1.37
    1.05
    3
    7
    10
    7
    1
    3
    2
    3
    0
    0
    2
    3
    1.37
    1.05
    3
    7
    10
    7
    1
    3
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    Oulu Team Overview

    Mikko Isokangas's side have 34 points and 25 goals - the lowest attacking return in the championship six. Ten of those 25 belong to Rasmus Karjalainen. It has not always been enough: Oulu have not won since 22 August, when they picked up three points away at Jaro. One more factor that cannot be captured in statistics - Raatti has a natural pitch, while OTS Stadion has a heated artificial surface.

    Match Results: Oulu

    Last matches
    18.09.26
    Veikkausliiga
    Oulu
    Oulu
    Inter Turku
    Inter Turku
    -
    -
    0
    5
    13
    15
    3
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    0
    5
    13
    15
    3
    1
    L
    12.09.26
    Veikkausliiga
    Oulu
    Oulu
    Gnistan
    Gnistan
    -
    -
    3
    3
    11
    13
    1
    3
    1
    2
    0
    0
    1
    2
    -
    -
    3
    3
    11
    13
    1
    3
    L
    08.09.26
    Veikkausliiga
    Vaasa PS
    Vaasa PS
    Oulu
    Oulu
    -
    -
    2
    8
    16
    8
    4
    1
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    2
    8
    16
    8
    4
    1
    L
    31.08.26
    Veikkausliiga
    Oulu
    Oulu
    Seinajoen
    Seinajoen
    -
    -
    6
    3
    7
    10
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    6
    3
    7
    10
    0
    2
    D
    22.08.26
    Veikkausliiga
    Jaro
    Jaro
    Oulu
    Oulu
    -
    -
    7
    1
    17
    17
    2
    3
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    7
    1
    17
    17
    2
    3
    W
    Empty
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    Gnistan Team Overview

    Gnistan represent the Helsinki district of Oulunkylä and are managed by Jussi Leppälahti. The yellow-and-blues have 37 points - three more than the hosts. Away from home, Gnistan have gone unbeaten in six of their last seven Veikkausliiga matches. They have been holding things together with a reshaped squad. On 25 August the club signed goalkeeper Otso Virtanen on loan from Ilves, and three days later terminated the contract of defender Lucas von Hellens. Jurička has also been ruled out for an extended period. The Veikkausliiga's top scorer plays for Gnistan - Adeleke Akinyemi has 12 goals. At the end of August he was the standout performer in the derby, where Gnistan beat HJK 3-2.

    Match Results: Gnistan

    Last matches
    18.09.26
    Veikkausliiga
    Gnistan
    Gnistan
    HJK Helsinki
    HJK Helsinki
    -
    -
    5
    6
    8
    8
    1
    0
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    5
    6
    8
    8
    1
    0
    D
    12.09.26
    Veikkausliiga
    Oulu
    Oulu
    Gnistan
    Gnistan
    -
    -
    3
    3
    11
    13
    1
    3
    1
    2
    0
    0
    1
    2
    -
    -
    3
    3
    11
    13
    1
    3
    W
    08.09.26
    Veikkausliiga
    Gnistan
    Gnistan
    Kuopion Palloseura
    Kuopion Palloseura
    -
    -
    6
    5
    9
    12
    2
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    -
    -
    6
    5
    9
    12
    2
    2
    D
    31.08.26
    Veikkausliiga
    Gnistan
    Gnistan
    TPS Turku
    TPS Turku
    -
    -
    11
    4
    13
    12
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    11
    4
    13
    12
    1
    2
    D
    23.08.26
    Veikkausliiga
    HJK Helsinki
    HJK Helsinki
    Gnistan
    Gnistan
    -
    -
    1
    7
    10
    18
    2
    2
    2
    3
    2
    0
    0
    3
    -
    -
    1
    7
    10
    18
    2
    2
    W
    Empty
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    Risky Bet

    Gnistan have improved in attack, averaging 1.8 goals per game in their last ten matches compared to 1.61 for the season. Away from home, though, that figure drops to 1.36. Oulu concede 1.17 goals per game at home, and both numbers fall short of the two goals Gnistan need. Hence the price. The bet is Gnistan Team Total - Over 1.5.

    Safe Bet

    In 13 of Oulu's last 14 home matches, the combined goal tally has been under four. The hosts themselves are driving that pattern - they simply don't score many at home. The odds are modest, but the probability is high. The bet is Total Goals - Under 3.5.

    Correct Score Prediction

    According to the algorithm's calculations, the three most likely outcomes for this match are: 1-1 (12.35%), 1-0 (11.15%) and 0-1 (10.09%). A 1-1 draw is considered the most probable result, but the difference in probability between the three options is fairly small.

    ⭐ Editor's Prediction

    Away from home, Gnistan have avoided defeat in 6 of their last 7 Veikkausliiga matches. They have scored in 8 of their last 9 league games. Oulu have little to offer in response: the hosts have conceded in eight consecutive head-to-head matches. We don't expect the visitors to leave Oulu empty-handed. The bet is Gnistan not to lose. Predicted score - 1:2.
    Gnistan will not lose
    Everygame
    Place a bet-172
    Published: 11/09/2026, 06:18
    Dmitry Kochergin
    Dmitry Kochergin
    Football expert
    100
    0
    65
    165 predictions
    Statistics for September 2026

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    Betting Tips: Oulu - Gnistan

    Gnistan have not lost:
    if-gnistanin 8 of last 9 games (Veikkausliiga).
    if-gnistanin 6 of last 7 away games (Veikkausliiga).
    Gnistan will not lose
    Everygame
    -149
    Oulu have scored under 2.5 goals:
    ac-ouluif-gnistanin 10 of last 11 games against Gnistan.
    ac-ouluif-gnistanin 6 of last 7 games against Gnistan (Veikkausliiga).
    ac-ouluin last 23 games.
    ac-ouluin last 22 games (Veikkausliiga).
    ac-ouluin last 14 home games.
    ac-ouluin last 13 home games (Veikkausliiga).
    Oulu Total goals Under (2,5)
    Everygame
    -500
    Under 3.5 goals scored:
    ac-ouluin 13 of last 14 Oulu home games.
    ac-ouluin 12 of last 13 Oulu home games (Veikkausliiga).
    if-gnistanin 12 of last 14 Gnistan away games (Veikkausliiga).
    in last 5 Matti Roth games (in the Veikkausliiga).
    Total goals Under (3,5)
    Everygame
    -278
    Over 1.5 goals scored:
    ac-ouluif-gnistanin 11 of last 12 Oulu games against Gnistan.
    ac-ouluif-gnistanin 6 of last 7 Oulu games against Gnistan (Veikkausliiga).
    ac-ouluif-gnistanin last 5 Oulu home games against Gnistan.
    if-gnistanin 10 of last 11 Gnistan away games.
    if-gnistanin 9 of last 10 Gnistan away games (Veikkausliiga).
    if-gnistanin 8 of last 9 Gnistan games (Veikkausliiga).
    Total goals Over (1,5)
    Everygame
    -400
    View more facts

    Oulu - Gnistan Table position

    Champion Additional
    gWDLGDPForm
    2.
    Inter Turku
    Inter Turku
    25139332-1848
    3.
    HJK Helsinki
    HJK Helsinki
    25126739-2942
    4.
    Gnistan
    Gnistan
    25118640-3241
    5.
    Vaasa PS
    Vaasa PS
    25106930-2536
    6.
    Oulu
    Oulu
    251041126-2934

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    2 - Wins
    2 - Draws
    6 - Loses
    Wins - 5
    Draws - 4
    Lose - 1
    10 matches
    Scored - 6
    Conceded - 11
    -5
    +5
    17 - Scored
    12 - Conceded
    2
    Wins
    5
    2
    Draws
    4
    6
    Loses
    1
    Goal difference
    6
    Scored
    17
    11
    Conceded
    12
    1.7
    Match goals average
    2.9
    0.6
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.7
    1.1
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.2
    3
    Both teams scored
    8
    150'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    53'
    View all stats