Flamengo vs Sao Paulo Prediction 12 July 2025
🔊 The Brazilian Championship returns to the Maracanã in Rio de Janeiro. In this 13th round clash, table-toppers Flamengo host São Paulo, who are languishing in the lower part of the standings. The home side impressed everyone with their performance at the Club World Cup and are now set to defend their top spot, while also looking to bolster their squad. Meanwhile, the visitors played their last match on June 13 and have since had some time to regroup and recover. It remains to be seen if Flamengo can hold their ground against a rejuvenated São Paulo.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on August 4, 2024, ending in a 1-0 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of the statistics from that encounter (home team - São Paulo):
- possession: 55% vs 45%;
- corner kicks: 8 vs 3;
- fouls: 11 vs 14;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
- shots on target: 3 vs 0.
📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between Flamengo and São Paulo:
- 42 matches played;
- home wins - 14, away wins - 16, draws - 12;
- goals scored - 50 for Flamengo, 54 for São Paulo;
- average goals in the first half - 1.02, in the second half - 1.45;
- average total goals per match - 2.48.
Head-to-head statistics Flamengo - Sao Paulo
Flamengo Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on during the Club World Cup Round of 16, with Flamengo hosting Bayern. The match concluded with a 2-4 scoreline.
Here are the match statistics (Flamengo vs Bayern):
- possession: 51% vs 49%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 4;
- fouls: 18 vs 19;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 5;
- shots on target: 3 vs 4.
🔴 Unlike their upcoming opponents, the team led by the recently retired Felipe Luis headed to the Club World Cup after the 12th round of their domestic league. In Group D, they faced off against Chelsea, Tunisian side Esperance, and Los Angeles FC. The "Vultures" put on an impressive display, topping the group with two wins and a draw. In the playoffs, they met Bayern Munich, who knocked them out of the tournament (2-4).
⚫ Now Flamengo have returned home, aiming to maintain their top spot, which they currently share with Cruzeiro-both teams sit on 24 points. Despite some physical fatigue, Felipe Luis's squad cannot afford to ease up if they truly aspire to clinch the championship. In 11 matches played, they boast 7 wins, 3 draws, and just 1 loss. Flamengo live up to their nickname "Vultures," impressing with their attacking prowess-24 goals scored, the most in Serie A. They also showcase defensive solidity, conceding only 4 goals-the best record in the league. Any opponent will find it incredibly challenging to handle Flamengo this season, especially at the Maracanã.
🆕 Notably, the midfield has been perfectly bolstered by the team's new addition-Jorginho, a Champions League winner with Chelsea and European Champion with Italy, who made the switch from Arsenal.
Match Results: Flamengo
Sao Paulo Team Overview
The visitors played their last official match on during the 12th round of Serie A, where São Paulo hosted Vasco da Gama. The match ended with a scoreline of 1-3.
Here are the match statistics (São Paulo vs Vasco da Gama):
- possession: 51% vs 49%;
- corners: 4 vs 3;
- fouls: 18 vs 17;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 2;
- shots on target: 3 vs 9.
⚪ São Paulo cannot boast of a particularly successful season, currently sitting 14th in the standings as they continue to search for form after a string of setbacks. The Tricolor have suffered three consecutive defeats in the league. Over 12 matches, Hernán Crespo's side have managed just 2 wins, drawn 6 times, and lost 4, amassing 12 points. They've scored 10 goals and conceded 14. Averaging less than one goal scored and more than one conceded per game suggests that São Paulo will face significant challenges at Maracanã. 🔴 However, a victory against Flamengo could see the Tricolor climb to 12th place in the table. On the flip side, a loss could drop them into the relegation zone, potentially as low as 18th. ⚫ On a brighter note, São Paulo have shown strong performances in the Copa Libertadores: they topped Group D without suffering a single defeat, collecting 14 points and deservedly advancing to the Round of 16. The Tricolor will battle Colombian side Atlético Nacional in a two-legged tie for a spot in the quarter-finals.
Match Results: Sao Paulo
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Number of encounters - 42;
- Home wins - 14, Away wins - 16, Draws - 12.
Statistics: Flamengo vs São Paulo
- Matches played in the tournament: 11 vs 12;
- Wins: 7 vs 2;
- Win percentage: 64% vs 17%;
- Losses: 1 vs 4;
- Draws: 3 vs 6.
Last 10 Matches:
- Wins: 7 vs 4;
- Losses: 1 vs 4;
- Draws: 2 vs 2.
- São Paulo cover a +1.5 spread in 7 consecutive head-to-head matches against Flamengo.
- São Paulo cover a +1.5 spread in 27 of their last 29 matches.
- São Paulo cover a +1.5 spread in 20 of their last 21 away matches.
- São Paulo cover a +1.5 spread in 19 of their last 21 matches in Serie A.
- São Paulo cover a +1.5 spread in 10 consecutive away matches in Serie A.
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Today's home team average goals scored - 1.19, away team - 1.29;
- Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 2.48;
- Both teams scored: All-time - 21 times; At home team's ground - 11 times.
Statistics: Flamengo vs São Paulo
- Tournament average total: 2.55 vs 2;
- Average goals scored: 2.18 vs 0.83;
- Average first-half total: 0.91 vs 0.42;
- Average second-half total: 1.27 vs 0.42;
- Flamengo: Home average total in tournament - 2.83;
- São Paulo: Away average total in tournament - 0.8;
- Last 10 matches (average total): 2.2 (home - 2.38) vs 1.1 (away - 1.25).
- Total under 2.5 goals has hit in 6 of the last 7 head-to-head encounters between these teams.
Corners Prediction
Flamengo: Statistics
- Season: Tournament average total - 6; At home - 6.17;
- Last 10 matches: Average total - 5.4; At home - 5.63.
São Paulo: Statistics
- Season: Tournament average total - 4.25, Away - 2.8;
- Last 10 matches: Average total - 4.1; Away - 3.25.
Cards Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches
- Average total yellow cards in head-to-head matches - 3.2 (1.6 for home team and 1.6 for away team);
- Average total yellow cards at home team's ground - 3.65 (1.45 for home team and 2.2 for away team).
Flamengo: Statistics
- Season: Tournament average total - 1.27; At home - 1.17;
- Last 10 matches: Average total - 1.6; At home - 1.75.
São Paulo: Statistics
- Season: Tournament average total - 3.83, Away - 3.6;
- Last 10 matches: Average total - 2.8; Away - 2.25.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 42;
- Both teams scored all-time - 21 times;
- At home team's ground - 11 times.
Statistics: Flamengo vs São Paulo
- Tournament matches played: 11 vs 12;
- Matches with both teams scoring this season (BTTS): Flamengo - 3, São Paulo - 7;
- BTTS at Flamengo's home ground - 1 (17%);
- BTTS for São Paulo away - 3 (60%).
Last 10 matches:
- BTTS matches: Flamengo - 4, São Paulo - 6;
- BTTS at Flamengo's home ground - 3 (38%);
- BTTS for São Paulo away - 2 (50%).
- Flamengo score and concede at home in five consecutive head-to-head matches against São Paulo in Serie A.
- São Paulo score and concede in six of their last seven matches.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Given current trends, Flamengo clearly hold the edge in several key areas-from league standings to average scoring rates. São Paulo face a challenging task: containing the hosts' potent attack while capitalizing on rare opportunities through counterattacks or set pieces. Considering São Paulo have yet to secure an away win this season, their chances against the league leaders seem slim. Meanwhile, Filipe Luís's side have showcased excellent form and cohesion in the Club World Cup, leaving a strong impression. Our prediction: Flamengo's individual total over 1.5 goals.
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Betting Tips: Flamengo - Sao Paulo
in 19 of last 20 games (Serie A).in 11 of last 12 games.in 10 of last 11 home games.in 15 of last 17 games (Serie A).in last 8 away games (Serie A).
in 19 of last 21 home games against Sao Paulo.in 16 of last 18 home games against Sao Paulo (Serie A).in last 7 games against Sao Paulo.in last 5 games against Sao Paulo (Serie A).in 14 of last 15 games.in 12 of last 13 home games.in 9 of last 10 games (Serie A).in last 8 games.in last 8 games.in last 6 home games.
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