Holstein Kiel vs St Pauli Prediction 12 April 2025
🔊 Will Holstein Kiel seize one of their last chances to cling onto their Bundesliga status? St. Pauli, a direct rival in the battle for survival, are set to visit Kiel. Yes, there is an 8-point gap favoring the visitors. However, as the season draws to a close, a series of matchups among the league's strugglers is on the horizon. The situation at the bottom of the table could shift dramatically. Perhaps the turning point will begin in Kiel.
Head-to-Head
📊 Statistical preview of the official encounters between Holstein Kiel and St. Pauli:
- 23 matches played;
- home wins - 7, away wins - 12, draws - 4;
- goals scored - 34 for Holstein Kiel, 44 for St. Pauli;
- average goals in the first half - 1.48, in the second half - 1.91;
- average total goals per match - 3.39.
The last game took place on 29 November 2024 at St. Pauli's ground and ended with a score of 3-1.
Head-to-head statistics Holstein Kiel - St Pauli
Holstein Kiel Team Overview
🔵 Holstein Kiel are the club with the lowest overall transfer value in the Bundesliga. It seems fitting that they find themselves near the bottom of the table, just four points clear of the relegation playoff zone. However, Marcel Rapp's side occasionally bites back against top-tier opponents. They held Bayer Leverkusen to a 2-2 draw away, matched Stuttgart with the same scoreline at home, defeated Dortmund 4-2, scored three goals against Bayern Munich in a narrow 4-3 loss, and in their latest outing, put up a fight against a solid Mainz side, drawing 1-1. This is a team with character.
📉 Holstein Kiel have not won at home since January 14, when they convincingly defeated Borussia Dortmund 4-2.
❌ David Zez is suspended for the upcoming match. Striker Andu Kelati has been sidelined with a long-term injury. Central defender Ivan Nekic, defensive midfielder Patrick Erras, and center-back Kleine-Bekel might recover in time for the game.
Match Results: Holstein Kiel
St. Pauli Team Overview
🟤 St. Pauli are feeling more comfortable than the three teams below them in the standings. However, it's too early to relax. The team's mindset is spot on. Their recent match against Gladbach turned into a one-sided affair, with Borussia being on the receiving end. The stats tell the story: 26 shots to 5, 11 corners to 2 - all in favor of St. Pauli. The Bundesliga's sixth-placed team barely escaped with a draw (1-1).
🔗 In the last four matches, St. Pauli forward Johannes Eggestein hasn't been favored by the coach, seeing very limited playing time. Yet he was the standout player in the first-round match against Kiel, scoring a goal and providing two assists.
❌ James Sands (defensive midfielder) and Karol Mets (center-back) have been sidelined with long-term injuries. Additionally, center-back Siebe Van der Heyden will miss the game due to injury. On a positive note, right winger Morgan Guilavogui, the team's attacking leader, returned to the field last match.
Match Results: St. Pauli
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 23;
- home team wins - 7, away team wins - 12, draws - 4.
Statistics: Holstein Kiel vs St. Pauli
- number of matches played in the tournament: 28 vs 28;
- number of wins: 4 vs 7;
- win percentage: 14% vs 25%;
- number of losses: 18 vs 16;
- number of draws: 6 vs 5.
Last 10 matches:
- number of wins: 1 vs 2;
- number of losses: 5 vs 5;
- number of draws: 4 vs 3.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.48, the guests - 1.91;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.39;
- both teams scored: overall - 14; at the home team's field - 6.
Statistics: Holstein Kiel vs St. Pauli
- average total in the tournament: 3.82 vs 2.04;
- average total goals scored: 1.39 vs 0.82;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.61 vs 0.36;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.79 vs 0.46;
- Holstein Kiel: average total at home in the tournament - 1.29;
- St. Pauli: average total away in the tournament - 1;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.3 (home - 1.2) vs 0.9 (away - 0.75).
- Holstein Kiel have scored in 8 of last 9 home games against St. Pauli.
- St. Pauli have conceded in 8 of last 9 games (Bundesliga).
Prediction on corners
- St. Pauli have taken under 5.5 corners in their last 5 games against Holstein Kiel.
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 2.86 (1.43 for home team and 1.43 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 2.63 (1.36 for home team and 1.27 for away team).
Holstein Kiel: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.04; at home - 1.93;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.9; at home - 2.2.
St. Pauli: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.14, away - 1.36;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 0.8; away - 1.25.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 23;
- both teams scored all-time - 14 times;
- on the home team’s field - 6 times.
Statistics: Holstein Kiel vs St. Pauli
- number of matches played in the tournament: 28 vs 28;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 20 vs 8;
- number of BTTS matches for Holstein Kiel at home - 7 (50%);
- number of BTTS matches for St. Pauli away - 5 (36%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 7 vs 4;
- BTTS matches for Holstein Kiel at home - 3 (60%);
- BTTS matches for St. Pauli away - 2 (50%).
Editor's Prediction
Considering both clubs' poor form and the Pirates' lack of scoring throughout the season, a cautious game with minimal goals from the visitors is expected. The most suitable bet here would be St. Pauli's individual total under 1.5 goals. This outcome has been recorded in 8 of their last 9 Bundesliga matches.No comments
Betting Tips: Holstein Kiel - St. Pauli
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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