Malmo vs Kalmar Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 12 October 2026
🔊 In 13 of their last 14 home Allsvenskan matches, Malmö's games have produced at least three goals. Kalmar, meanwhile, have gone six consecutive league matches without scoring. Only a big home win would keep both runs intact.
Head-to-Head
The last Allsvenskan meeting between the two sides ended 2-2. Malmö had 69% possession and outshot their opponents 17 to 11, but the xG figures were almost level - 1.14 against 1.17.
Malmö have a clear head-to-head advantage over Kalmar, with 22 wins to 9 and 7 draws. That edge is particularly pronounced at home, where Malmö have won 13 of 17 meetings. Kalmar scored in only eight of those.
Head-to-head statistics Malmo - Kalmar
Malmo Team Overview
In their last Allsvenskan match, Malmö lost 0-2 away to Västerås despite having 22 shots to their opponents' 10 and outperforming them on xG - 1.97 to 0.93.
Malmö sold Erik Botheim to Viking on 2 September. The Norwegian had scored ten goals in Allsvenskan - more than any of his teammates. Without him, Malmö have played three matches and failed to score in two of them. They drew 0-0 at home to AIK, and before the break they lost away in Västerås. Between those two setbacks, Malmö beat Örgryte 4-1. Gaute Heldrup's side sit eighth with 33 points.
Match Results: Malmo
Kalmar Team Overview
Kalmar's previous Allsvenskan fixture ended in a 5-0 home defeat to Häcken. Despite having 52% possession, Kalmar managed only two shots on target compared to their opponents' seven.
Kalmar's last goals in Allsvenskan came on 9 August in Gothenburg. One of them was scored by Charlie Rosenqvist, the team's top scorer with seven goals. In late August, the 19-year-old midfielder was signed by Djurgården. On 7 September, Rosenqvist played against his former club and Djurgården won by a single goal. Before the break, Kalmar lost at home to Häcken 0-5. Tony Koskela's side have 19 points, four clear of 15th place, which leads directly to Superettan.
Match Results: Kalmar
Total Goals Prediction
Fewer than four goals have been scored in 8 of Malmö's last 9 matches. The main argument for a low-scoring game is Kalmar's attack: 21 goals in 22 Allsvenskan matches. Away from home, the visitors have managed just seven goals in 11 games. The pick is Total Goals - Under 3.5.
Corner Kick Prediction
In 7 of the last 8 head-to-head meetings at Malmö, the two sides have combined for no more than ten corners. The pick is Total Corners - Under 10.5.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the most likely scorelines are 1-1 (11.07%), 2-1 (9.97%) and 1-0 (9.32%). Of these, the draw at 1-1 has the highest probability, though the gap between the top three is small.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Kalmar arrive in Malmö at a difficult moment. The newly promoted side have lost six of their last seven Allsvenskan matches. Away from home things are even worse: across 11 away fixtures in this season's league, Kalmar have picked up just two points. Malmö have long found this opponent comfortable at home, winning 7 of their last 8 home head-to-head meetings. The last time Kalmar took three points from Malmö was in August 2022. The selection is Malmö to win. Predicted score: 2-1.
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Betting Tips: Malmo - Kalmar
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