Hammarby vs Djurgarden Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 11 October 2026
🔊 Djurgården have not beaten Hammarby since July 2022 - nine matches in a row. The Swedish press have dubbed this run the "derby ghost", and in 2026 it shows no sign of disappearing. In March, Paulos Abraham settled the Swedish Cup quarter-final in stoppage time, and in April Nahir Besara rescued a draw in the Allsvenskan. Now second place is also at stake: Hammarby lead their neighbours by two points.
Head-to-Head
The last league meeting between the two sides ended 1-1. Hammarby had 62% possession and attempted 16 shots to their opponents' six, but both teams were level on shots on target at 3-3.
Across 43 official meetings, Hammarby have won 23 times and Djurgården 10, with a further 10 draws. At home, Hammarby have won 13 of their 19 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head statistics Hammarby - Djurgarden
Hammarby Team Overview
In their most recent league match, Hammarby beat Degerfors away from home 1-0. They had 17 shots, 12 of which were on target, and one goal was enough to take the win.
Hammarby currently sit eight points behind league leaders Sirius with eight rounds remaining. The two sides will meet directly on 29 October, when Sirius visit the 3Arena. At home, Hammarby have scored in 16 consecutive Allsvenskan matches, and Henrik Rydström's side have won the last five of those. Their main attacking threat is Paulos Abraham, who has 14 goals - the third-highest tally in the league. During the international break, the forward received his first call-up to the Sweden national team, and he has described Sunday's derby as the biggest match of his career.
Match Results: Hammarby
Djurgardens Team Overview
In their last match, Djurgården lost 1-2 at home to Elfsborg. They had more possession and outperformed their opponents in expected goals - 1.23 to 0.95 - but were outshot 9-15.
Djurgården went into the summer break in eighth place. Since then, Jani Honkavaara's side have picked up 28 points from 13 matches and climbed to third. The focal point of their attack is Kristian Lien: the Norwegian, signed in the winter from Groningen, leads the Allsvenskan scoring charts with 16 goals. Djurgården have also been a difficult proposition away from home, going unbeaten in 7 of their last 8 away league matches.
Match Results: Djurgardens
Risky bet
In 6 of their last 7 Allsvenskan matches, Hammarby have earned at least seven corners. It's a recent run, and we're expecting the hosts to extend it in the derby. The bar is high, which is reflected in the odds. The bet is Hammarby Team Total Corners - Over 6.5.
Reliable Bet
In 9 of Hammarby's last 10 matches, fewer than five goals were scored. The Stockholm derby is unlikely to break that pattern. The bet survives even a heavy win for either side, as long as there is no fifth goal. The bet is Total Goals - Under 4.5.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the three most likely scorelines are: 1-1 (10.16%), 2-1 (9.96%) and 1-0 (9.12%). All three outcomes have fairly similar probabilities.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Stockholm derbies are rarely high-scoring affairs: in 6 of the last 7 head-to-head meetings, the two sides have combined for fewer than four goals. The only exception was the September 2025 draw that finished 3-3. Djurgården are also economical on the road: six consecutive away matches in Allsvenskan have passed without a fourth goal being scored. Their defence has been solid too - they kept clean sheets in 5 of their last 6 league matches. We're expecting a cautious derby with no more than three goals between the teams. The bet is Total Goals - Under 3.5. Predicted score: 2-1.
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Betting Tips: Hammarby - Djurgardens
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