Maldonado vs Liverpool Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 9 October 2026
🔊 Deportivo Maldonado go into the tenth round of the season sitting fourth and with clear motivation in terms of the standings. Liverpool Montevideo are top of the table and fighting for every point. Both sides have shown consistent results throughout the tournament, though their current form differs - Deportivo Maldonado have won four of their last five matches, while Liverpool Montevideo have been picking up points steadily regardless of the opposition.
Deportivo Maldonado are chasing a rare victory over Liverpool Montevideo
Deportivo Maldonado won the most recent head-to-head meeting in the Primera: on 05 April 2026 they beat Liverpool Montevideo 2-0 away. The hosts had more shots - 10 to 5 - and won six corners to one.
In 13 official meetings, Liverpool Montevideo have won eight times, Deportivo Maldonado three times, and two matches have ended in draws. Liverpool Montevideo also hold a clear advantage in goals: 25-16.
Head-to-head statistics Maldonado - Liverpool

Deportivo Maldonado: their attack is firing on all cylinders, while their defense rarely falters
In their most recent Primera match on 3 October 2026, Deportivo Maldonado beat Central Español 3-0 at home. All three of the hosts' shots on target found the net, while their opponents managed just one shot on target.
Deportivo Maldonado are going through a strong run: four wins from their last five matches, with just one defeat. During that spell they have been highly productive in front of goal, averaging 1.7 goals per match, and have been almost watertight at the back - conceding just 0.5 per game over a ten-match stretch. Across the season as a whole, the team have been consistent, losing only six times in thirty rounds and picking up points against opponents at various levels.
Match Results: Deportivo Maldonado

The main storyline surrounding Liverpool Montevideo
Liverpool Montevideo's last Primera match was a 3-2 home win over Progreso on 3 October 2026. The two sides were close in shots (9-8), but Liverpool Montevideo had the edge in shots on target, 5-3.
Liverpool Montevideo are maintaining a solid level of performance - six wins and two draws in their last ten matches, with two defeats, points to a high level of organisation even without any extra motivation. Their average scoring figures are almost identical to their opponents' (1.7 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game over the last ten matches). Away from home the side have rarely lost - the trend shows that Liverpool Montevideo have lost only once in ten rounds of the Primera División.
Match Results: Liverpool Montevideo
Match Result Prediction
Deportivo Maldonado have gone unbeaten at home in 19 of their last 20 matches, which speaks to their consistency on their own ground. This season they have just one home defeat against 11 wins, and they are conceding an average of only 0.63 goals per home match. Liverpool Montevideo, meanwhile, have won just 7 of their 17 away matches this season, which further reduces their chances of taking anything on the road. We are therefore backing Deportivo Maldonado not to lose, priced at 1.41*.
Risky Bet
Deportivo Maldonado have an excellent home record this season: 11 wins with just one defeat, including 7 wins in their last 8 matches. These numbers support the handicap (-0.5) option, which effectively requires a straightforward home win. However, Liverpool Montevideo have been picking up points consistently away from home, which brings the confidence level down somewhat - hence this being rated as a medium-reliability bet. The selection is Deportivo Maldonado Handicap (-0.5), priced at 2.35*.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the most likely outcomes for this match are 1-1 (13.4%), 1-0 (10.44%) and 0-1 (9.17%). The most probable result is a 1-1 draw, though the chances of a narrow win for either side are close in probability. All three scenarios point to a tight, low-scoring match.
*Odds are approximate and may vary depending on the bookmaker.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Liverpool Montevideo's unbeaten run away from home looks like the key factor in selecting a bet - the side have been consistently solid against any opponent on the road, with a balanced approach in attack and defence. The visitors tend to create chances against any opposition while maintaining defensive stability. Our prediction: Liverpool Montevideo not to lose.