Burkina Faso vs Mauritania Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 13 November 2026
🔊 A direct battle for the lead is unfolding in Group F of Africa Cup of Nations qualifying. Burkina Faso are level on points with Benin at the top, but Mauritania are just one point behind. A win would take the visitors to the top of the group. Can the tenacious Mauritanians impose their scrappy style of play on the favourites?
Home advantage is more than just words
📊 Three recent competitive matches ended with the same scoreline, 1-0. Surprisingly, the home side won each time.
Head-to-head statistics Burkina Faso - Mauritania
Burkina Faso's pragmatism
Burkina Faso began their current qualifying campaign unbeaten, drawing with Benin (1-1) and edging past the Central African Republic away from home (1-0). However, in October they suffered a bruising 7-0 defeat in a friendly against world champions Argentina, after which the coaching staff moved to strengthen the squad urgently.
In competitive matches, Burkina Faso are rarely involved in high-scoring contests and favour tight control of possession. One notable statistical trend: no more than two goals were scored in four of Burkina Faso’s last five competitive matches.
Match Results: Burkina Faso
A tricky opponent
In March, the visitors put up a good fight against Argentina (1-2), drew with Angola in the summer (1-1) and beat Niger (1-0), before comfortably seeing off the Central African Republic (3-1) in the first round of qualifying. Their only slip-up came away to Benin in September, and by November the visitors’ coaching staff had strengthened the holding midfield area with the return of several experienced midfielders to the squad.
Mauritania’s main strength is their discipline and their organised work without the ball in the middle third. Notably, fewer than 2.5 goals were scored in 5 of Mauritania’s last 7 matches across all competitions. Away from home, they deliberately slow the tempo and prevent opponents from building momentum.
Match Results: Mauritania
⚽ Goals prediction
Both teams have prioritised defensive solidity and a disciplined positional structure in the current qualifying campaign. The last head-to-head meetings between Burkina Faso and Mauritania have not produced over 2.5 goals, while their last three competitive meetings were each decided by a single goal. With the return fixture coming four days later, neither side will take risks or leave themselves exposed at the back from the opening minutes. Prediction - Total Goals - Under 2.5, odds of 1.52*.
🚩 Corners prediction
Home advantage and the return of key attacking players will force Burkina Faso to take the initiative and actively create chances around the penalty area. Under sustained pressure, Mauritania’s defenders will play it safe and put the ball behind for corners. The large number of chances in front of Mauritania’s goal should translate into a corners advantage for the hosts. Prediction - Burkina Faso - Corners Handicap -1.5.
🟨 Yellow cards prediction
Matches between these national teams have traditionally featured a physical battle for control of midfield. Away from home, Mauritania are forced to contain the hosts’ skilful attacking players through minor tactical fouls in the defensive midfield area. In their previous meeting, the teams received five yellow cards between them, and one player was sent off. Prediction - Total Yellow Cards - Over 3.5.
*Odds are approximate and may vary between bookmakers.
⭐️ Editor's Pick
Two well-organised national teams meet in the upcoming match, having gained a thorough understanding of each other's strengths and weaknesses from recent tournaments. Mauritania are capable of making it a tight contest and denying the hosts space, as their recent low-scoring head-to-head matches clearly show. The hosts should edge out their opponents through superior quality in a cagey match. Our main prediction is a Burkina Faso win. Correct score prediction: 1-0.
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Betting Tips: Burkina Faso - Mauritania
in 15 of last 17 home games.in 10 of last 11 away games.
in 6 of last 7 Burkina Faso home games.in last 6 Mauritania away games (Cup of Nations, Qualification).
in last 6 games.in last 5 games (Cup of Nations, Qualification).in 5 of last 6 home games.Comparison of Teams Stats
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