Lille vs Troyes Prediction 13 September 2026
🔊 After three rounds, Lille sit fourth and are unbeaten, yet they have still to win a home game in Ligue 1. Troyes picked up four points from their opening two matches, then conceded six against Strasbourg last Sunday. The match also marks a return for Stéphane Dumont: the visiting manager spent eight seasons at Lille, the last of which ended in the title.
Head-to-Head
📊 The last time these two sides met was in June 2023 - Troyes were relegated shortly after and have only just returned. That match ended in a draw, and five months earlier in Lille the hosts had won comfortably. Lille have gone unbeaten in 7 of their last 8 home matches in this fixture.
Head-to-head statistics Lille - Troyes
Lille Team Overview
Davide Ancelotti took charge of the club in the summer, having previously worked at Botafogo before moving to Lille. His start has been steady: a win in Angers, a home draw with PSG in which Lille led by two goals until stoppage time, and a narrow victory in Toulouse. The team conceded just twice in those three league rounds, and both goals came in that home match.
In the Champions League, though, things have not gone as well. On Tuesday, Lille lost 3-2 to Betis: they were leading at half-time but conceded twice in eight minutes after the break and then had Ethan Mbappé sent off following a VAR review. A new signing has been among the goals, however: Ayase Ueda joined from Feyenoord on 1 September, came off the bench in Toulouse and decided that match, then scored against Betis in the 12th minute.
Match Results: Lille
Troyes Team Overview
Troyes returned to Ligue 1 after three years away, having won the Ligue 2 title last spring. Stéphane Dumont has been in charge at Troyes since August 2024 and was the man who led them up. Their start in the top flight was decent enough: a goalless draw at home to Paris FC, then a 2-1 win away at Lorient, leaving them ninth.
Then came Sunday against Strasbourg. Troyes led as early as the ninth minute, but were behind by half-time and conceded four more in the second half. Seven goals conceded in three matchdays - only Auxerre have a worse record in Ligue 1.
Match Results: Troyes
Latest news
Lille
❌ Ancelotti's injury list is almost empty: the only player still recovering is Hamza Igamane, who injured his knee in January and is not expected back until somewhere between October and December. Nabil Bentaleb came off during the match against Betis with a vision problem, but returned to full training on Thursday, so he has a chance of being available by Sunday. Ethan Mbappé's red card only affects European competition: the suspension applies to the Champions League, not the league.
Troyes
❓ Dumont has three fitness concerns, all medical. Ismaël Boura has not played since the start of the season due to a hip problem, Yann Titi missed the last two matches with a thigh injury, and Paolo Gozzi was absent against Strasbourg because of a neck issue. In other news: Elijah Adedé has left on loan to Belgian side Lommel, while Jérémy Le Douaron, on loan from Palermo, has already made an impact - his injury-time goal was his side's second in that match.
Predicted Lineups
📋 Predicted starting XI for Lille: Ozer - Tiago Santos, Alexandru, Ngoy, Perrot - André, Bentaleb - Perrin, Haraldsson, Ethan Mbappé - Ueda.
📋 Predicted starting XI for Troyes: Bich - Maronnier, Monfray, Diaz, Ouzenadji - Mille, Diop - Ifnaoui, Karim, Picard - Ripart.
Goals Prediction
⚽️ In this fixture, Lille have gone 10 consecutive Ligue 1 matches without keeping a clean sheet. The visitors are currently stronger in attack than in defence: four goals in three rounds, including two in their only away match. The bet is Troyes to Score at 1.73*.
🚩 Corners Prediction
Lille take corners infrequently: across their last 10 official matches they average four per game, while their opponents average five. Troyes' opponents take even fewer, averaging three. The expected figure for the hosts works out at 3.5 corners. The run of results tells the same story: Lille have taken fewer than six corners in 16 of their last 17 matches, and in 8 of their last 9 at home. The bet is Lille Team Total Corners - Under 5.5 at 2.03*.
🟨 Yellow Cards Prediction
The match is refereed by Romain Lissorgues - this is only his third Ligue 1 appointment this season. Over his last 10 matches he averages 3.4 yellow cards, and over his last 100 it is 3.73. The hosts have picked up 19 cards in their last 10 matches, with their opponents receiving 21. Troyes' numbers are more modest: 14 for themselves and 13 for their opponents. The average across the two sides works out at 3.35 cards, and both figures are above 2.5. The bet is Total Yellow Cards - Over 2.5.
*Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers
⭐️ Editorial Prediction
Lille matches don't tend to produce many goals: fewer than three in total were scored in 7 of their last 8 Ligue 1 matches. The picture at home is the same - they have not exceeded two goals in 15 of their last 16 home matches. Troyes are also cautious away from home: fewer than four goals in 10 of their last 11 away matches.
The one complicating factor is the head-to-head history: both teams scored in five consecutive Ligue 1 meetings in Lille. But that run ended more than three years ago, and the visitors have since changed both division and squad. We are not expecting an open game. The bet is Total Goals - Under 2.5. Predicted score: 1-1.
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Betting Tips: Lille - Troyes
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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