Atletico Nacional vs Once Caldas Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 14 November 2026

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Key points

    📢 Atletico Nacional end the regular stage of the Clausura top of the table, having already secured first place. The hosts are producing excellent results, winning regularly and performing particularly well at home. Once Caldas are eighth and also in good form, rarely losing. However, the visitors face a more precarious situation, as they need to retain their place in the play-off spots. Both teams have also been fairly solid defensively, adding intrigue to the upcoming meeting.

    Head-to-Head

    Once Caldas and Atletico Nacional drew 1-1 in the Colombian Cup on 11 November 2026. The hosts led at half-time but could not hold on: with possession evenly split, the visitors had 15 shots to the hosts’ 8, although they had fewer shots on target - 4 to 6.

    Atlético Nacional have won 25 of their 46 competitive meetings with Once Caldas, losing 11. The difference is particularly noticeable at Atlético Nacional’s ground: the hosts have won 13 of 21 matches, while Once Caldas have failed to score in 14 of them.

    Head-to-head statistics Atletico Nacional - Once Caldas

    54%
    25 Wins
    22%
    10 Draws
    24%
    11 Wins
    Total games
    46
    Avg. total goals
    2.17
    Both teams scored
    41%
    1.3
    Average total
    0.87
    Last matches
    11.11.26
    Cup
    Once Caldas
    Once Caldas
    1
    Atletico Nacional
    Atletico Nacional
    1
    -
    -
    1
    4
    8
    7
    1
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    1
    4
    8
    7
    1
    1
    01.05.26
    Liga Aguila
    Once Caldas
    Once Caldas
    Atletico Nacional
    Atletico Nacional
    1.43
    1.47
    9
    4
    8
    8
    3
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    1.43
    1.47
    9
    4
    8
    8
    3
    2
    22.10.25
    Cup
    Atletico Nacional
    Atletico Nacional
    1
    Once Caldas
    Once Caldas
    -
    -
    4
    5
    16
    10
    1
    1
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    4
    5
    16
    10
    1
    1
    10.10.25
    Cup
    Once Caldas
    Once Caldas
    Atletico Nacional
    Atletico Nacional
    -
    -
    6
    1
    7
    5
    4
    4
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    6
    1
    7
    5
    4
    4
    12.07.25
    Liga Aguila
    Once Caldas
    Once Caldas
    Atletico Nacional
    Atletico Nacional
    1.13
    1.3
    2
    7
    10
    9
    6
    2
    1
    3
    0
    1
    1
    2
    1.13
    1.3
    2
    7
    10
    9
    6
    2
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    The leader keeps winning

    Atletico Nacional came from 0-1 down at half-time to draw 1-1 in their most recent match, away to Once Caldas in the Colombian Cup on 11 November 2026. The visitors had almost twice as many shots, 15 to 8, but managed only four shots on target compared with their opponents’ six.

    Atletico Nacional have enjoyed a strong Clausura campaign and head into the final round top of the table with 39 points. They have won three and drawn two of their last five matches, while over their last ten they have recorded six wins and one defeat. They average 2 goals scored and 1 conceded per game, indicating a potent attack and a fairly reliable defence. Atletico Nacional have been particularly strong at home, scoring at least two goals in each of their last five matches there.

    Match Results: Atletico Nacional

    Last matches
    11.11.26
    Cup
    Once Caldas
    Once Caldas
    1
    Atletico Nacional
    Atletico Nacional
    1
    -
    -
    1
    4
    8
    7
    1
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    1
    4
    8
    7
    1
    1
    D
    07.11.26
    Liga Aguila
    Atletico Nacional
    Atletico Nacional
    Deportivo Pereira
    Deportivo Pereira
    -
    -
    9
    1
    11
    12
    4
    4
    4
    3
    2
    1
    2
    2
    -
    -
    9
    1
    11
    12
    4
    4
    W
    03.11.26
    Liga Aguila
    Atletico Bucaramanga
    Atletico Bucaramanga
    Atletico Nacional
    Atletico Nacional
    -
    -
    7
    2
    10
    17
    4
    6
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    -
    -
    7
    2
    10
    17
    4
    6
    D
    30.10.26
    Liga Aguila
    Atletico Nacional
    Atletico Nacional
    Independiente Santa Fe
    Independiente Santa Fe
    -
    -
    1
    3
    11
    11
    3
    4
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    1
    3
    11
    11
    3
    4
    W
    25.10.26
    Liga Aguila
    Atletico Nacional
    Atletico Nacional
    Independiente Medellin
    Independiente Medellin
    -
    -
    3
    9
    11
    15
    1
    3
    2
    1
    0
    1
    2
    0
    -
    -
    3
    9
    11
    15
    1
    3
    W
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    Solid defence

    Once Caldas last played at home against Atletico Nacional in the Colombian Cup on 11 November 2026, drawing 1:1. They led at half-time and had more shots on target - 6 to 4 - although the visitors had almost twice as many shots overall: 15 to 8.

    Once Caldas go into the final round of the Clausura in eighth place with 27 points and remain motivated to stay in the play-off places. The team are also in excellent form: they have won three and drawn two of their last five matches, without suffering a defeat. Over their last ten matches, the visitors have five wins, four draws and just one defeat, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game. Notably, all nine of Once Caldas’s most recent matches have had under 2.5 goals, highlighting their defensive solidity and cautious style of play.

    Match Results: Once Caldas

    Last matches
    11.11.26
    Cup
    Once Caldas
    Once Caldas
    1
    Atletico Nacional
    Atletico Nacional
    1
    -
    -
    1
    4
    8
    7
    1
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    1
    4
    8
    7
    1
    1
    D
    07.11.26
    Liga Aguila
    Once Caldas
    Once Caldas
    Rionegro Aguilas
    Rionegro Aguilas
    -
    -
    8
    6
    11
    16
    3
    4
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    8
    6
    11
    16
    3
    4
    W
    02.11.26
    Cup
    Independiente Santa Fe
    Independiente Santa Fe
    Once Caldas
    Once Caldas
    -
    -
    9
    6
    7
    6
    1
    2
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    -
    -
    9
    6
    7
    6
    1
    2
    W
    28.10.26
    Liga Aguila
    Once Caldas
    Once Caldas
    Alianza Valledupar
    Alianza Valledupar
    -
    -
    8
    1
    7
    13
    2
    3
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    8
    1
    7
    13
    2
    3
    W
    25.10.26
    Liga Aguila
    Once Caldas
    Once Caldas
    1
    Deportivo Pereira
    Deportivo Pereira
    1
    -
    -
    12
    0
    6
    6
    4
    3
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    12
    0
    6
    6
    4
    3
    D
    Empty
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    Match Result Prediction

    Atletico Nacional have not lost any of their last 13 home head-to-head meetings with Once Caldas. This season, they have 18 wins, three draws and no defeats at home. However, Once Caldas also rarely lose away from home: they have gone unbeaten in 15 of their last 17 away matches. Given these contrasting records, we are backing Atletico Nacional to Win or Draw rather than to win, at odds of 1.44*.

    Safer Bet

    Atlético Nacional have scored in 15 of their last 16 home matches. This season, they have averaged 2.48 goals at home, compared with 2.33 in their recent home matches. These figures support a bet on Atlético Nacional Team Total Goals - Over 0.5 at odds of 1.22*.

    *Odds are indicative and may vary between bookmakers.

    Correct Score Prediction

    According to the algorithm’s calculations, the top three scorelines are 1:0 (11.93%), 1:1 (11.69%) and 0:1 (11.15%). The most likely result is 1:0.

    ⭐ Editor’s Prediction

    Atlético Nacional are slight favourites for this match, but Once Caldas are capable of putting up strong resistance. The visitors are in good form and have been particularly solid defensively, as their recent results show. Nine consecutive matches involving them have finished with under 2.5 goals. Atlético Nacional have a strong attack, especially at home, but have already secured first place and have no need to take risks. The editor’s main prediction is Total Goals - Under 3.5.

    Total goals Under (3,5)
    Thunderpick
    Place a bet-263
    Published: 12/11/2026, 17:08
    Insaf Gataulin
    Insaf Gataulin
    Football expert
    61
    2
    42
    105 predictions
    Statistics for November 2026

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    Betting Tips: Atletico Nacional - Once Caldas

    Atletico Nacional have won:
    atletico-nacional-medellinin 12 of last 14 home games (Liga Aguila).
    atletico-nacional-medellinin last 5 home games.
    Atletico Nacional to Win
    Thunderpick
    +121
    Once Caldas have not lost:
    cd-once-caldasin 15 of last 17 away games.
    cd-once-caldasin 13 of last 15 away games (Liga Aguila).
    cd-once-caldasin last 9 games.
    cd-once-caldasin last 6 games (Liga Aguila).
    Once Caldas will not lose
    Thunderpick
    -167
    Atletico Nacional have not lost:
    atletico-nacional-medellincd-once-caldasin last 13 home games against Once Caldas.
    atletico-nacional-medellincd-once-caldasin 11 of last 12 home games against Once Caldas (Liga Aguila).
    atletico-nacional-medellincd-once-caldasin 7 of last 8 games against Once Caldas.
    atletico-nacional-medellinin last 21 home games (Liga Aguila).
    atletico-nacional-medellinin last 19 home games.
    atletico-nacional-medellinin 10 of last 11 games.
    atletico-nacional-medellinin 9 of last 10 games (Liga Aguila).
    Atletico Nacional will not lose
    Thunderpick
    -286
    Under 4.5 goals scored:
    atletico-nacional-medellincd-once-caldasin last 30 Atletico Nacional games against Once Caldas.
    atletico-nacional-medellincd-once-caldasin last 21 Atletico Nacional home games against Once Caldas.
    atletico-nacional-medellincd-once-caldasin last 20 Atletico Nacional games against Once Caldas (Liga Aguila).
    atletico-nacional-medellincd-once-caldasin last 12 Atletico Nacional home games against Once Caldas (Liga Aguila).
    atletico-nacional-medellinin 10 of last 11 Atletico Nacional home games (Liga Aguila).
    Total goals Under (4,5)
    Thunderpick
    -714
    View more facts

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    6 - Wins
    3 - Draws
    1 - Loss
    Wins - 5
    Draws - 4
    Loss - 1
    10 matches
    Scored - 20
    Conceded - 10
    +10
    +5
    12 - Scored
    7 - Conceded
    6
    Wins
    5
    3
    Draws
    4
    1
    Loss
    1
    Goal difference
    20
    Scored
    12
    10
    Conceded
    7
    3
    Average total per match
    1.9
    2
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.2
    1
    Goals conceded per match on average
    0.7
    6
    Both teams scored
    5
    45'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    75'
    View all stats
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