Rosenborg vs Sarpsborg Prediction 12 April 2026
🔊 The Norwegian Championship is in full swing, with the opening rounds now behind us. We're taking a closer look at the clash between Rosenborg and Sarpsborg, where both teams have something to prove. Who will come out on top? Let's delve into this matchup. Our editorial team offers an insightful prediction for the event and a bet at reasonable odds.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 05 October 2025 and ended with a 2-3 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of that encounter (Rosenborg were the home side):
- possession: 62% vs 38%;
- corners: 11 vs 2;
- fouls: 10 vs 24;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 3;
- shots on target: 8 vs 6.
📊 Statistical preview of the official encounters between Rosenborg and Sarpsborg:
- 30 matches played;
- home victories - 15, away victories - 8, draws - 7;
- goals scored - 64 against 43;
- average first-half total - 1.5, second-half - 2.07;
- average total goals per match - 3.57.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

Rosenborg Team Overview
The last official match took place on in the Eliteserien, featuring Tromsø as the home team and Rosenborg as the visitors. The game concluded with a 2-0 victory for Tromsø.
Here are the match stats (Rosenborg vs Tromsø):
- possession: 47% vs 53%;
- corners: 0 vs 7;
- fouls: 8 vs 8;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 0;
- shots on target: 0 vs 6.
The team had an abysmal start to the season and immediately plunged into crisis. Rosenborg are struggling across the board, with players lacking cohesion. They've lost all three league matches so far and, even more concerning, have failed to score any goals. This is an unprecedented slump for a club of their stature in the Norwegian championship. Their latest defeat came against Tromsø (0-2), where they had no chance of mounting a comeback.
Match Results: Rosenborg

Sarpsborg Team Overview
The visitors last played an official match on in the Eliteserien, with Sarpsborg as the hosts and Start as the visitors. The game ended in a 1-1 draw.
Here are the match statistics (Sarpsborg vs Start):
- possession: 58% vs 42%;
- corners: 7 vs 2;
- fouls: 6 vs 13;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 3;
- shots on target: 5 vs 1.
The situation here is intriguing, even though the match schedule is incomplete. Sarpsborg have faced a wave of postponements, but there's no cause for concern, especially since the team have started the season on a positive note. So far, they've collected four points from two matches. In their latest league outing, Sarpsborg drew 1-1 with Start, but they played an engaging game. Here's the key takeaway: if the team can learn to capitalize on more of their opportunities, they'll climb significantly higher in the standings. Let's keep watching.
Match Results: Sarpsborg
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 30;
- home team wins - 15, away team wins - 8, draws - 7.
Statistics: Rosenborg vs Sarpsborg
- matches played in the tournament: 3 vs 2;
- wins: 0 vs 1;
- win percentage: 0% vs 50%;
- losses: 3 vs 0;
- draws: 0 vs 1.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 2 vs 4;
- losses: 7 vs 5;
- draws: 1 vs 1.
- Rosenborg have not won in last 9 games against Sarpsborg.
- Rosenborg have not won in last 8 games against Sarpsborg (Eliteserien).
- Rosenborg have not won in last 6 home games against Sarpsborg.
- Rosenborg have not won in last 5 home games against Sarpsborg (Eliteserien).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- the home team scores on average - 2.13, the guests - 1.43;
- average over/under goals in head-to-head matches - 3.57;
- both teams scored: overall - 21; at the home team's field - 10.
- Over 2.5 goals scored in 7 of last 8 Rosenborg games against Sarpsborg.
- Over 2.5 goals scored in 6 of last 7 Rosenborg games against Sarpsborg (Eliteserien).
- Over 2.5 goals scored in 10 of last 11 Sarpsborg away games.
- Over 2.5 goals scored in 8 of last 9 Sarpsborg away games (Eliteserien).
Prediction on corners
Rosenborg: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 6.67; at home field - 16;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6.6; at home field - 8.6.
Sarpsborg: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 6.5, away - 6;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.8; away - 4.2.
- Sarpsborg have taken under 4.5 corners in last 6 games against Rosenborg.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 30;
- both teams scored all-time - 21 times;
- on the home team’s field - 10 times.
Statistics: Rosenborg vs Sarpsborg
- number of matches played in the tournament: 3 vs 2;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 0 vs 1;
- number of BTTS matches for Rosenborg at home - 0 (0%);
- number of BTTS matches for Sarpsborg away - 0 (0%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 3 vs 5;
- BTTS matches for Rosenborg at home - 1 (20%);
- BTTS matches for Sarpsborg away - 2 (40%).
- Rosenborg have scored and conceded in 9 of last 10 games against Sarpsborg.
- Rosenborg have scored and conceded in 8 of last 9 games against Sarpsborg (Eliteserien).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 2:0 (3/21, 14.3%);
- Rosenborg at home most often finish matches: 0:2 (1/1, 100%);
- Sarpsborg away most often play: 0:2 (1/1, 100%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
0:1 - 13.36% (odds 11)
1:1 - 12.65% (odds 6.2)
0:2 - 10.8% (odds 16)
- Rosenborg lost 0:2 in last 3 games (Eliteserien).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Analyzing form and trends, we can draw conclusions about the likely nature of the game. Rosenborg are struggling significantly both in attack and defense, but they are bound to break through eventually. Sarpsborg, on the other hand, display a more balanced style and have the potential to improve their results. Based on the trend where these opponents often exchange goals in head-to-head clashes, we predict that this scenario will repeat itself. This aligns with Rosenborg's current dynamic of conceding and scoring goals. Our pick is the bet on both teams to score.