Hoffenheim vs Mainz Prediction 12 April 2025
🔊 Whose season goals hold more weight? In Matchday 29, Mainz will head to the PreZero Arena to face Hoffenheim and demonstrate just how eager they are to secure a spot in the Champions League. Meanwhile, the hosts in Sinsheim have yet to guarantee their safety from relegation to the 2. Bundesliga. Hoffenheim are clearly struggling both on the pitch and in the dressing room.
Head-to-Head
📊 Statistical preview of the official encounters between Hoffenheim and Mainz:
- 31 matches played;
- home wins - 8, away wins - 15, draws - 8;
- goals scored - 41 by Hoffenheim, 55 by Mainz;
- average goals in the first half - 1.26, in the second half - 1.84;
- average total goals per match - 3.1.
The last game took place on 01 December 2024 at Mainz's ground and ended with a 2-0 scoreline.
Head-to-head statistics Hoffenheim - Mainz
Hoffenheim Team Overview
🔵 Hoffenheim currently sit 14th in the standings, five points clear of the relegation playoff zone. While the cushion seems comfortable, it could quickly change after the next round of fixtures. Hoffe haven't secured a home win since November 23, when they edged Leipzig 4-3. The team has been plagued by inconsistency throughout the season, with frequent reports of internal issues affecting their performance. In this Bundesliga campaign, the "Blue and Whites" have yet to string together back-to-back victories.
📌 Central midfielder Tom Bischof delivered a strong performance against Leipzig (1-3), scoring a goal and earning a spot in the team of the week, despite Hoffenheim's overall poor showing.
❌ Center-back Estigor is suspended following a straight red card. The team has also been hit by injuries, with forward Bebou, center-back Kabak, central midfielder Promel, defensive midfielder Samassekou, and left-back Lenz all sidelined. Additionally, 19-year-old forward Moerstedt and central midfielder Prass are also out injured.
Match Results: Hoffenheim
Mainz Team Overview
🔴 Mainz are eager to make history by qualifying for the Champions League for the first time, but they've stumbled in their last three matches. Now, their lead over 5th-place Leipzig is down to just one point. Besides Leipzig, they face competition from Gladbach, Freiburg, and a bit further back, Dortmund. A win in the upcoming game is crucial for Mainz, not only to boost their confidence but also to get back on track. In the previous round, the '05ers couldn't manage a home victory against Bundesliga's bottom club, Holstein Kiel (1-1).
📉 Mainz's attacking leader, Jonathan Burkardt (15 goals, 2 assists), has struggled in his last two matches. Against Kiel, it was 20-year-old substitute striker Nelson Weiper who stepped up, scoring his third goal of the season.
❌ Central midfielder Nadiem Amiri (6 goals, 6 assists in the Bundesliga) will miss the game due to an accumulation of yellow cards. Additionally, central defender Stefan Bell is unlikely to recover in time for the match.
Match Results: Mainz
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 31;
- home team wins - 8, away team wins - 15, draws - 8.
Statistics: Hoffenheim vs Mainz
- number of matches played in the tournament: 28 vs 28;
- number of wins: 6 vs 13;
- win percentage: 21% vs 46%;
- number of losses: 13 vs 8;
- number of draws: 9 vs 7.
Last 10 matches:
- number of wins: 3 vs 5;
- number of losses: 4 vs 2;
- number of draws: 3 vs 3.
- Hoffenheim have not won in 8 of last 9 games against Mainz (Bundesliga).
- Hoffenheim have not won in their last 10 home games.
- Hoffenheim have not won in their last 8 home games (Bundesliga).
- Mainz have not lost in 7 of last 8 games (Bundesliga).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.32, the guests - 1.77;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.1;
- both teams scored: overall - 19; at the home team's field - 10.
Statistics: Hoffenheim vs Mainz
- average total in the tournament: 3.07 vs 2.79;
- average total goals scored: 1.21 vs 1.64;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.54 vs 0.82;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.68 vs 0.82;
- Hoffenheim: average total at home in the tournament - 1.5;
- Mainz: average total away in the tournament - 1.93;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.3 (home - 0.75) vs 1.5 (away - 1.6).
- Hoffenheim have scored under 1.5 goals in 10 of last 11 games against Mainz (Bundesliga).
- Hoffenheim have scored under 1.5 goals in 7 of last 8 home games (Bundesliga).
- Hoffenheim have scored under 1.5 goals in their last 6 games (Bundesliga).
Prediction on corners
Hoffenheim: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.68; at home field - 5.43;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4; at home field - 5.
Mainz: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.46, away - 3.43;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.1; away - 4.
- Mainz have taken over 4.5 corners in their last 10 games against Hoffenheim (Bundesliga).
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 3.94 (1.97 for home team and 1.97 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 3.07 (1.6 for home team and 1.47 for away team).
Hoffenheim: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.75; at home - 1.36;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2; at home - 1.25.
Mainz: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2, away - 1.64;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.3; away - 1.6.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 31;
- both teams scored all-time - 19 times;
- on the home team’s field - 10 times.
Statistics: Hoffenheim vs Mainz
- number of matches played in the tournament: 28 vs 28;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 19 vs 15;
- number of BTTS matches for Hoffenheim at home - 11 (79%);
- number of BTTS matches for Mainz away - 8 (57%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 7 vs 5;
- BTTS matches for Hoffenheim at home - 3 (75%);
- BTTS matches for Mainz away - 3 (60%).
- Hoffenheim have scored and conceded in 7 of last 8 home games against Mainz (Bundesliga).
- Mainz have scored and conceded in their last 5 games (Bundesliga).
Editorial Prediction
Given the current form and playing styles of both teams, we anticipate an eventful match with plenty of chances on both ends of the pitch. The main point of interest is the potential for both teams to score-Hoffenheim often concedes at home but rarely leaves the field without finding the net themselves. Considering these trends, betting on both teams to score (yes) seems the most optimal choice, as this outcome has occurred in Mainz's last five Bundesliga matches.No comments
Betting Tips: Hoffenheim - Mainz
in 8 of last 9 games against Mainz (Bundesliga).in last 10 home games.in last 8 home games (Bundesliga).in 7 of last 8 games (Bundesliga).
in 16 of last 17 games against Mainz (Bundesliga).in last 8 home games against Mainz (Bundesliga).in last 20 home games (Bundesliga).in 17 of last 18 games (Bundesliga).in 16 of last 17 games.in 14 of last 15 home games.in last 7 games (Bundesliga).in last 10 Hoffenheim home games against Mainz (Bundesliga).in 8 of last 9 Hoffenheim games against Mainz (Bundesliga).in 19 of last 20 Hoffenheim home games (Bundesliga).in 12 of last 14 Hoffenheim games.in last 6 Hoffenheim home games.in last 7 Mainz games (Bundesliga).
in 8 of last 9 Sven Jablonski games (in the Bundesliga).in 12 of last 14 home games (Bundesliga).in 5 of last 6 home games.in last 7 games (Bundesliga).in last 4 away games (Bundesliga).
Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
