Senegal vs Sudan Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 12 November 2026
๐ Senegal host Sudan in the third round of Africa Cup of Nations qualifying. The battle for top spot in the group promises a sharp contrast: the Lions of Teranga share first place with Mozambique and hope to build a comfortable lead with home advantage. The visitors are just one point behind and are ready to make life difficult for the favourites with resolute positional play. Will the hosts break down their opponentsโ defence without too much trouble, or will Sudan once again make facing a heavyweight a gruelling test?
The favourite's commanding lead
๐ In their recent head-to-head history, Senegal have never lost to Sudan in normal time. In seven competitive and friendly matches since 2018, Senegal have recorded five wins and two draws, including a recent 3-1 victory and a 2-0 home win in World Cup qualifying.
Head-to-head statistics Senegal - Sudan
A bet on class
Senegal are unbeaten in the current qualifying campaign, having taken four points from their opening two matches. After a 1-1 draw away to Mozambique, they edged past Ethiopia on the road (1-0), then maintained their momentum with a narrow win over the Comoros in an October friendly (1-0). Senegal have not treated their fans to emphatic victories in recent games, but defensive discipline and the ability to get results through their superior quality remain hallmarks of one of the continentโs best teams.
In front of their home fans, the favourites traditionally employ a high press and take complete control of possession, stretching the opposition defence with powerful runs down the flanks. The hosts will look to pin Sudan back in their own half from the opening minutes and give them no time to catch their breath.
Match Results: Senegal
Stubborn defence versus reputation
Sudan go into this away test third in the group with three points. An opening home win over Ethiopia (1-0) was followed by a heavy away defeat to Mozambique (1-4), which exposed their defence's vulnerability against a fast opponent. Nevertheless, Sudan know how to raise their game against the continent's top national teams and turn matches into a grinding tug of war, as their goalless draws with Senegal last year showed.
Away from home, Sudan will deliberately cede the initiative - their plan is built around a defensive block near their own penalty area and occasional counter-attacks. Their main task will be to slow the tempo as much as possible and disrupt the hosts' passing combinations.
Match Results: Sudan
Latest news
Senegal
โ Sunderland's Habib Diarra will not be available for Senegal as he continues to recover from a muscle injury. Como's Assane Diao has been sidelined since October with a thigh injury. Ismaรฏla Sarr will not be available for Senegal due to a groin injury.
๐จ Yellow cards prediction
The individual dribbling of the hostsโ star-studded attack will be a real headache for Sudanโs defenders. When they lack pace and sound positional play, their only recourse is hard tackling on the edge of the rules and constant holding in transition. The referee will have to reach for his pocket regularly to cool the defending sideโs ardour. Prediction - Sudan to receive more yellow cards.
โฝ Goals prediction
Senegal have made a habit of being extremely cautious around their own goal, turning home matches into a nightmare for visiting teams. Sudan are unlikely to find a way past the hostsโ solid defence, especially as the visitors failed to score in two of the last three head-to-head meetings on Senegalโs ground. The hosts will get the job done through their superior quality, but without any unnecessary flair or risk. Prediction - Both Teams to Score - No, odds 1.45*.
๐ฉ Corners prediction
Breaking down a compact defence through the middle is a thankless task, so Senegal will focus on playing wide and repeatedly delivering balls into the six-yard box. Under that pressure, Sudanโs defenders will prefer to keep things as simple as possible and put the ball behind for a corner at the first sign of danger. The statistics also point to plenty of set pieces: at least ten corners were taken in 6 of Senegalโs last 7 Africa Cup of Nations qualifying matches. Prediction - Total Corners - Over 9.5, odds 2.10*.
*Odds are approximate and may vary between bookmakers.
โญ๏ธ Editor's Pick
Fans can expect a classic test of patience as the hosts look to break down a deep defence. Sudan will arrive with one aim: to put up a compact barrier around the penalty area and draw the favourites into a scrappy contest. However, the freshness of the hosts' attacking leaders and their vast experience in such situations will pay off sooner or later: one well-placed shot after a prolonged spell of build-up play will force the visitors to open up, and a second will put the result beyond doubt. We do not expect many goals in this match and believe the hosts will score no more than two. Our main prediction is Total Goals - Under 3.5. Correct score prediction: 2-0.
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Betting Tips: Senegal - Sudan
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