Rosenborg vs Sarpsborg Prediction 12 April 2026

    🔊 The Norwegian Championship is in full swing, with the opening rounds now behind us. We're taking a closer look at the clash between Rosenborg and Sarpsborg, where both teams have something to prove. Who will come out on top? Let's delve into this matchup. Our editorial team offers an insightful prediction for the event and a bet at reasonable odds.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official match between the teams took place on 05 October 2025 and ended with a 2-3 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of that encounter (Rosenborg were the home side):

    • possession: 62% vs 38%;
    • corners: 11 vs 2;
    • fouls: 10 vs 24;
    • yellow cards: 0 vs 3;
    • shots on target: 8 vs 6.

    📊 Statistical preview of the official encounters between Rosenborg and Sarpsborg:

    • 30 matches played;
    • home victories - 15, away victories - 8, draws - 7;
    • goals scored - 64 against 43;
    • average first-half total - 1.5, second-half - 2.07;
    • average total goals per match - 3.57.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    52%
    16 Wins
    23%
    7 Draws
    26%
    8 Wins
    Total games
    31
    Total Goals Avg
    3.55
    Both teams scored
    71%
    2.13
    Total average
    1.42
    1.68
    Yellow cards
    1.94
    Last matches
    12.04.26
    Eliteserien
    Rosenborg
    Rosenborg
    Sarpsborg
    Sarpsborg
    1.57
    1.48
    7
    4
    10
    8
    3
    1
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    1.57
    1.48
    7
    4
    10
    8
    3
    1
    05.10.25
    Eliteserien
    Rosenborg
    Rosenborg
    1
    Sarpsborg
    Sarpsborg
    2.94
    1.68
    11
    2
    10
    24
    0
    3
    2
    3
    0
    1
    2
    2
    2.94
    1.68
    11
    2
    10
    24
    0
    3
    18.07.25
    Eliteserien
    Sarpsborg
    Sarpsborg
    Rosenborg
    Rosenborg
    2.27
    1.55
    4
    1
    15
    15
    2
    5
    2
    2
    1
    2
    1
    0
    2.27
    1.55
    4
    1
    15
    15
    2
    5
    25.06.25
    NM Cup
    Rosenborg
    Rosenborg
    Sarpsborg
    Sarpsborg
    -
    -
    14
    1
    0
    0
    4
    3
    2
    2
    0
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    2
    4
    -
    -
    14
    1
    0
    0
    4
    3
    23.11.24
    Eliteserien
    Rosenborg
    Rosenborg
    Sarpsborg
    Sarpsborg
    -
    -
    9
    3
    6
    6
    2
    4
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    9
    3
    6
    6
    2
    4
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Rosenborg Team Overview

    The last official match took place on in the Eliteserien, featuring Tromsø as the home team and Rosenborg as the visitors. The game concluded with a 2-0 victory for Tromsø.

    Here are the match stats (Rosenborg vs Tromsø):

    • possession: 47% vs 53%;
    • corners: 0 vs 7;
    • fouls: 8 vs 8;
    • yellow cards: 3 vs 0;
    • shots on target: 0 vs 6.

    The team had an abysmal start to the season and immediately plunged into crisis. Rosenborg are struggling across the board, with players lacking cohesion. They've lost all three league matches so far and, even more concerning, have failed to score any goals. This is an unprecedented slump for a club of their stature in the Norwegian championship. Their latest defeat came against Tromsø (0-2), where they had no chance of mounting a comeback.

    Match Results: Rosenborg

    Last matches
    29.05.26
    Eliteserien
    Rosenborg
    Rosenborg
    Bodo/Glimt
    Bodo/Glimt
    1.57
    2.33
    0
    6
    16
    13
    2
    1
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    1.57
    2.33
    0
    6
    16
    13
    2
    1
    D
    25.05.26
    Eliteserien
    KFUM Oslo
    KFUM Oslo
    Rosenborg
    Rosenborg
    2.49
    1.13
    9
    2
    16
    4
    2
    0
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2.49
    1.13
    9
    2
    16
    4
    2
    0
    L
    16.05.26
    Eliteserien
    Rosenborg
    Rosenborg
    Aalesunds
    Aalesunds
    1.08
    1.13
    11
    0
    7
    15
    2
    6
    2
    3
    1
    1
    1
    2
    1.08
    1.13
    11
    0
    7
    15
    2
    6
    L
    10.05.26
    Eliteserien
    Rosenborg
    Rosenborg
    Lillestrom
    Lillestrom
    2.17
    0.47
    1
    4
    9
    15
    2
    2
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2.17
    0.47
    1
    4
    9
    15
    2
    2
    W
    01.05.26
    Eliteserien
    Viking
    Viking
    Rosenborg
    Rosenborg
    2.31
    1.14
    7
    3
    13
    15
    2
    3
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    2.31
    1.14
    7
    3
    13
    15
    2
    3
    L
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    Sarpsborg Team Overview

    The visitors last played an official match on in the Eliteserien, with Sarpsborg as the hosts and Start as the visitors. The game ended in a 1-1 draw.

    Here are the match statistics (Sarpsborg vs Start):

    • possession: 58% vs 42%;
    • corners: 7 vs 2;
    • fouls: 6 vs 13;
    • yellow cards: 0 vs 3;
    • shots on target: 5 vs 1.

    The situation here is intriguing, even though the match schedule is incomplete. Sarpsborg have faced a wave of postponements, but there's no cause for concern, especially since the team have started the season on a positive note. So far, they've collected four points from two matches. In their latest league outing, Sarpsborg drew 1-1 with Start, but they played an engaging game. Here's the key takeaway: if the team can learn to capitalize on more of their opportunities, they'll climb significantly higher in the standings. Let's keep watching.

    Match Results: Sarpsborg

    Last matches
    29.05.26
    Eliteserien
    Brann
    Brann
    Sarpsborg
    Sarpsborg
    0.81
    1.5
    8
    5
    6
    8
    2
    2
    1
    2
    1
    2
    0
    0
    0.81
    1.5
    8
    5
    6
    8
    2
    2
    W
    25.05.26
    Eliteserien
    Sarpsborg
    Sarpsborg
    Molde
    Molde
    1.28
    1.7
    2
    8
    13
    6
    1
    1
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    1.28
    1.7
    2
    8
    13
    6
    1
    1
    W
    16.05.26
    Eliteserien
    Valerenga
    Valerenga
    Sarpsborg
    Sarpsborg
    2.39
    2.26
    7
    0
    13
    11
    1
    0
    3
    2
    2
    2
    1
    0
    2.39
    2.26
    7
    0
    13
    11
    1
    0
    L
    09.05.26
    Eliteserien
    Sarpsborg
    Sarpsborg
    Fredrikstad
    Fredrikstad
    1.65
    0.81
    11
    3
    15
    19
    4
    4
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    1.65
    0.81
    11
    3
    15
    19
    4
    4
    W
    03.05.26
    Eliteserien
    Lillestrom
    Lillestrom
    Sarpsborg
    Sarpsborg
    2.99
    0.82
    3
    3
    12
    13
    1
    3
    4
    0
    2
    0
    2
    0
    2.99
    0.82
    3
    3
    12
    13
    1
    3
    L
    Empty
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    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 30;
    • home team wins - 15, away team wins - 8, draws - 7.

    Statistics: Rosenborg vs Sarpsborg

    • matches played in the tournament: 3 vs 2;
    • wins: 0 vs 1;
    • win percentage: 0% vs 50%;
    • losses: 3 vs 0;
    • draws: 0 vs 1.

    Last 10 matches:

    • wins: 2 vs 4;
    • losses: 7 vs 5;
    • draws: 1 vs 1.
    Trends
    • Rosenborg have not won in last 9 games against Sarpsborg.
    • Rosenborg have not won in last 8 games against Sarpsborg (Eliteserien).
    • Rosenborg have not won in last 6 home games against Sarpsborg.
    • Rosenborg have not won in last 5 home games against Sarpsborg (Eliteserien).
    👉Prediction: Sarpsborg will not lose(odds: 1.6)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • the home team scores on average - 2.13, the guests - 1.43;
    • average over/under goals in head-to-head matches - 3.57;
    • both teams scored: overall - 21; at the home team's field - 10.
    Trends
    • Over 2.5 goals scored in 7 of last 8 Rosenborg games against Sarpsborg.
    • Over 2.5 goals scored in 6 of last 7 Rosenborg games against Sarpsborg (Eliteserien).
    • Over 2.5 goals scored in 10 of last 11 Sarpsborg away games.
    • Over 2.5 goals scored in 8 of last 9 Sarpsborg away games (Eliteserien).
    👉Prediction: Total goals Over (2,5)(odds: 1.5)

    Prediction on corners

    Rosenborg: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 6.67; at home field - 16;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6.6; at home field - 8.6.

    Sarpsborg: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 6.5, away - 6;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.8; away - 4.2.
    Trends
    • Sarpsborg have taken under 4.5 corners in last 6 games against Rosenborg.
    👉Prediction: Corners - Sarpsborg Total Under (4,5)(odds: 1.77)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 30;
    • both teams scored all-time - 21 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 10 times.

    Statistics: Rosenborg vs Sarpsborg

    • number of matches played in the tournament: 3 vs 2;
    • number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 0 vs 1;
    • number of BTTS matches for Rosenborg at home - 0 (0%);
    • number of BTTS matches for Sarpsborg away - 0 (0%).

    Last 10 matches:

    • number of BTTS matches: 3 vs 5;
    • BTTS matches for Rosenborg at home - 1 (20%);
    • BTTS matches for Sarpsborg away - 2 (40%).
    Trends
    • Rosenborg have scored and conceded in 9 of last 10 games against Sarpsborg.
    • Rosenborg have scored and conceded in 8 of last 9 games against Sarpsborg (Eliteserien).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (Yes)(odds: 1.5)

    Correct score prediction

    Statistics of frequent results (current season):

    • most common score in the tournament: 2:0 (3/21, 14.3%);
    • Rosenborg at home most often finish matches: 0:2 (1/1, 100%);
    • Sarpsborg away most often play: 0:2 (1/1, 100%).

    Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:

    0:1 - 13.36% (odds 11)
    1:1 - 12.65% (odds 6.2)
    0:2 - 10.8% (odds 16)

    Trends
    • Rosenborg lost 0:2 in last 3 games (Eliteserien).
    👉Prediction: Correct Score (0:2)(odds: 16)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Analyzing form and trends, we can draw conclusions about the likely nature of the game. Rosenborg are struggling significantly both in attack and defense, but they are bound to break through eventually. Sarpsborg, on the other hand, display a more balanced style and have the potential to improve their results. Based on the trend where these opponents often exchange goals in head-to-head clashes, we predict that this scenario will repeat itself. This aligns with Rosenborg's current dynamic of conceding and scoring goals. Our pick is the bet on both teams to score.

    Our choice
    Both Teams To Score (Yes) at odds of -200*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (9 April 2026, 13:18)

    Betting Tips: Rosenborg - Sarpsborg

    Rosenborg have not won:
    rosenborg-bk-1sarpsborgin last 9 games against Sarpsborg.
    rosenborg-bk-1sarpsborgin last 8 games against Sarpsborg (Eliteserien).
    rosenborg-bk-1sarpsborgin last 6 home games against Sarpsborg.
    rosenborg-bk-1sarpsborgin last 5 home games against Sarpsborg (Eliteserien).
    Sarpsborg will not lose
    Everygame
    -164
    Over 1.5 goals scored:
    rosenborg-bk-1sarpsborgin 12 of last 14 Rosenborg home games against Sarpsborg (Eliteserien).
    rosenborg-bk-1sarpsborgin last 10 Rosenborg games against Sarpsborg.
    rosenborg-bk-1sarpsborgin last 9 Rosenborg games against Sarpsborg (Eliteserien).
    rosenborg-bk-1sarpsborgin last 5 Rosenborg home games against Sarpsborg.
    rosenborg-bk-1in 23 of last 25 Rosenborg games (Eliteserien).
    rosenborg-bk-1in 10 of last 11 Rosenborg home games (Eliteserien).
    rosenborg-bk-1in 7 of last 8 Rosenborg home games.
    rosenborg-bk-1in last 5 Rosenborg games.
    sarpsborgin 15 of last 16 Sarpsborg games.
    sarpsborgin 12 of last 13 Sarpsborg games (Eliteserien).
    sarpsborgin last 11 Sarpsborg away games.
    sarpsborgin last 9 Sarpsborg away games (Eliteserien).
    in 9 of last 10 Christian Moen games (in the Eliteserien).
    Total goals Over (1,5)
    Everygame
    -500
    Rosenborg have conceded:
    rosenborg-bk-1sarpsborgin 20 of last 21 games against Sarpsborg (Eliteserien).
    rosenborg-bk-1sarpsborgin last 14 games against Sarpsborg.
    rosenborg-bk-1sarpsborgin 10 of last 11 home games against Sarpsborg (Eliteserien).
    rosenborg-bk-1sarpsborgin last 7 home games against Sarpsborg.
    Sarpsborg have scored:
    sarpsborgin 7 of last 8 away games.
    Sarpsborg will score goal
    Everygame
    -357
    Rosenborg have scored:
    rosenborg-bk-1sarpsborgin 9 of last 10 games against Sarpsborg.
    rosenborg-bk-1sarpsborgin 8 of last 9 games against Sarpsborg (Eliteserien).
    rosenborg-bk-1in 13 of last 14 home games (Eliteserien).
    Rosenborg will score goal
    Everygame
    -556
    View more facts

    Rosenborg - Sarpsborg Table position

    Eliteserien 2026
    gWDLGDPForm
    7.
    Sandefjord
    Sandefjord
    104249-1114
    8.
    Sarpsborg
    Sarpsborg
    1142513-1614
    9.
    Valerenga
    Valerenga
    1142513-1714
    14.
    Kristiansund
    Kristiansund
    1132611-1811
    15.
    Rosenborg
    Rosenborg
    112369-189
    16.
    Start
    Start
    1214713-287

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    2 - Wins
    3 - Draws
    5 - Loses
    Wins - 3
    Draws - 2
    Loses - 5
    10 matches
    Scored - 9
    Conceded - 16
    -7
    -5
    11 - Scored
    16 - Conceded
    2
    Wins
    3
    3
    Draws
    2
    5
    Loses
    5
    Goal difference
    9
    Scored
    11
    16
    Conceded
    16
    2.5
    Match goals average
    2.7
    0.9
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.1
    1.6
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.6
    4
    Both teams scored
    7
    100'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    82'
    View all stats