Breidablik vs Keflavik Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 11 October 2026
🔊 On 11 September, Breiðablik won the Icelandic Cup for the second time in their history, beating Afturelding 2-1 in the final. In the league, however, the cup holders have gone three consecutive home matches without a point. They will look to end that run against top-flight newcomers Keflavík.
Head-to-Head
The last league meeting between the sides went to Breiðablik (2-1), despite them trailing at half-time. Keflavík had more shots - 15 to 10 - and more shots on target: 7 to 5.
Breiðablik have the better of Keflavík in their head-to-head record: 21 wins from 37 official meetings against eight for their opponents, with eight draws. The gap is particularly pronounced at Breiðablik's ground, where they have won 12 of 18 matches and lost just two.
Head-to-head statistics Breidablik - Keflavik
Breidablik Kopavogur Team Overview
Breiðablik lost their previous Úrvalsdeild match away to Akranes, going down 4-1. Their opponents had twice as many shots - 18 to 9 - and four times as many shots on target: 8 to 2.
Ólafur Ingi Skúlason's first season has brought Breiðablik a trophy and a place in European competition, but the club sit only fourth in the league. They have won just one of their last eight league matches - away at Fram on 15 September. Breiðablik have conceded at home in 8 of their last 9 Besta-deild matches. Before the break, they suffered a heavy defeat in Akranes.
Match Results: Breidablik Kopavogur
Keflavik Team Overview
In their most recent fixture, Keflavík drew 2-2 at home with Fram Reykjavík. The draw came despite the visitors holding a clear advantage in shots - 27 to 15 - and corners - 16 to 2.
In their first season back in the Besta-deild, Keflavík secured a top-six finish, so relegation is no longer a concern. Haraldur Freyr Guðmundsson's side rarely fail to score: they have gone without a goal in just one of their last 21 league matches. However, they have not scored more than two goals in a game in seven consecutive matches. In the championship group, Keflavík are yet to win - they were beaten heavily by Víkingur before drawing with Fram ahead of the break.
Match Results: Keflavik
Total Goals Prediction
Fewer than four goals have been scored in 6 of Keflavík's last 7 matches. High-scoring games involving the visitors are rare. The pick is Total Goals - Under 3.5.
Risky Bet
Breiðablik have won eight consecutive home meetings against Keflavík. The only question is the margin. This bet wins if the hosts win by two goals or more, and returns the stake if they win by one. That is reflected in the odds: a one-goal win is not enough. The bet is Breiðablik - Handicap (-1.0).
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the three most likely outcomes are 2-1 (8.71%), 1-1 (8.17%) and 2-2 (7.33%). The 2-1 scoreline has the highest probability of the three, though the gap between first and second is minimal.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Breiðablik are well used to hosting Keflavík: they have won eight consecutive home meetings in Kópavogur. The most recent of those came in July and ended 2-1. Breiðablik have also scored in ten consecutive home head-to-head meetings against this opponent. Keflavík generally struggle away from home too, going without a win in 7 of their last 8 away league matches. So even Breiðablik's current dip in form is not enough to make the visitors favourites. We expect Breiðablik to take all three points at home against Keflavík once again. The bet is Breiðablik to win. Predicted score: 2-1.
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Betting Tips: Breidablik Kopavogur - Keflavik
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