Wanderers vs Boston Riv. Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 10 October 2026

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Key points

    🔊 Round 10 of the championship brings together Montevideo Wanderers and Boston River, two sides sitting outside the top five. The hosts are sixth and have a clear incentive in terms of the table, while the visitors are lower down in 11th and have less obvious motivation. Both teams have been inconsistent over their recent run of matches, with plenty of goals involved, and we could see more of the same in this one.

    Montevideo Wanderers vs Boston River: Where to Find the Goals

    Boston River thrashed Montevideo Wanderers in the Primera on 03 April 2026, winning 4-1. Despite possession being fairly even, the hosts had twice as many shots on target - 10 to 5 - and the visitors finished the match with ten men.

    Across 21 official meetings, Montevideo Wanderers have won 10, Boston River 7, with 4 draws. The goal difference is also tight - 31:29 in favour of Montevideo Wanderers.

    Head-to-head statistics Wanderers - Boston Riv.

    48%
    10 Wins
    19%
    4 Draws
    33%
    7 Wins
    Total games
    21
    Avg. total goals
    2.86
    Both teams scored
    57%
    1.48
    Average total
    1.38
    Last matches
    03.04.26
    Primera Division
    Boston River
    Boston River
    Montevideo Wanderers
    Montevideo Wanderers
    1
    -
    -
    4
    6
    -
    -
    2
    5
    4
    1
    1
    0
    3
    1
    -
    -
    4
    6
    -
    -
    2
    5
    31.10.25
    Primera Division
    Montevideo Wanderers
    Montevideo Wanderers
    Boston River
    Boston River
    -
    -
    6
    3
    -
    -
    2
    3
    2
    2
    0
    1
    2
    1
    -
    -
    6
    3
    -
    -
    2
    3
    02.05.25
    Primera Division
    Boston River
    Boston River
    Montevideo Wanderers
    Montevideo Wanderers
    1
    -
    -
    5
    4
    0
    0
    2
    2
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    5
    4
    0
    0
    2
    2
    05.10.24
    Primera Division
    Boston River
    Boston River
    Montevideo Wanderers
    Montevideo Wanderers
    1
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    3
    2
    3
    2
    0
    2
    3
    0
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    3
    2
    31.03.24
    Primera Division
    Montevideo Wanderers
    Montevideo Wanderers
    1
    Boston River
    Boston River
    -
    -
    6
    1
    19
    12
    3
    3
    0
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    -
    -
    6
    1
    19
    12
    3
    3
    Empty
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    Montevideo Wanderers: attack delivers, defence falters

    In their previous Copa Uruguay match on 7 October 2026, Montevideo Wanderers drew 2-2 away at Cerrito, having trailed 0-1 at half-time. The visitors had the greater share of possession - 56% - but both sides managed the same number of shots on target, with four each.

    Montevideo Wanderers come into this match having won three of their last five games. Across their last ten matches, they have won four and lost three, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game. Those numbers suggest a tendency towards open play at both ends: the hosts can create chances going forward, but their defence has been leaking goals regularly. Pressure from the teams behind them means they cannot afford to drop points.

    Match Results: Montevideo Wanderers

    Last matches
    07.10.26
    Copa Uruguay
    Cerrito
    Cerrito
    1
    Montevideo Wanderers
    Montevideo Wanderers
    -
    -
    6
    5
    12
    12
    1
    5
    2
    2
    1
    0
    1
    2
    0
    0
    3
    4
    -
    -
    6
    5
    12
    12
    1
    5
    W
    04.10.26
    Primera Division
    Cerro
    Cerro
    Montevideo Wanderers
    Montevideo Wanderers
    -
    -
    5
    1
    -
    -
    2
    4
    0
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    -
    -
    5
    1
    -
    -
    2
    4
    W
    28.09.26
    Primera Division
    Montevideo Wanderers
    Montevideo Wanderers
    Albion
    Albion
    -
    -
    3
    4
    -
    -
    5
    2
    2
    1
    2
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    3
    4
    -
    -
    5
    2
    W
    23.09.26
    Copa Uruguay
    Montevideo Wanderers
    Montevideo Wanderers
    1
    Cerrito
    Cerrito
    -
    -
    5
    6
    10
    11
    2
    2
    1
    3
    1
    1
    0
    2
    -
    -
    5
    6
    10
    11
    2
    2
    L
    20.09.26
    Primera Division
    Danubio
    Danubio
    Montevideo Wanderers
    Montevideo Wanderers
    -
    -
    3
    5
    -
    -
    2
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    3
    5
    -
    -
    2
    1
    D
    Empty
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    Boston River: attack delivers, but defense falters

    Boston River's most recent Primera match on 4 October 2026 ended in a goalless draw with Juventud de las Piedras. At home, Boston River had the better of the shot count - 11 to 7 - though they were outplayed in terms of possession and dangerous attacks.

    Boston River are having a difficult season: eight wins and sixteen defeats in the league speak for themselves in terms of their struggles to pick up points. They have won just once in their last five matches, with that run also including three defeats and a draw. However, their average scoring rate across their last ten matches stands at 1.4 goals per game, with an average of 1.3 conceded. With no real pressure from the table, there is reason to expect a less cautious approach from them here.

    Match Results: Boston River

    Last matches
    04.10.26
    Primera Division
    Boston River
    Boston River
    Juventud de Las Piedras
    Juventud de Las Piedras
    -
    -
    3
    4
    -
    -
    2
    3
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    3
    4
    -
    -
    2
    3
    D
    26.09.26
    Primera Division
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    Boston River
    Boston River
    -
    -
    2
    5
    -
    -
    2
    3
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    2
    5
    -
    -
    2
    3
    L
    23.09.26
    Copa Uruguay
    Boston River
    Boston River
    Fenix
    Fenix
    -
    -
    2
    4
    8
    8
    2
    2
    3
    2
    2
    2
    1
    0
    -
    -
    2
    4
    8
    8
    2
    2
    W
    19.09.26
    Primera Division
    Boston River
    Boston River
    Progreso
    Progreso
    -
    -
    6
    5
    -
    -
    1
    3
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    1
    -
    -
    6
    5
    -
    -
    1
    3
    L
    12.09.26
    Primera Division
    Racing Montevideo
    Racing Montevideo
    Boston River
    Boston River
    -
    -
    2
    1
    -
    -
    1
    4
    3
    2
    1
    0
    2
    2
    -
    -
    2
    1
    -
    -
    1
    4
    L
    Empty
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    Match Result Prediction

    Montevideo Wanderers have gone unbeaten at home in 10 of their last 11 matches, which points to their consistency on their own ground. Over the course of the season, Montevideo Wanderers have lost just 2 of their 14 home games, winning 6 and drawing 6. Boston River, meanwhile, have lost 10 of their 20 away matches, which underlines the visitors' difficulties on the road. We're backing the Double Chance - Montevideo Wanderers not to lose at odds of 1.36*.

    Corners Prediction

    Boston River have won more than 3.5 corners in 6 of their last 7 matches, which points to consistency in this area. This trend confirms that the team regularly creates pressure around the opposition goal. We're backing Boston River Team Total Corners - Over 3.5 at odds of 1.64*.

    Both Teams to Score Prediction

    Both teams have scored in 6 of Montevideo Wanderers' last 7 matches, which points to a strong chance of goals at both ends. Montevideo Wanderers have been averaging around 1.4-1.5 goals scored and conceded per game over their last 10 matches, while Boston River have averaged 1.4 scored and 1.3 conceded over their last 10. Despite the visitors' slightly less impressive season-wide numbers, the current figures support the selection. The pick is Both Teams to Score - Yes at 1.80*.

    Correct Score Prediction

    According to the algorithm's calculations, the top three most likely correct scores are: 1-1 (12.65%), 1-0 (9.65%) and 0-1 (8.98%). The 1-1 draw has the highest probability, though the values of the three leading options are fairly close. This reflects the tight, competitive nature expected of the match.

    *Odds are indicative and may vary depending on the bookmaker.

    ⭐ Editor's Prediction

    Both teams are motivated to play attacking football, which often leads to more goalscoring opportunities and a more open game at both ends. Recent form points in one direction: Montevideo Wanderers consistently score and concede in almost every match - and that fits the broader picture for both sides this season in terms of goals at either end. The editor's main prediction is Both Teams to Score - Yes.

    Both Teams to Score – (Yes)
    Odds-125
    Published: 08/10/2026, 08:55
    Yaroslav Tkachev
    Yaroslav Tkachev
    Football expert
    44
    2
    39
    85 predictions
    Statistics for October 2026

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    Betting Tips: Montevideo Wanderers - Boston River

    Boston River have drawn in the 2nd half:
    ca-boston-riverin 6 of last 7 games (Primera Division).
    2nd Half Draw
    +130
    Montevideo Wanderers have not lost:
    mdeo-wanderers-fcin 10 of last 11 home games.
    mdeo-wanderers-fcin last 9 home games (Primera Division).
    Montevideo Wanderers will not lose
    Everygame
    -263
    Montevideo Wanderers have scored:
    mdeo-wanderers-fcin 16 of last 17 games.
    mdeo-wanderers-fcin 13 of last 14 home games.
    mdeo-wanderers-fcin 11 of last 12 games (Primera Division).
    Boston River have conceded:
    ca-boston-riverin 16 of last 17 away games.
    ca-boston-riverin last 13 away games (Primera Division).
    ca-boston-riverin 9 of last 10 games (Primera Division).
    Montevideo Wanderers will score goal
    -345
    Under 3.5 goals scored:
    mdeo-wanderers-fcin 14 of last 15 Montevideo Wanderers home games.
    mdeo-wanderers-fcin last 13 Montevideo Wanderers home games (Primera Division).
    mdeo-wanderers-fcin last 5 Montevideo Wanderers games (Primera Division).
    ca-boston-riverin 12 of last 14 Boston River games (Primera Division).
    Total goals Under (3,5)
    Everygame
    -400
    View more facts

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    4 - Wins
    3 - Draws
    3 - Losses
    Wins - 4
    Draws - 2
    Losses - 4
    10 matches
    Scored - 14
    Conceded - 15
    -1
    +1
    14 - Scored
    13 - Conceded
    4
    Wins
    4
    3
    Draws
    2
    3
    Losses
    4
    Goal difference
    14
    Scored
    14
    15
    Conceded
    13
    2.9
    Average total per match
    2.7
    1.4
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.4
    1.5
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.3
    7
    Both teams scored
    6
    66'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    64'
    View all stats