Hoffenheim vs Mainz Prediction

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The main thing

    🔊 At the PreZero Arena in Sinsheim, Hoffenheim will face Mainz in the 28th round of the Bundesliga. The hosts are having a strong season and continue their push for European competition spots, while the visitors have settled into mid-table and aim to stay clear of the relegation zone. Christian Ilzer's side has shown a dip in form recently, whereas Urs Fischer's team is on the rise, making this encounter potentially dynamic and full of action.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Danny da Costa leveled the score in the dying minutes of the 11th round match, earning a crucial point for a struggling Mainz side under Bo Henriksen against Hoffenheim (1-1). To date, the visitors have won 15 out of 33 Bundesliga encounters against Hoffenheim, netting 59 goals. However, Mainz have not secured a victory in this fixture since December 2024.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    26%
    9 Wins
    26%
    9 Draws
    47%
    16 Wins
    Total games
    34
    Total Goals Avg
    3.03
    Both teams scored
    62%
    1.32
    Total average
    1.71
    2.09
    Yellow cards
    1.59
    Last matches
    04.04.26
    Bundesliga
    Hoffenheim
    Hoffenheim
    Mainz
    Mainz
    1.12
    1.13
    7
    3
    12
    11
    4
    1
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1.12
    1.13
    7
    3
    12
    11
    4
    1
    21.11.25
    Bundesliga
    Mainz
    Mainz
    1
    Hoffenheim
    Hoffenheim
    2.89
    1.54
    7
    4
    13
    13
    3
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    2.89
    1.54
    7
    4
    13
    13
    3
    2
    12.04.25
    Bundesliga
    Hoffenheim
    Hoffenheim
    Mainz
    Mainz
    1
    1.7
    1.13
    4
    7
    18
    11
    4
    1
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    1.7
    1.13
    4
    7
    18
    11
    4
    1
    01.12.24
    Bundesliga
    Mainz
    Mainz
    Hoffenheim
    Hoffenheim
    2.64
    0.57
    8
    3
    13
    13
    1
    3
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2.64
    0.57
    8
    3
    13
    13
    1
    3
    13.04.24
    Bundesliga
    Mainz
    Mainz
    Hoffenheim
    Hoffenheim
    -
    -
    9
    3
    13
    13
    0
    2
    4
    1
    0
    1
    4
    0
    -
    -
    9
    3
    13
    13
    0
    2
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    Hoffenheim Team Overview

    🔵 Hoffenheim suffered a rare heavy defeat against Leipzig (0-5), who are also vying for a Champions League spot. Following this, Ilzer's side dropped to fifth place, ceding their top-four position to the "Red Bulls." Both Leipzig and Hoffe have 50 points, but Leipzig boasts a better goal difference. With seven rounds remaining in the season, the club from Sinsheim still holds strong prospects for making it to the Champions League for the first time since the 2018/19 season. Hoffe are four points ahead of sixth-placed Bayer Leverkusen, so they cannot afford to let their guard down.

    ⚪ In their last five Bundesliga matches, Hoffenheim only managed to beat the underdog Heidenheim (4-2), and they need three points this coming Saturday to maintain confidence and avoid a mental slump in their quest for a top-four finish. At home, Hoffenheim play on the front foot, actively utilizing the wings and creating numerous chances. On average, they score around two goals per game, making them one of the most prolific teams in the league.

    Match Results: Hoffenheim

    Last matches
    16.05.26
    Bundesliga
    Borussia M'gladbach
    Borussia M'gladbach
    Hoffenheim
    Hoffenheim
    1
    2.28
    2.86
    2
    9
    8
    12
    4
    4
    4
    0
    2
    0
    2
    0
    2.28
    2.86
    2
    9
    8
    12
    4
    4
    L
    09.05.26
    Bundesliga
    Hoffenheim
    Hoffenheim
    Werder Bremen
    Werder Bremen
    1
    1.52
    0.95
    9
    3
    4
    3
    1
    2
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1.52
    0.95
    9
    3
    4
    3
    1
    2
    W
    02.05.26
    Bundesliga
    Hoffenheim
    Hoffenheim
    Stuttgart
    Stuttgart
    1
    2.31
    1.92
    4
    5
    6
    7
    3
    1
    3
    3
    2
    1
    1
    2
    2.31
    1.92
    4
    5
    6
    7
    3
    1
    D
    25.04.26
    Bundesliga
    Hamburger
    Hamburger
    Hoffenheim
    Hoffenheim
    1.66
    1.55
    4
    9
    11
    18
    2
    4
    1
    2
    1
    2
    0
    0
    1.66
    1.55
    4
    9
    11
    18
    2
    4
    W
    18.04.26
    Bundesliga
    Hoffenheim
    Hoffenheim
    Borussia Dortmund
    Borussia Dortmund
    2.27
    0.94
    4
    3
    14
    11
    2
    3
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    2.27
    0.94
    4
    3
    14
    11
    2
    3
    W
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    Mainz Team Overview

    🔴 Mainz continue to impress under the guidance of Urs Fischer, extending their unbeaten streak to seven matches. In the last round, Paul Nebel bagged a brace, with his second goal in the dying minutes securing a 2-1 victory over Eintracht Frankfurt-one of the contenders for European competition and a regional rival. This win marked their third consecutive victory, following four draws. Since December 5, only Bayern Munich, Borussia Dortmund, VfB Stuttgart, and Hoffenheim have collected more points than Urs Fischer's side, who have lost just two of their last 14 league matches.

    ⚪ The season seemed challenging at first, but for Mainz-who are set to play in the Conference League quarterfinals next Thursday-it could turn out to be truly successful. However, they tend to be less assertive away from home, often ceding control to their opponents. Against attacking teams, this can lead to conceding numerous chances.

    Match Results: Mainz

    Last matches
    16.05.26
    Bundesliga
    Heidenheim
    Heidenheim
    Mainz
    Mainz
    0.97
    2.22
    6
    3
    8
    12
    1
    1
    0
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0.97
    2.22
    6
    3
    8
    12
    1
    1
    W
    10.05.26
    Bundesliga
    Mainz
    Mainz
    Union
    Union
    1.47
    2.98
    7
    8
    11
    10
    2
    1
    1
    3
    0
    1
    1
    2
    1.47
    2.98
    7
    8
    11
    10
    2
    1
    L
    03.05.26
    Bundesliga
    St. Pauli
    St. Pauli
    Mainz
    Mainz
    0.89
    2.28
    7
    7
    10
    8
    3
    1
    1
    2
    0
    2
    1
    0
    0.89
    2.28
    7
    7
    10
    8
    3
    1
    W
    25.04.26
    Bundesliga
    Mainz
    Mainz
    Bayern Munich
    Bayern Munich
    2.57
    2.01
    5
    4
    14
    10
    1
    2
    3
    4
    3
    0
    0
    4
    2.57
    2.01
    5
    4
    14
    10
    1
    2
    L
    19.04.26
    Bundesliga
    Borussia M'gladbach
    Borussia M'gladbach
    Mainz
    Mainz
    0.73
    2.32
    0
    6
    12
    8
    5
    2
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    0.73
    2.32
    0
    6
    12
    8
    5
    2
    D
    Empty
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    Latest news

    Hoffenheim

    🎙️ Christian Ilzer ahead of the match: "We don't want to adapt to our opponent - our goal is to impose our style of play. For that, we'll need maximum focus and intensity from the first to the last minute."

    ❌ Valantin Jander, Koki Machida, and Adam Hložek have been out of Hoffenheim's lineup for a while due to injuries.

    Mainz

    🎙️ Urs Fischer on the match: "We need to ensure we handle a very well-organized Hoffenheim team. We can't be slower than them. At the same time, we need to play football. We're not going to sit back in defense - we want to be bold and give it our all."

    ❌ Anthony Caci, Maxim Leitsch, Andreas Hanche-Olsen, Benedict Hollerbach, Silas, and Robin Zentner remain unavailable. Nadim Amiri and Stefan Bell might make the matchday squad.

    🟨 Yellow Card Prediction

    Harm Osmers has been appointed as the referee for the match at the PreZero Arena. In his previous game, he handed out four yellow cards. Although the upcoming clash isn't particularly high-stakes, 6 of the last 7 head-to-head encounters have seen a total of over 3.5 yellow cards. In this scenario, it makes sense to rely on the statistics and consider this option.

    ⚽ Goal Prediction

    Hoffenheim consistently creates numerous chances and scores frequently, but they are not known for their defensive solidity. Mainz, on the other hand, can exploit the spaces and respond with their own attacks. Given the current form of both teams and their stats, it's reasonable to consider the option of both teams to score (yes).

    🚩 Corner Prediction

    Hoffenheim will likely take the initiative at home and actively use the wings, which could lead to a high number of corners. Mainz, playing on the counterattack, can also earn set-pieces, but probably in fewer numbers compared to the hosts. Under these conditions, it's worth considering Mainz's individual total under 5.5 corners. This scenario has occurred in 11 consecutive away matches for the 'Nullfünfer'.

    Editorial Prediction

    Despite recent setbacks, Hoffenheim seem more favorable due to their superior attacking prowess and home-field advantage. The team is in the hunt for European qualification and needs to secure maximum points in matches like this one. Mainz can offer resistance, but they tend to be less consistent on the road, and the absence of several key players could be a factor. Our editorial's main pick is a Hoffenheim victory. The likely scoreline is 2-1.

    Our choice
    Hoffenheim Win at odds of -147*
    MyBookie
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (3 April 2026, 11:44)

    Betting Tips: Hoffenheim - Mainz

    Hoffenheim have not lost
    1899-hoffenheim-1in 9 of last 10 home games (Bundesliga).
    Hoffenheim will not lose
    MyBookie
    -222
    Mainz have not lost
    1-fsv-mainz-05-in 8 of last 9 games (Bundesliga).
    1-fsv-mainz-05-in last 7 games.
    Mainz will not lose
    Everygame
    +116
    Hoffenheim have scored
    1899-hoffenheim-11-fsv-mainz-05-in 10 of last 11 home games against Mainz (Bundesliga).
    1899-hoffenheim-1in 9 of last 10 home games (Bundesliga).
    Mainz have conceded
    1-fsv-mainz-05-in 18 of last 19 away games (Bundesliga).
    Hoffenheim will score goal
    Everygame
    -833
    Hoffenheim have scored under 2.5 goals
    1899-hoffenheim-11-fsv-mainz-05-in 14 of last 15 games against Mainz (Bundesliga).
    1899-hoffenheim-11-fsv-mainz-05-in 6 of last 7 home games against Mainz (Bundesliga).
    Hoffenheim Total goals Under (2.5)
    Everygame
    -278
    View more facts

    Hoffenheim - Mainz Table position

    Bundesliga 25/26
    gWDLGDPForm
    4.
    Stuttgart
    Stuttgart
    34188871-4962
    5.
    Hoffenheim
    Hoffenheim
    34187965-5261
    6.
    Bayer Leverkusen
    Bayer Leverkusen
    34178968-4759
    9.
    Augsburg
    Augsburg
    341271545-6143
    10.
    Mainz
    Mainz
    3410101444-5340
    11.
    Union
    Union
    341091544-5839

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    4 - Wins
    3 - Draws
    3 - Loses
    Wins - 5
    Draw - 1
    Loses - 4
    10 matches
    Scored - 16
    Conceded - 21
    -5
    -1
    15 - Scored
    16 - Conceded
    4
    Wins
    5
    3
    Draws
    1
    3
    Loses
    4
    Goal difference
    16
    Scored
    15
    21
    Conceded
    16
    3.7
    Match goals average
    3.1
    1.6
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.5
    2.1
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.6
    7
    Both teams scored
    6
    56'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    60'
    View all stats