Vitoria vs Cruzeiro Prediction 12 June 2025
🔊 At the Estádio Manoel Barradas in Salvador, Vitória will host Cruzeiro as part of the 12th round of the Brazilian Championship. The home side find themselves in the lower half of the standings and will be desperate to secure a win to steer clear of the relegation zone. Meanwhile, the visitors arrive with their sights set on three points-Cruzeiro are still in contention for the top spot, trailing leaders Flamengo by just a single point. Which team's motivation and desire will prevail? And what is the most insightful prediction for this clash?
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 19 August 2024 and ended in a 2-2 draw. Here's a comparative breakdown of the statistics from that match (Vitória were the home side):
- possession: 37% vs 63%;
- corners: 4 vs 7;
- fouls: 10 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
- red cards: 1 vs 0;
- shots on target: 7 vs 11.
📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between Vitoria and Cruzeiro:
- 29 matches played;
- home wins - 4, away wins - 18, draws - 7;
- goals scored - 27 for Vitoria, 55 for Cruzeiro;
- average total in the 1st half - 1, in the 2nd half - 1.83;
- average total goals per match - 2.83.
Head-to-head statistics Vitoria - Cruzeiro
Vitoria Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on in the Brazilian Serie A, with Corinthians hosting Vitoria. The match ended in a 0-0 draw.
Here are the match statistics (Vitoria vs Corinthians):
- possession: 29% vs 71%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 8;
- fouls: 16 vs 8;
- yellow cards: 5 vs 2;
- shots on target: 2 vs 3.
🔴 "Lions of Barra" currently sit in 16th place in the league table after 11 rounds. During this stretch, Vitoria have managed just two victories, drawn four times, and suffered five defeats. The team have scored 10 goals-averaging less than one goal per game-and conceded 14, which averages out to 1.2 goals per match.
⚫ Vitoria have accumulated 10 points, the same as the team in 17th place (Fortaleza). To avoid slipping into the relegation zone, the club must secure points even against strong opponents like Cruzeiro.
⚽ Vitoria have already concluded their campaign in the Copa Sudamericana, finishing third in Group B. They also exited the Copa do Brasil, losing to Nautico in the first round. Vitoria's current form is concerning, as they are winless in their last four matches across all competitions.
Match Results: Vitoria
Cruzeiro Team Overview
The visitors last played an official match on in the Brazilian Serie A, where they faced Cruzeiro away. Palmeiras emerged with a 2-1 victory.
Here are the match statistics (Cruzeiro vs Palmeiras):
- possession: 36% vs 64%;
- corners: 5 vs 13;
- fouls: 17 vs 13;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 3;
- shots on target: 3 vs 5.
🔵 The "Celestials" currently sit in second place after 11 rounds: they have secured 7 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses. Cruzeiro have netted 17 goals, averaging 1.5 per game, while conceding 8, which breaks down to 0.7 goals per match. With 23 points, the club trails league leaders Flamengo by just a single point.
⚪ The "Foxes" head to Salvador with victory as their sole objective. However, their away form hasn't been as solid; both of their defeats this season have come on the road. So, Cruzeiro should not expect an easy outing.
⚽ Like Vitoria, the team wrapped up their campaign in the Copa Sudamericana, finishing third in Group E. However, in the Copa do Brasil, the "Celestials" are still in contention and will face Regatas from Serie B in the Round of 16.
Match Results: Cruzeiro
Latest news
Vitoria
❌ In the upcoming match, Vitoria will be without several key players. Midfielder Ricardo Ryller and forward Janderson will miss the game due to yellow card suspensions. Additionally, defenders Weglo Neris and Raul Caceres, along with midfielder Willian de Oliveira, are sidelined with injuries. Goalkeeper Gabriel remains doubtful for the clash.
Cruzeiro
🔝 Cruzeiro remain unbeaten in their last 11 matches across all competitions, boasting 8 wins and 3 draws.
❌ Midfielder Cristian will miss the match due to suspension. Defender Juan Marcelo faces a lengthy absence after tearing his ACL, and midfielder Matheus Henrique is sidelined with a meniscus injury.
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head:
- Total encounters - 29;
- Home wins - 4, Away wins - 18, Draws - 7.
Statistics: Vitoria vs Cruzeiro
- Matches played in the tournament: 11 vs 11;
- Wins: 2 vs 7;
- Win percentage: 18% vs 64%;
- Losses: 5 vs 2;
- Draws: 4 vs 2.
Last 10 Matches:
- Wins: 2 vs 7;
- Losses: 5 vs 0;
- Draws: 3 vs 3.
- Cruzeiro have drawn their last three away head-to-head matches in Serie A.
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-Head:
- Today's hosts average goals per match - 0.93, visitors - 1.9;
- Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 2.83;
- Both teams have scored: overall - 15 times; at the home team's ground - 8 times.
Statistics: Vitoria vs Cruzeiro
- Average total in the tournament: 2.18 vs 2.27;
- Average goals scored: 0.91 vs 1.55;
- Average first-half total: 0.09 vs 1;
- Average second-half total: 0.82 vs 0.55;
- Vitoria: average home total in the tournament - 1.2;
- Cruzeiro: average away total in the tournament - 1.4;
- Last 10 matches (average total): 0.6 (home - 0.8) vs 1.8 (away - 2.5).
- Total over 1.5 goals has occurred in five consecutive head-to-head matches in Serie A.
- Total over 1.5 goals has occurred in eight of the last nine home matches for Vitoria in Serie A.
- Total over 1.5 goals has occurred in five consecutive away matches for Cruzeiro.
Corners Prediction
Vitoria: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 4.73; at home - 4.8;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 5.4; at home - 5.6.
Cruzeiro: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 5.91, away - 5.8;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 7.3; away - 4.75.
- Cruzeiro have taken over 3.5 corners in eight of the last nine head-to-head meetings.
- Cruzeiro have taken over 3.5 corners in nine consecutive Serie A matches.
- Cruzeiro have taken over 3.5 corners in six of their last seven away matches.
Cards Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches
- Average total yellow cards in head-to-head matches - 2.82 (1.41 for the home team and 1.41 for the visitors);
- Average total yellow cards at the home team's ground - 3.21 (1.5 for the home team and 1.71 for the visitors).
Vitoria: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 2.73; at home - 1.8;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 3.2; at home - 3.
Cruzeiro: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 2.64, away - 2.2;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 2; away - 1.5.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-Head:
- Total encounters - 29;
- Both teams have scored overall - 15 times;
- At the home team's ground - 8 times.
Statistics: Vitoria vs Cruzeiro
- Total matches played in the tournament: 11 vs 11;
- Total matches this season where both teams scored (BTTS): Vitoria - 7, Cruzeiro - 4;
- BTTS for Vitoria at home - 4 (80%);
- BTTS for Cruzeiro away - 1 (20%).
Last 10 Matches:
- Total BTTS matches: Vitoria - 4, Cruzeiro - 4;
- BTTS for Vitoria at home - 3 (60%);
- BTTS for Cruzeiro away - 1 (25%).
Editor's Prediction
The current form comparison between both teams highlights a clear advantage for the visitors from Belo Horizonte-Cruzeiro continue their unbeaten run and boast one of the most potent attacks in the league. However, the hosts have the potential to surprise, thanks to their key trend of consistently scoring at home: Vitória have found the net in 9 of their last 10 home matches, despite an overall dip in performance. There is little doubt that Cruzeiro will also find a way to score; during their 11-game unbeaten streak, they have only kept a clean sheet twice-both offensively and defensively. Considering the playing styles of both teams and their head-to-head statistics showing a tendency for goal exchanges, the most reasonable bet for this match is over 1.5 goals.
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Betting Tips: Vitoria - Cruzeiro
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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