Gwangju vs Ulsan Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 11 October 2026
🔊 After two rounds of the K League, Gwangju were second in the table, having beaten Incheon 3-2 on 7 March. Since then they have not won a single match and now sit bottom. Second place currently belongs to Ulsan, who thrashed Gwangju in April and took a draw there in July.
Head-to-Head
The most recent head-to-head clash in the league ended in a 1-1 draw. Ulsan dominated in both shots (11-3) and corners (8-3), but couldn't secure the win.
Ulsan have claimed victory in 22 of their 38 official encounters with Gwangju, suffering defeat just seven times. The goal difference also favors Ulsan-51 to 27.
Head-to-head statistics Gwangju - Ulsan
Gwangju Team Overview
Gwangju earned a 2-2 draw away at Jeonbuk in their latest K League fixture, despite Jeonbuk registering twice as many shots on target-21 compared to Gwangju’s 10.
Gwangju trail 11th place by 17 points. Over 30 rounds, Lee Jung-gyu’s side have scored 21 goals and conceded 63. At home, Gwangju have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last ten league outings. September has offered some relief, with the team collecting three points from their last four matches. In Jeonju, Gwangju even managed a dramatic comeback in stoppage time, salvaging a 2-2 draw against Jeonbuk thanks to substitute John Iredale, who also found the net in the previous round.
Match Results: Gwangju
Ulsan Team Overview
Ulsan suffered a 2-1 away defeat to Anyang in their most recent K League outing, despite registering more shots on goal (17 to 11) and winning more corners (8 to 3).
Runaway leaders Seoul have built a commanding 15-point lead, leaving Ulsan fighting for second place. Their cushion over third is just a single point. In September, Kim Hyun-sok’s side managed to beat Seoul, but slipped to defeat away at Anyang before the break. Ulsan’s only goal in that match came from Lee Dong-gyeong, set up by Yago-the team’s top two scorers. However, Ulsan have scored more than twice in just one of their last 20 K League away fixtures.
Match Results: Ulsan
Risky Bet
Gwangju struggle to find the net at home, averaging just 0.75 goals per game. Ulsan aren’t exactly prolific on the road either, putting up only 1.27 goals per match. Both sides have defensive issues, but their attacking play hasn’t exactly caught fire this season. That’s why it might be worth taking a chance on under 2.5 total goals here.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm, the most likely outcomes for this match are: 0-1 (15.26%), 1-1 (10.36%), and 0-2 (9.82%). The most probable scenario is a narrow win for Ulsan.
⭐ Editor’s Prediction
Gwangju rarely get involved in high-scoring affairs at home: in 10 of their last 11 K League matches on their own turf, fewer than four goals have been scored. The only exception was a heavy defeat to Seoul back in August. Ulsan also tend to keep things tight on the road, with each of their last six away games featuring under four goals. Gwangju’s attack has been modest as well, netting no more than once in 11 of their previous 12 home league fixtures. We’re expecting a narrow win for Ulsan and a cautious approach from both sides. The pick is under 3.5 goals. Predicted score: 1-2.
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Betting Tips: Gwangju - Ulsan
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