Maritimo vs Porto Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 10 October 2026
🔊 Maritimo spent three years in the second division and are now hosting the Portuguese league leaders. Porto have yet to drop a point this season. The hosts need to end a five-match winless run. The last time Maritimo got the better of Porto was in October 2020.
Head-to-Head
📊 At home in the league, Maritimo have not beaten Porto in eight consecutive head-to-head matches. They have also failed to keep a clean sheet against the Dragons in 18 successive meetings. The last fixture in Funchal, in February 2023, followed the same pattern: Porto won 2-0.
Head-to-head statistics Maritimo - Porto
Marítimo: a bright start and cracks in the defense
The promoted side started the season as though they had never been away. A single Rafaël Guzzo goal was enough to beat Casa Pia in the opening round, and they followed that up with a win in Famalicão. After three matchdays, Mitchell van der Gaag's side had seven points from nine.
Then the defence began to crack. After a clean sheet in their opening match, Marítimo have conceded in six consecutive rounds, letting in 12 goals in total. That run has brought three straight defeats - against Arouca, Benfica and Moreirense. Before the international break, the islanders salvaged a point in Barcelos when Israel Ayouma equalised against Gil Vicente in the third minute of added time. Marítimo currently sit 11th, four points above the play-off zone.
Match Results: Maritimo Madeira
Porto: Seven out of seven and a win in the Clássico
Porto, the reigning Portuguese champions, have conceded just three goals in seven league rounds, never more than one per match. Their only slip so far came in the Champions League, where Manchester City won at the Dragão thanks to an Erling Haaland brace. Diogo Costa made five saves before the break, and the Norwegian didn't find the net until the 47th minute.
Porto were comfortable in the Clássico before the international break. Gabri Veiga opened the scoring on 31 minutes, and shortly afterwards Benfica were reduced to ten men following Clément Lenglet's red card. The Lisbon side managed to equalise, but three minutes later Viktor Froholdt put Porto back in front. The Dane had already settled a trophy in August, when his goal in the final against Torrense gave Porto the Super Cup. Hwang In-beom wrapped up a 3-1 win, and Porto's lead over Benfica grew to five points.
Match Results: Porto
Latest news
Maritimo Madeira
❓ Van der Gaag has named the same starting XI in three consecutive matches. There are no recent injury reports from Marítimo ahead of the game.
Porto
❓ The key question mark is Gabri Veiga. The team's top scorer left the field in the clássico in the 38th minute with a hamstring strain. A muscle tear was ruled out by scans, and the club were hoping to have the Spaniard back in time for the Marítimo match. If Veiga doesn't make it, the most likely option in midfield is Hwang In-beom, who replaced him in the clássico. As of 21 September, Porto's injury list also included Nehuén Pérez, João Costa, Zaidou, Seko Fofana, Vasco Sousa and André Miranda.
Predicted Lineups
📋 Predicted starting XI - Maritimo: Vieites - Juliao, Correia, Szalai, Paulo Henrique - Andrade, Danilovic - Dominguez, Guzzo, Tejon - Butzke.
📋 Predicted starting XI - Porto: Diogo Costa - Martim Fernandes, Kiwior, Bednarek, Alberto Costa - Gabri Veiga, Rosario, Froholdt - Pepe, Andre Silva, William Gomes.
⚽️ Goals Prediction
Porto have scored at least two goals in 7 of their last 8 away league matches. In September, they scored four times on the road against Casa Pia. On the other side, Marítimo's defence has conceded in 11 of their last 12 matches. Porto have scored 18 goals in seven league rounds in total. The bet is Porto Team Total - Over 1.5.
🚩 Corners Prediction
Marítimo have taken more than two corners in five consecutive matches. At home, they have done so in 16 of their last 18 games, and in home matches against Porto specifically, six times in a row. Against Gil Vicente in Barcelos, the islanders won three corners. Porto's opponents have taken 39 corners across the last ten official matches, while Marítimo themselves have taken 36 over the same period. The bet is Marítimo Team Total Corners - Over 2.5.🟨 Yellow Cards Prediction
Marítimo have not received more than three yellow cards in six consecutive league matches. In Barcelos, the islanders picked up just one card. That said, they have not gone without bookings: Marítimo players have received 21 yellow cards across their last ten official matches. Porto's opponents have received 20 over the same period. The bet is Marítimo Team Total Yellow Cards - Under 3.5.
📌 Editorial Prediction
Porto rarely make for dull viewing away from home: more than two goals combined were scored in 7 of their last 8 away league matches. Marítimo have been no strangers to goals either: at least three were shared between the teams in four of their last five league rounds. If the leaders score twice, the newcomers only need one in reply. We expect a Porto win, but not a clean sheet. The bet is Total Goals - Over 2.5. Predicted score: 1-2.
Will this prediction come true?
No comments
Betting Tips: Maritimo Madeira - Porto
in 5 of last 6 home games against Porto (Liga Portugal).in 12 of last 13 games (Liga Portugal).in 9 of last 10 games.in 6 of last 7 away games (Liga Portugal).
in 15 of last 16 games against Porto (Liga Portugal).in 14 of last 15 games against Porto.in last 8 home games against Porto (Liga Portugal).in 20 of last 21 games (Liga Portugal).in 9 of last 10 games.in 8 of last 9 away games (Liga Portugal).in last 18 games against Porto.in last 16 games against Porto (Liga Portugal).in last 9 home games against Porto.in last 8 home games against Porto (Liga Portugal).in 11 of last 12 games.in last 33 games (Liga Portugal).in last 16 away games (Liga Portugal).in 12 of last 13 games.in 9 of last 10 away games.Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
