Atletico Nacional vs Once Caldas Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 14 November 2026
📢 Atletico Nacional end the regular stage of the Clausura top of the table, having already secured first place. The hosts are producing excellent results, winning regularly and performing particularly well at home. Once Caldas are eighth and also in good form, rarely losing. However, the visitors face a more precarious situation, as they need to retain their place in the play-off spots. Both teams have also been fairly solid defensively, adding intrigue to the upcoming meeting.
Head-to-Head
Once Caldas and Atletico Nacional drew 1-1 in the Colombian Cup on 11 November 2026. The hosts led at half-time but could not hold on: with possession evenly split, the visitors had 15 shots to the hosts’ 8, although they had fewer shots on target - 4 to 6.
Atlético Nacional have won 25 of their 46 competitive meetings with Once Caldas, losing 11. The difference is particularly noticeable at Atlético Nacional’s ground: the hosts have won 13 of 21 matches, while Once Caldas have failed to score in 14 of them.
Head-to-head statistics Atletico Nacional - Once Caldas

The leader keeps winning
Atletico Nacional came from 0-1 down at half-time to draw 1-1 in their most recent match, away to Once Caldas in the Colombian Cup on 11 November 2026. The visitors had almost twice as many shots, 15 to 8, but managed only four shots on target compared with their opponents’ six.
Atletico Nacional have enjoyed a strong Clausura campaign and head into the final round top of the table with 39 points. They have won three and drawn two of their last five matches, while over their last ten they have recorded six wins and one defeat. They average 2 goals scored and 1 conceded per game, indicating a potent attack and a fairly reliable defence. Atletico Nacional have been particularly strong at home, scoring at least two goals in each of their last five matches there.
Match Results: Atletico Nacional

Solid defence
Once Caldas last played at home against Atletico Nacional in the Colombian Cup on 11 November 2026, drawing 1:1. They led at half-time and had more shots on target - 6 to 4 - although the visitors had almost twice as many shots overall: 15 to 8.
Once Caldas go into the final round of the Clausura in eighth place with 27 points and remain motivated to stay in the play-off places. The team are also in excellent form: they have won three and drawn two of their last five matches, without suffering a defeat. Over their last ten matches, the visitors have five wins, four draws and just one defeat, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game. Notably, all nine of Once Caldas’s most recent matches have had under 2.5 goals, highlighting their defensive solidity and cautious style of play.
Match Results: Once Caldas
Match Result Prediction
Atletico Nacional have not lost any of their last 13 home head-to-head meetings with Once Caldas. This season, they have 18 wins, three draws and no defeats at home. However, Once Caldas also rarely lose away from home: they have gone unbeaten in 15 of their last 17 away matches. Given these contrasting records, we are backing Atletico Nacional to Win or Draw rather than to win, at odds of 1.44*.
Safer Bet
Atlético Nacional have scored in 15 of their last 16 home matches. This season, they have averaged 2.48 goals at home, compared with 2.33 in their recent home matches. These figures support a bet on Atlético Nacional Team Total Goals - Over 0.5 at odds of 1.22*.
*Odds are indicative and may vary between bookmakers.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm’s calculations, the top three scorelines are 1:0 (11.93%), 1:1 (11.69%) and 0:1 (11.15%). The most likely result is 1:0.
⭐ Editor’s Prediction
Atlético Nacional are slight favourites for this match, but Once Caldas are capable of putting up strong resistance. The visitors are in good form and have been particularly solid defensively, as their recent results show. Nine consecutive matches involving them have finished with under 2.5 goals. Atlético Nacional have a strong attack, especially at home, but have already secured first place and have no need to take risks. The editor’s main prediction is Total Goals - Under 3.5.