Toulouse vs Lille Prediction 12 April 2025
🔊 Toulouse and Lille are set for an exciting clash in Ligue 1. While Toulouse aren't in contention for anything major, Lille are looking to solidify their position among the frontrunners and break into the Champions League spots. The match promises to be action-packed: the hosts are aggressive in attack but have vulnerabilities in defense, whereas the "Les Dogues", despite being the favorites, often face challenges on the road.
Head-to-Head
📊 Statistical preview of the official encounters between Toulouse and Lille:
- 33 matches played;
- home wins - 8, away wins - 16, draws - 9;
- goals scored - 39 for Toulouse, 53 for Lille;
- average goals in the first half - 1, in the second half - 1.79;
- average total goals per match - 2.79.
The last game took place on 05 October 2024 at Lille's ground, ending with a 2-1 scoreline.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

Toulouse Team Overview
🟣 The "Violets" currently sit in 11th place, and it seems their season is winding down in terms of motivation. They're not in the running for top positions, and with an 8-point cushion from the relegation zone, Toulouse can afford to relax and enjoy their football, which is exactly what they've been doing. In their last six matches, they've netted 14 goals but only managed to secure 2 wins, conceding 11 goals in the process.
📈 Forward Frank Magri has found the back of the net in five consecutive matches. Prior to this streak, he hadn't scored in Ligue 1 this season, enduring a 20-match goal drought.
❌ The match will see the absence of long-term injured players: right winger Zakaria Aboukhlal, center-back Rasmus Nicolaisen, and central midfielder Niklas Schmidt.
Match Results: Toulouse

Lille Team Overview
🔴 The "Dogs" currently sit seventh in Ligue 1 but are clearly aiming for a top-four finish. Their primary goal for the remainder of the season is securing a Champions League spot. They are just 2 points away, but the competition is fierce, with six teams vying for three spots. Bruno Génésio's team has a favorable schedule for such an ambition, with only one match against a top-tier side-Marseille at home.
🔗 Defender Bafodé Diakité has missed just one game this Ligue 1 season. In that match, Lille suffered a home defeat to the underdogs-Le Havre (1-2).
❌ Key players will be missing due to suspension: first-choice goalkeeper Lucas Chevalier and central defender Bafodé Diakité. Midfielder Ethan Mbappé is unavailable due to illness. Long-term injuries include right winger Edon Zhegrova, central defender Samuel Umtiti, and right-back Tiago Santos.
Match Results: Lille
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 33;
- home team wins - 8, away team wins - 16, draws - 9.
Statistics: Toulouse vs Lille
- number of matches played in the tournament: 28 vs 28;
- number of wins: 9 vs 13;
- win percentage: 32% vs 46%;
- number of losses: 12 vs 7;
- number of draws: 7 vs 8.
Last 10 matches:
- number of wins: 2 vs 4;
- number of losses: 5 vs 5;
- number of draws: 3 vs 1.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.18, the guests - 1.61;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.79;
- both teams scored: overall - 19; at the home team's field - 10.
Statistics: Toulouse vs Lille
- average total in the tournament: 2.61 vs 2.57;
- average total goals scored: 1.32 vs 1.5;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.46 vs 0.68;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.86 vs 0.82;
- Toulouse: average total at home in the tournament - 1.14;
- Lille: average total away in the tournament - 1.21;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.7 (home - 0.8) vs 1.1 (away - 1).
- Toulouse have scored in 12 of last 13 home games (Ligue 1).
- Toulouse have scored in 9 of last 10 games (Ligue 1).
Prediction on corners
Toulouse: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.68; at home field - 5.5;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.8; at home field - 5.4.
Lille: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.89, away - 5.07;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.6; away - 4.
- Lille have taken over 3.5 corners in their last 7 games against Toulouse (Ligue 1).
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 4.3 (2.15 for home team and 2.15 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 3.26 (1.88 for home team and 1.38 for away team).
Toulouse: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.57; at home - 1.36;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.8; at home - 1.4.
Lille: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.14, away - 2.64;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.4; away - 1.4.
- Over 3.5 yellow cards in last 5 Lille games.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 33;
- both teams scored all-time - 19 times;
- on the home team’s field - 10 times.
Statistics: Toulouse vs Lille
- number of matches played in the tournament: 28 vs 28;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 15 vs 16;
- number of BTTS matches for Toulouse at home - 9 (64%);
- number of BTTS matches for Lille away - 6 (43%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 7 vs 6;
- BTTS matches for Toulouse at home - 3 (60%);
- BTTS matches for Lille away - 3 (60%).
- Toulouse have scored and conceded in 6 of last 7 home games (Ligue 1).
Editor's Prediction
Considering the current form of both teams, we can anticipate an exciting clash with plenty of scoring opportunities. It's likely that both sides will find the back of the net, supported by their head-to-head statistics and current trends: Toulouse consistently score at home, while Lille tend to concede on the road. Based on these observations, a bet on both teams to score (yes) is advisable. This outcome has occurred in six of Toulouse's last seven home matches in Ligue 1.